Amit's Blog

Is the U.S. Justified in Considering a North American Alliance Doctrine? The United States’ colossal defense spending (3.4–3.7% of GDP, $778–968 billion from 2020–2024) has bankrolled global security, enabling allies like Japan, Germany, South Korea, Canada, and Australia to prosper with lean defense budgets (1.4–2.5% of GDP) while forcing rivals like Russia (7.1%, $149 billion in 2024) to overspend. Frustration with European NATO allies—only 11 of 31 met the 2% GDP target in 2023—spurs interest in a North American alliance doctrine with Canada, Greenland, Mexico, and Central American states to secure the region while reducing NATO reliance. This note explores the strategic, economic, political, and geopolitical dimensions of this shift, including benefits to Canada and Greenland, and the roles of Mexico and Central America. While a regional focus could enhance security and economic ties, it risks weakening global influence. The reflection assesses whether this doctrine is a strategi...

Is the U.S. Justified in Considering a North American Alliance Doctrine? Since World War II, the U.S. has been the backbone of global security through NATO and other alliances, spending 3.4–3.7% of GDP ($778–968 billion annually, 2020–2024), enabling allies like Japan (1.4% GDP) and Germany (1.8%) to prioritize economic growth. Frustration over NATO allies’ underfunding—only 11 of 31 met the 2% GDP target in 2023—has spurred interest in a North American alliance with Canada, Greenland, Mexico, and Central American states. This doctrine could secure the Arctic, counter drug cartels, and reduce U.S. defense costs ($150 billion annually for 700 overseas bases). Canada benefits from low spending (1.5% GDP), Greenland leverages strategic relevance, and Mexico strengthens USMCA trade. However, reducing NATO commitments risks weakening global deterrence, emboldening Russia (7.1% GDP, $149 billion) and China (1.7%, $314 billion), and disrupting $18 trillion in U.S. exports, potentially cedin...