Amit's Blog

India: Navigating Trade, Defense, and Diplomacy in a Multipolar World India, with a $4.1 trillion GDP and a youthful demographic, stands as a pivotal global power, leveraging its multi-alignment strategy to navigate the U.S.-China rivalry, assert leadership in BRICS, and expand trade in goods and services with the United States, China, Russia, the European Union (EU), ASEAN, Quad countries (U.S., Japan, Australia), Middle Eastern energy producers, and Turkey. As the fastest-growing large economy and a voice of the Global South, India balances economic growth, defense modernization, and diplomatic finesse while addressing regional challenges from Pakistan’s China-Turkey alignment. This India-centric note provides an in-depth analysis of its geopolitical positioning, BRICS role, trade dynamics (updated for FY 2024-25, including services), defense procurement and reliance, and threats in trade and defense, contextualizing Pakistan’s challenges. 1. India’s Geopolitical Positioning: Multi-A...

  Navigating the Multipolar Maze: India's Geoeconomic Strategy in a Fractious World In an emerging multipolar world, India faces a tightrope walk as the U.S., a key trade partner ($120 billion in 2023), turns "nasty" with sanctions and trade pressures, while China and others vie for influence. Geoeconomics—using economic tools for geopolitical ends—shapes this landscape, with hegemons wielding market access, sanctions, and aid as weapons. India, intertwined with the U.S. for IT and defense, must diversify trade, leverage BRICS and QUAD, and bolster domestic resilience to navigate U.S.-China rivalries. Sanctions ripple beyond targets, pressuring non-sanctioned states like India to comply via trade disruptions or financial exclusion. A multipolar world dilutes U.S. dominance, offering India alternatives like China’s CIPS or Russia’s oil. By hedging strategically, India can balance autonomy with engagement, emerging as a Global South leader. This note outlines India’s prag...