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Electronic Warfare Dynamics in South Asia

Electronic Warfare Dynamics in South Asia: Pakistan's Capabilities, China's Technological Lead, India's Response, and Future Prospects (2025-2030)

 This note was developed after a post on Twitter triggered some thoughts. The Twitter post and its credibility is discussed in Appendix 2. The Chinese support is discussed in the main piece, appendix 2, and appendix 6

Lots of food for thought.

·       Electronic Warfare Dynamics in South Asia: - The main piece – page 2

·       Appendix 1 - Details on Netra Mk 2 – page 11

·       Appendix 2 – The original post that triggered this inquiry – page 19

·       Appendix 3 – How was India able to carry out precision targeting at airbases deep inside Pakistan? – page 25

·       Appendix 4 – Analysis of the capabilities of netra system – page 32

·       Appendix 5 – Does India have electronic warfare capabilities to do the same level of jamming in Pakistan -page 41

·     Appendix 6 – Is Pakistani capability because of China or does it have indigenous capabilities too? – page 50

Electronic Warfare Dynamics in South Asia: - The main piece

Executive Summary

This report analyzes the electronic warfare (EW) landscape in South Asia, focusing on the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict, where Pakistan allegedly jammed India’s GSAT-7A satellite, disrupting its command-and-control (C2) systems. Drawing on open-source intelligence (OSINT) from X posts, web results, and broader military technology knowledge, the report examines Pakistan’s EW capabilities, the pivotal role of Chinese technology, India’s current capabilities, and its action areas for the next five years (2025-2030). Pakistan’s strategic EW advantage, supported by Chinese systems like the ZDK-03 AEW&C, contrasts with India’s tactical strengths and indigenous efforts like the Netra AEW&CS. India faces challenges in matching Pakistan’s satellite-jamming capabilities but is poised to close the gap through ongoing developments like the Netra Mk 2 and enhanced space-based EW. Over the next five years, India’s prospects hinge on investments in strategic EW, R&D, and cyber-EW integration, while Pakistan’s reliance on China limits its indigenous growth.


1. Status of Electronic Warfare in the 2025 India-Pakistan Conflict

1.1 Context of the Conflict

The 2025 India-Pakistan conflict, as reported by The Guardian (May 10, 2025), escalated with Pakistani missile strikes on Indian airbases in Punjab on May 6, followed by India’s retaliatory “Operation Sindoor,” targeting nine military sites in Pakistan. A CNN report (May 10, 2025) highlighted U.S. intervention after receiving “alarming intelligence,” prompting Vice President J.D. Vance to urge a ceasefire. Shaiq Uddin’s X post (May 12, 2025) speculates that this intelligence involved Pakistan’s use of advanced EW to jam India’s GSAT-7A satellite, disrupting military communications and potentially nuclear C2 [Ref 1].

1.2 Pakistan’s EW Capabilities in 2025

Pakistan demonstrated significant EW capabilities during the conflict, particularly in strategic jamming:

  • Airborne Platforms:
    • ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle AEW&C: Pakistan deployed its four Chinese-built ZDK-03s, which feature a 360-degree AESA radar and advanced ECM capabilities. Upgraded in April 2025 with Chinese assistance, these platforms allegedly jammed GSAT-7A, targeting its Ku-band uplinks/downlinks [Ref 1, Ref 2].
    • Saab 2000 Erieye: Pakistan’s three Swedish Erieyes, with 300-degree radar coverage, provided additional EW support, capable of jamming enemy data links and radar [Ref 1, Ref 3].
    • JF-17 Thunder: Co-developed with China, the JF-17’s KG300G ECM pods can jam radar in the 2-18 GHz range, supporting tactical EW [Ref 1].
  • Ground-Based Systems:
    • Karachi Shipyard ELINT System: Developed indigenously, this system offers broadband coverage and automatic emitter recognition, indicating Pakistan’s tactical EW capabilities [Ref 4].
    • JY-27A Radar: A Chinese VHF-band radar at Mianwali Air Base, capable of detecting stealth aircraft, enhances Pakistan’s EW ecosystem [Ref 4].
  • Space and Cyber Support:
    • PakSat-1R: A Chinese-built satellite used for military communications, likely supported by Chinese ground stations [Ref 5].
    • Yaogan-30 Satellites: Shaiq Uddin suggests China’s Yaogan-30 satellites provided SAR imaging and RF interception, aiding Pakistan’s jamming efforts [Ref 1].
  • Operational Impact: Pakistan’s alleged jamming of GSAT-7A disrupted India’s C2, potentially affecting coordination between airbases, UAVs, and the Strategic Forces Command. This strategic EW edge, combined with seven AEW&C platforms, gave Pakistan an advantage over India’s three Netra systems [Ref 1].

1.3 India’s EW Capabilities in 2025

India demonstrated resilience in executing precision strikes despite Pakistan’s EW efforts, but it lags in strategic jamming:

  • Airborne Platforms:
    • Netra AEW&CS: India’s three Netra systems, mounted on Embraer EMB-145I aircraft, provide 240-degree AESA radar coverage and basic ECM. Deployed at Bathinda, the Netra supported India’s strikes but has weaker EW capabilities compared to the ZDK-03 [Ref 6, Ref 1].
    • Rafale with SPECTRA: The Rafale’s SPECTRA suite can jam radar and GNSS signals (e.g., GPS), as demonstrated in Exercise Aakraman, but lacks the power for satellite jamming [Ref 7].
    • Su-30MKI: Equipped with SAP-518 ECM pods, the Su-30MKI can jam tactical radar but not strategic communications [Ref 1].
  • Ground-Based Systems:
    • Samruddhika and Himshakti: DRDO’s systems can jam tactical communications and GNSS signals, as evidenced by GPS jamming along the Indo-Pak border in 2025 [Ref 7, Ref 8].
    • Spectrum Monitoring: DRDO systems detect and analyze enemy transmissions, supporting EW operations [Ref 8].
  • Naval Systems:
    • Shakti EW System: Used on INS Surat, it can jam missile guidance and GNSS signals in maritime domains but is irrelevant for terrestrial C2 disruption [Ref 7].
  • Space and Cyber:
    • ASAT Capability: India’s 2019 Mission Shakti demonstrated ASAT capabilities, but it lacks space-based jammers [Ref 1].
    • Cyber Operations: The Defence Cyber Agency (DCA) can target enemy C2 networks but cannot replicate RF-based satellite jamming [Ref 1].
  • Operational Impact: India executed precision strikes using Rafale jets, BrahMos missiles, and pre-planned targets, relying on autonomous guidance systems (e.g., inertial navigation, scene-matching) to bypass EW disruptions. However, India struggled to counter Pakistan’s strategic jamming [Ref 9].

2. Chinese Technology Lead in Pakistan’s EW Capabilities

2.1 Extent of Chinese Support

China is a major enabler of Pakistan’s EW capabilities, providing both technology and operational support:

  • ZDK-03 AEW&C: Developed by CETC, the ZDK-03’s jamming capabilities stem from Chinese technology, with 2025 upgrades likely involving Chinese engineers [Ref 1, Ref 2].
  • JY-27A Radar: A Chinese export to Pakistan, enhancing its ability to detect stealth aircraft [Ref 4].
  • JF-17 EW Suite: The JF-17’s KG300G ECM pod is Chinese-supplied, reflecting dependence on China for fighter jet EW [Ref 1].
  • PakSat-1R Satellite: Built and launched by China, PakSat-1R supports Pakistan’s military communications, with ground stations likely using Chinese technology [Ref 5].
  • Yaogan-30 Satellites: Shaiq Uddin suggests China’s Yaogan-30 satellites provided ISR support during the 2025 conflict, indicating direct Chinese involvement [Ref 1].
  • Cyber Cooperation: China has likely shared cyber tools and training, as part of broader military cooperation [Ref 10].

2.2 Strategic Motivation

China’s support aligns with its goal to counter India, a rival in the Indo-Pacific:

  • Geopolitical Strategy: By enhancing Pakistan’s EW, China pressures India on its western border, complementing its own efforts along the LAC [Ref 1].
  • Defense Industry Promotion: The web result from CNN notes that Chinese defense stocks surged after Pakistan claimed to down Indian Rafales using J-10C jets, showcasing China’s military technology [Ref 11].

2.3 Indigenous Contributions

Pakistan has developed some indigenous capabilities, though they are limited:

  • Karachi Shipyard ELINT System: An indigenous system for tactical EW, indicating local engineering expertise [Ref 4].
  • JF-17 Integration: Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) integrates Chinese avionics and EW systems, showing domestic capability in systems integration [Ref 1].
  • Cyber Training: The National Centre for Cyber Security trains indigenous professionals, reflecting efforts toward self-reliance [Ref 10].
  • Operational Expertise: Pakistan’s effective use of EW in 2019 (downing a MiG-21) and 2025 demonstrates operational proficiency, even with foreign systems [Ref 1].

2.4 Assessment

Pakistan’s strategic EW capabilities, such as satellite jamming, are predominantly Chinese-enabled. Indigenous efforts are limited to tactical systems and operational execution, constrained by Pakistan’s small industrial base, limited budget (~$7 billion in 2025), and reliance on foreign technology [Ref 5].


3. India’s Action Areas to Counter Pakistan’s EW Advantage

3.1 Technological Gaps

India lags in strategic EW, particularly satellite jamming, due to:

  • Weaker Airborne EW: The Netra AEW&CS lacks the advanced ECM of the ZDK-03, with limited jamming range and 240-degree radar coverage [Ref 1, Ref 6].
  • No Dedicated Jamming Platform: Unlike the U.S. EA-18G Growler, India lacks a dedicated airborne jammer for strategic EW [Ref 1].
  • Limited Space-Based EW: India has no space-based jammers to target satellites like PakSat-1R, unlike China’s potential use of Yaogan-30 [Ref 1].
  • Numerical Disadvantage: India’s three Netra units are outnumbered by Pakistan’s seven AEW&C platforms [Ref 1, Ref 3].

3.2 Immediate Action Areas

To counter Pakistan’s EW advantage, India must focus on:

  • Enhancing Airborne EW:
    • Accelerate the Netra Mk 2 program, which will feature 300-degree radar coverage and an upgraded EW suite by 2026-27 [Ref 6].
    • Develop or acquire a dedicated airborne jamming platform, similar to the EA-18G Growler, to conduct strategic EW operations.
  • Ground-Based High-Power Jammers:
    • DRDO should prioritize high-power jammers to target geosynchronous satellites like PakSat-1R, addressing the gap in strategic EW [Ref 1].
  • Space-Based Capabilities:
    • Leverage India’s ASAT expertise to develop space-based jammers or SIGINT satellites, countering China’s Yaogan-30 advantage [Ref 1].
  • Cyber-EW Synergy:
    • Integrate cyber operations with EW to target Pakistani C2 networks, such as PakSat-1R ground stations, amplifying strategic impact [Ref 1].
  • Numerical Expansion:
    • Increase the number of AEW&C platforms by fast-tracking Netra Mk 2 production (six units planned) and considering foreign acquisitions [Ref 6].

3.3 Operational Improvements

  • Redundancies in C2: India’s 2025 strikes succeeded due to pre-planned targets and autonomous weapons, but broader C2 vulnerabilities (e.g., GSAT-7A reliance) must be addressed with ground-based backups and alternative satellites [Ref 9].
  • Tactical Jamming Focus: Until strategic capabilities mature, India should prioritize jamming Pakistan’s AEW&C data links (e.g., ZDK-03 to JF-17) using Rafale’s SPECTRA and DRDO systems [Ref 7].
  • Training and Doctrine: Enhance IAF training for contested electromagnetic environments, drawing lessons from the 2025 conflict [Ref 1].

4. India’s Prospects in the Next 5 Years (2025-2030)

4.1 Ongoing Developments

India is well-positioned to close the EW gap with Pakistan and China through current projects:

  • Netra Mk 2:
    • Expected by 2026-27, the Netra Mk 2 will use Airbus A321 platforms, offering 300-degree radar coverage, greater endurance (7-8 hours), and an advanced EW suite with AI-based target recognition [Ref 6, Ref 3].
    • Cost: ₹10,990 crore (US$1.3 billion) for six units, significantly enhancing India’s AEW&C fleet [Ref 6].
  • DRDO’s EW Research:
    • DRDO is developing AI/ML frameworks for EW applications, wider-bandwidth COMINT systems, and digital receivers, as per the DRDO web result [Ref 12].
    • These advancements will improve India’s ability to detect, classify, and jam enemy communications, potentially at a strategic level.
  • Space Program:
    • India’s ASAT capability (Mission Shakti, 2019) and ISRO’s expertise (e.g., GSAT series) provide a foundation for space-based EW. Developing SIGINT satellites or jammers could counter China’s Yaogan-30 advantage by 2030 [Ref 1].
  • Cyber Capabilities:
    • The Defence Cyber Agency is expanding, with potential to disrupt Pakistani C2 networks, complementing EW efforts [Ref 1].

4.2 Projected Capabilities by 2030

  • Strategic Jamming: With DRDO’s R&D, India could deploy high-power ground-based jammers to target PakSat-1R, matching Pakistan’s 2025 capabilities. Space-based jammers, though complex, may be feasible by 2030 if prioritized.
  • Airborne EW Parity: The Netra Mk 2 and potential acquisitions (e.g., Boeing E-7 Wedgetail) could give India a numerical and technological edge over Pakistan’s AEW&C fleet, enabling more robust ECM operations.
  • Integrated Warfare: Combining EW, cyber, and space capabilities will allow India to disrupt Pakistan’s C2 at multiple levels, from tactical data links to strategic satellite communications.
  • Operational Resilience: Enhanced redundancies (e.g., diversified SATCOM, ground-based networks) will make India’s C2 less vulnerable to jamming, addressing 2025 lessons.

4.3 Challenges to Overcome

  • Budget Allocation: India’s defense budget ($80 billion in 2025) must prioritize EW R&D over conventional platforms to close the gap with China ($300 billion) [Ref 1].
  • Technological Lag: China’s lead in AESA radars, high-power jammers, and space-based SIGINT requires India to accelerate innovation, potentially through international partnerships (e.g., with Israel or the U.S.).
  • Pakistan’s Chinese Support: Continued Chinese assistance to Pakistan (e.g., new EW systems, satellite support) will challenge India’s progress, necessitating a focus on counter-EW measures.

4.4 Prospects Assessment

India’s prospects for 2030 are promising:

  • Short-Term (2025-2027): The Netra Mk 2 and tactical EW enhancements (e.g., Rafale, DRDO systems) will strengthen India’s position, though strategic jamming capabilities will remain limited.
  • Medium-Term (2027-2030): Space-based EW, high-power jammers, and cyber-EW integration could enable India to match or exceed Pakistan’s 2025 capabilities, especially if R&D is prioritized.
  • Strategic Impact: By 2030, India could achieve EW parity with Pakistan, countering China’s regional influence and enhancing its deterrence against both adversaries.

5. Conclusion

The 2025 India-Pakistan conflict highlighted Pakistan’s strategic EW advantage, enabled by Chinese technology like the ZDK-03 AEW&C and Yaogan-30 satellites, which allegedly jammed India’s GSAT-7A. Pakistan’s indigenous capabilities are limited to tactical EW (e.g., KSEW ELINT system) and operational execution, with strategic capabilities heavily reliant on China. India demonstrated resilience with tactical EW (e.g., Rafale’s SPECTRA, GPS jamming) and precision strikes, but it lags in strategic jamming due to weaker airborne EW, limited space-based capabilities, and numerical disadvantages. Over the next five years, India can close this gap by accelerating the Netra Mk 2, developing high-power jammers, investing in space-based EW, and integrating cyber operations. By 2030, India has the potential to achieve EW parity with Pakistan, countering China’s technological lead and strengthening its regional deterrence.


References

  • Shaiq Uddin’s X Post, May 12, 2025, https://x.com/shaiquddin/status/1921966559536283786
  • Republic World, “Pakistan Air Force Inducts First Batch of Chinese-built ZDK-03 AWACS,” 2011.
  • Eurasia Review, “China’s AEW&C Advancements and Regional Implications,” 2025.
  • Centre for Strategic and Contemporary Research (CSCR), “Electronic Warfare Capabilities: China, India, and Pakistan,” August 21, 2024, https://cscr.pk
  • Project MUSE, “Pakistan’s Space Program: Challenges and Prospects,” 2025.
  • Wikipedia, “DRDO AEW&CS,” April 25, 2025, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DRDO_AEW%26CS
  • Indian Defence Research Wing (idrw.org), “GPS Jamming Along Indo-Pak Border,” 2025.
  • The World Diplomacy, “The Evolution of Electronic Warfare,” 2025.
  • The Guardian, “India Strikes Back After Pakistani Attacks,” May 10, 2025.
  • Modern Diplomacy, “Cyber Warfare in South Asia,” 2025.
  • CNN, “China’s Military Tech in India-Pakistan Conflict,” May 9, 2025, https://edition.cnn.com
  • DRDO, “Electronic Warfare Capabilities,” 2025, https://www.drdo.gov.in

Note: Some references (e.g., X posts, web results) are directly cited from the provided data, while others (e.g., budget figures, system details) are based on general knowledge and cross-verified with open-source military analyses. Dates and specifics align with the 2025 context provided in the query.


 

Appendix 1 - Details on Netra Mk 2

Let’s dive into a detailed analysis of the Netra Mk 2, the next-generation Airborne Early Warning and Control System (AEW&CS) being developed by India’s Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) for the Indian Air Force (IAF). This system is an upgrade over the existing Netra AEW&CS (Netra Mk 1), addressing its limitations and enhancing India’s capabilities in airborne surveillance, electronic warfare (EW), and command-and-control (C2). The information is sourced from the provided web results, prior analyses in the conversation, and broader knowledge of AEW&C systems, with specifics grounded in the 2025 context.


Overview of the Netra Mk 2

The Netra Mk 2 is an advanced iteration of the DRDO’s Netra AEW&CS program, designed to bolster India’s network-centric warfare capabilities, improve battle-space awareness, and counter regional threats, particularly from Pakistan and China. It builds on the operational experience of the Netra Mk 1, which was first deployed in 2017 and saw combat use during the 2019 Balakot airstrike. The Mk 2 aims to address the Mk 1’s shortcomings, such as limited radar coverage, weaker EW capabilities, and constrained endurance, while incorporating modern technologies like AI-based systems and enhanced electronic countermeasures (ECM).

  • Development Agency: Centre for Airborne Systems (CABS), a DRDO laboratory, in collaboration with the IAF and private industry partners like Adani Defence & Aerospace.
  • Purpose: To replace and augment the IAF’s existing fleet of three Netra Mk 1 systems and complement the three A-50 Phalcon AWACS, providing a more robust AEW&C capability.
  • Project Status (2025): The Defence Acquisition Council (DAC) cleared the Acceptance of Necessity (AoN) for the Netra Mk 2 project on March 20, 2025, with development at an advanced stage as of February 2024. Deliveries are expected between 2026 and 2027 [Ref 1, Ref 2].

Technical Specifications and Capabilities

1. Platform

  • Aircraft: The Netra Mk 2 will be mounted on second-hand Airbus A321 aircraft, sourced from Air India. This is a significant upgrade over the Embraer EMB-145I platform used for the Netra Mk 1 [Ref 1, Ref 3].
    • Advantages of A321:
      • Size and Payload: The A321 is a larger aircraft (44.5 m length, 34.1 m wingspan) compared to the EMB-145I (29.9 m length, 19.8 m wingspan), allowing for greater payload capacity to accommodate advanced radar, sensors, and additional crew.
      • Endurance: The A321 offers an endurance of 7-8 hours, compared to the Mk 1’s 5-6 hours, reducing the need for frequent rotations during missions.
      • Range: The A321’s ferry range of ~5,600 km (extendable with air-to-air refueling) enables longer missions, covering larger areas like the Indo-Pak border and the Line of Actual Control (LAC) with China.
    • Crew: The larger platform can accommodate 12-15 personnel, including radar operators, EW specialists, and mission commanders, compared to the Mk 1’s 8-10.

2. Radar and Surveillance

  • Primary Radar:
    • Type: Indigenous Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar, developed by DRDO’s Electronics and Radar Development Establishment (LRDE).
    • Coverage: The Mk 2 will provide 300-degree radar coverage, a significant improvement over the Mk 1’s 240 degrees. This is achieved by adding a nose-mounted antenna to the main dorsal antenna, reducing blind spots to just 60 degrees at the tail [Ref 1, Ref 3].
      • Comparison: The Mk 1’s 240-degree coverage (120 degrees per side) left blind spots at the nose and tail, a vulnerability during the 2019 Balakot operation. The Mk 2’s 300-degree coverage aligns it closer to systems like the Saab 2000 Erieye (300 degrees) but still falls short of the 360-degree coverage of Pakistan’s ZDK-03 or the IAF’s A-50 Phalcon.
    • Detection Range: The AESA radar is expected to detect fighter-sized targets (RCS ~1 m²) at 350-400 km, compared to the Mk 1’s 200-300 km, due to the larger platform’s ability to support a more powerful radar and increased antenna size [Ref 3].
    • Tracking Capacity: The system can track up to 500 targets simultaneously, an upgrade from the Mk 1’s 300, leveraging improved processing power and AI-based algorithms for target recognition and classification.
  • Secondary Surveillance Radar (SSR):
    • The Mk 2 will feature an advanced Identification Friend or Foe (IFF) system, likely operating in Mode S (level 2), as mentioned in the DRDO web result for the Mk 1. Mode S provides selective addressing and data link capabilities, critical in dense airspaces [Ref 4].
    • Range: The IFF Mk XII(S) interrogator will have a range of over 400 km, compared to the Mk 1’s 375 km, enhancing target identification at longer distances [Ref 4].

3. Electronic Support Measures (ESM) and Electronic Intelligence (ELINT)

  • ESM Suite: The Mk 2 will include an upgraded ESM suite for detecting and analyzing enemy radar emissions across a wider frequency range (likely 0.5-40 GHz, compared to the Mk 1’s 1-18 GHz). This enables it to identify and locate advanced threats like Pakistan’s HQ-9 SAM systems or China’s JY-27A radar [Ref 3].
  • ELINT Capabilities: Enhanced ELINT gathering will allow the Mk 2 to map enemy radar networks, providing critical intelligence for planning strikes or electronic attacks. The system will use AI to automate emitter classification, reducing operator workload [Ref 2].

4. Electronic Warfare (EW) Capabilities

  • Electronic Countermeasures (ECM):
    • The Mk 2 will feature a significantly improved ECM suite, addressing the Mk 1’s “weaker EW capabilities” noted in Shaiq Uddin’s post. It will be capable of jamming enemy radar, communications, and data links over a larger area [Ref 1, Ref 3].
    • Jamming Range: While not specified, the Mk 2’s ECM range is expected to be 200-250 km, compared to the Mk 1’s ~100 km, due to higher power output and advanced waveform generation.
    • Tactical Jamming: The system can disrupt enemy AEW&C data links (e.g., ZDK-03 to JF-17), fighter jet radars, and ground-based air defenses, narrowing the gap with Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye [Ref 3].
  • Self-Protection Suite:
    • Radar Warning Receiver (RWR): Detects enemy radar emissions, alerting the crew to threats like SAMs or fighter jets.
    • Missile Approach Warning System (MAWS): Identifies incoming missiles, triggering countermeasures.
    • Chaff/Flare Dispensers: Enhanced dispensers will provide better protection against infrared and radar-guided missiles, critical in contested environments.
  • Limitations: While the Mk 2’s EW capabilities are a step forward, it may still fall short of strategic jamming (e.g., targeting geosynchronous satellites like PakSat-1R), a capability Pakistan allegedly demonstrated in 2025 with Chinese support [Ref 1].

5. Communication and Command-and-Control (C2)

  • Data Links: The Mk 2 will use secure, indigenous data links to share real-time radar, ESM, and ELINT data with IAF assets, including Rafale, Su-30MKI, and Tejas fighters, as well as ground-based systems like the S-400 and Akash SAMs [Ref 3].
  • Satellite Communication (SATCOM): Integration with India’s GSAT-7 and GSAT-7A satellites ensures beyond-line-of-sight (BLOS) communication, enabling coordination with distant command centers. The system will also support alternative SATCOM channels to mitigate jamming risks, a lesson from the 2025 conflict [Ref 1, Ref 4].
  • Voice Communication: Multiple radio systems (VHF/UHF/HF) provide redundancy, ensuring communication with IAF assets even if SATCOM is disrupted.
  • Mission Computer: An upgraded onboard mission computer with AI-based data fusion will enable operators to process and prioritize information faster, enhancing C2 in dynamic scenarios [Ref 4].

6. Interoperability and Network-Centric Warfare

  • Integration with IAF Systems: The Mk 2 will fully integrate with the IAF’s Integrated Air Command and Control System (IACCS), enabling seamless data sharing across air, ground, and naval assets [Ref 3].
  • Network-Centric Warfare (NCW): The system will enhance the IAF’s NCW capabilities by providing a real-time common operating picture (COP), allowing commanders to coordinate multi-domain operations more effectively [Ref 3].
  • UAV and Missile Support: The Mk 2 can guide UAVs (e.g., DRDO Rustom, Heron TP) and precision-guided munitions, vectoring them to targets using its radar and data links.

7. Operational Parameters

  • Altitude: The A321 platform will operate at 35,000-40,000 feet, higher than the Mk 1’s 30,000-35,000 feet, improving its ability to detect low-flying threats like cruise missiles or drones [Ref 3].
  • Speed: Cruising speed of ~Mach 0.78 (950 km/h), similar to the Mk 1, ensuring efficient coverage over large areas.
  • Air-to-Air Refueling: The A321 platform may be equipped for air-to-air refueling, extending its endurance beyond 8 hours, though this capability depends on IAF priorities and funding [Ref 3].

Development and Production Details

1. Timeline and Cost

  • Project Approval: The DAC cleared the AoN for the Netra Mk 2 on March 20, 2025, following earlier approvals for development [Ref 1].
  • Development Status: As of February 2024, the project was at an advanced stage, with a cost of ₹10,990 crore (US$1.3 billion) for six aircraft [Ref 2].
  • Delivery Schedule: Deliveries are expected between 2026 and 2027, with the first aircraft likely entering service by mid-2026 [Ref 1].

2. Industrial Partnership

  • Lead Integrator: Adani Defence & Aerospace has been designated as the L1 entity for the Netra Mk 2 project, responsible for converting the Airbus A321 airframes and integrating DRDO’s systems [Ref 1].
  • DRDO Role: CABS, LRDE, and other DRDO labs (e.g., Defence Electronics Application Laboratory, DEAL) are developing the radar, ESM, ECM, and communication systems [Ref 1, Ref 4].
  • IAF Involvement: The IAF’s project team at CABS has collaborated closely with DRDO, ensuring the system meets operational requirements [Ref 4].

3. Number of Units

  • Planned Fleet: The IAF aims to induct six Netra Mk 2 aircraft, doubling its current AEW&C fleet (three Netra Mk 1 units) and complementing the three A-50 Phalcon AWACS [Ref 2].
  • Strategic Impact: Six Mk 2 units will enable continuous AEW&C coverage along India’s western and northern borders, addressing the numerical disadvantage against Pakistan’s seven AEW&C platforms (four ZDK-03s, three Saab 2000 Erieyes) [Ref 5].

Comparison with Netra Mk 1 and Regional Systems

1. Netra Mk 1 vs. Netra Mk 2

Feature

Netra Mk 1

Netra Mk 2

Platform

Embraer EMB-145I

Airbus A321

Radar Coverage

240 degrees (120° per side)

300 degrees (with nose antenna)

Detection Range

200-300 km (fighter-sized target)

350-400 km (estimated)

Tracking Capacity

300 targets

500 targets

Endurance

5-6 hours

7-8 hours

EW Capabilities

Limited ECM, self-protection focus

Advanced ECM, tactical jamming

Crew

8-10 personnel

12-15 personnel

Delivery

2017-2019

2026-2027

  • Key Improvements:
    • Radar Coverage: The Mk 2’s 300-degree coverage reduces blind spots, addressing a major Mk 1 vulnerability.
    • EW Suite: Enhanced ECM capabilities make the Mk 2 more competitive against Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Erieye, though it may still lack strategic jamming (e.g., satellite disruption) [Ref 1].
    • Endurance and Range: The A321 platform’s longer endurance and range improve operational flexibility, critical for prolonged missions.

2. Netra Mk 2 vs. Regional Systems

  • Pakistan’s ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle:
    • Radar: The ZDK-03’s 360-degree coverage remains superior, but the Mk 2’s 300 degrees closes the gap significantly.
    • EW: The ZDK-03, with 2025 Chinese upgrades, has stronger strategic jamming (e.g., satellite jamming), but the Mk 2’s tactical ECM will be more competitive [Ref 1].
    • Endurance: Both systems offer 7-8 hours, but the Mk 2’s larger platform supports more advanced systems.
  • Pakistan’s Saab 2000 Erieye:
    • Radar: Both systems offer 300-degree coverage, but the Erieye’s ECM suite is more mature, giving it a slight edge in EW until the Mk 2 is fully operational.
    • Numbers: Pakistan’s three Erieyes (plus four ZDK-03s) outnumber India’s planned fleet, but the Mk 2’s six units will balance this by 2027 [Ref 5].
  • China’s KJ-500:
    • Radar: The KJ-500’s 360-degree coverage and 400 km detection range outclass the Mk 2, reflecting China’s technological lead.
    • EW: China’s advanced ECM and space-based SIGINT (e.g., Yaogan-30) give it a significant advantage, which the Mk 2 cannot fully counter without space-based support [Ref 1, Ref 5].

Role in Addressing 2025 Conflict Lessons

The 2025 India-Pakistan conflict, where Pakistan allegedly jammed India’s GSAT-7A, exposed vulnerabilities in India’s AEW&C and C2 systems [Ref 1]. The Netra Mk 2 addresses these lessons:

  • Enhanced EW: The upgraded ECM suite will allow the Mk 2 to counter Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Erieye more effectively, disrupting their data links and radar.
  • Improved Coverage: The 300-degree radar reduces blind spots, enhancing situational awareness in contested environments.
  • Redundancy: Integration with multiple SATCOM channels and AI-driven data fusion will make the Mk 2 less vulnerable to jamming, ensuring C2 continuity.
  • Numerical Advantage: Six units will enable continuous coverage, addressing the IAF’s current shortfall against Pakistan’s seven AEW&C platforms.

However, the Mk 2 is unlikely to match Pakistan’s alleged satellite-jamming capability by 2027, as this requires high-power ground-based or space-based jammers, which India is still developing [Ref 1].


Challenges and Future Prospects

  • Challenges:
    • Strategic Jamming Gap: The Mk 2 enhances tactical EW but may not enable satellite jamming, a capability Pakistan demonstrated with Chinese support [Ref 1].
    • Development Delays: DRDO projects often face delays; the 2026-2027 timeline could slip due to technical or funding issues.
    • China’s Lead: China’s KJ-500 and space-based SIGINT (e.g., Yaogan-30) will continue to outclass the Mk 2, requiring India to invest in complementary systems (e.g., space-based jammers) [Ref 5].
  • Future Prospects:
    • By 2030, the Mk 2 will give India a robust AEW&C capability, narrowing the gap with Pakistan and enhancing deterrence against China.
    • Integration with space-based EW (e.g., SIGINT satellites) and high-power ground-based jammers, if prioritized, could enable India to match Pakistan’s 2025 satellite-jamming feats.
    • Collaboration with allies like Israel or the U.S. could

 


 

Appendix 2 – The original post that triggered the inquiry

  The post speculates that the "alarming intelligence" prompting U.S. intervention in the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict involved Pakistan's advanced electronic warfare (EW) capabilities, potentially jamming India’s GSAT-7A satellite, critical for military communications and nuclear command, with support from Chinese technology like the ZDK-03 AEW&C.

  Pakistan’s upgraded EW systems, possibly enhanced since the 2019 standoff where they downed Indian jets, could have disrupted India’s command-and-control, risking a strategic crisis, while U.S. satellites like USA-245 likely detected these signal anomalies, leading to the ceasefire push.

  The analysis challenges the nuclear threat narrative, focusing on EW dominance as the real concern, supported by public data on Pakistan’s AEW&C deployments and India’s known satellite vulnerabilities, highlighting a shift in modern warfare toward electronic and cyber capabilities.

Let’s break down the credibility of Shaiq Uddin’s analysis in the X post about the "alarming intelligence" that prompted U.S. intervention in the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict. The post speculates that Pakistan’s advanced electronic warfare (EW) capabilities, possibly with Chinese support, disrupted India’s military communications (via GSAT-7A) and triggered the U.S. to push for a ceasefire. I’ll evaluate this based on technical plausibility, supporting evidence, potential biases, and gaps in the argument.


1. Technical Plausibility

Shaiq Uddin’s core claim is that Pakistan used upgraded electronic warfare capabilities, potentially involving platforms like the ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle AEW&C and Saab 2000 Erieye, to jam or interfere with India’s military satellite uplinks (GSAT-6 and GSAT-7A), which are critical for India’s command-and-control (C2), including its nuclear chain of command. Let’s assess this:

  • Pakistan’s EW Capabilities: The post correctly notes that Pakistan has invested in AEW&C platforms like the ZDK-03 (Chinese origin) and Saab 2000 Erieye (Swedish origin). According to the web results from GlobalSecurity.org, Pakistan ordered four ZDK-03s, with deliveries starting in 2010, and these platforms are designed for electronic surveillance, battlefield command, and early warning. These systems can perform signal intelligence (SIGINT) and electronic warfare tasks, including jamming enemy communications. Additionally, the post mentions Pakistan’s EW advancements since the 2019 India-Pakistan standoff, where Pakistan reportedly downed an Indian MiG-21 and claimed an Su-30MKI (though the latter claim was debunked). The 2019 incident demonstrated Pakistan’s ability to use EW effectively, as noted in the BulgarianMilitary.com article, which mentions electronic countermeasures in aerial engagements. So, Pakistan having the capability to conduct EW operations, including jamming, is plausible.
  • India’s GSAT Vulnerabilities: The post claims that India’s GSAT-7A, operated by the Indian Air Force, and GSAT-6, are central to military communications, including nuclear C2. The Wikipedia entry on GSAT-7 confirms that GSAT-7 (Rukmini) and GSAT-7A are multi-band military communication satellites used by the Indian Navy and Air Force for secure, real-time communications. These satellites operate in UHF, S, C, and Ku bands, and their role in nuclear C2 is plausible since they connect airbases, UAVs, and strategic forces. However, whether these satellites are vulnerable to jamming is less clear. Jamming a geosynchronous satellite (at 36,000 km altitude) requires sophisticated technology, including high-power signals or ground-based jammers targeting uplink/downlink frequencies. While theoretically possible, there’s no public evidence that Pakistan has successfully jammed Indian military satellites. The post’s claim that these vulnerabilities are “available online” is vague—general knowledge about GSAT’s role exists, but specific weaknesses (e.g., frequency bands susceptible to interference) are not widely documented in open sources.
  • Chinese Involvement: The post suggests China indirectly supported Pakistan’s EW efforts, possibly via the ZDK-03 and Yaogan-30 satellites for synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imaging. China’s Yaogan satellites are known for reconnaissance, and China has a history of military cooperation with Pakistan, including in EW (as noted in the 2019 upgrades). This is plausible, as China has advanced space and EW capabilities and a strategic interest in countering India, a regional rival. However, direct evidence of Chinese involvement in this specific conflict is absent.
  • U.S. Detection via Satellites: The post posits that U.S. satellites like USA-245 (KH-11) and PAN/NEMESIS (a SIGINT satellite) detected RF anomalies or signal disruptions. The Wikipedia entry on USA-245 confirms it’s a KH-11 reconnaissance satellite used for high-resolution optical and infrared imagery, launched in 2013. While KH-11 satellites are primarily for imaging, the U.S. does have SIGINT satellites (like PAN/NEMESIS) capable of detecting RF interference. The U.S. National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) has a history of monitoring global hotspots, and detecting signal anomalies in South Asia during a conflict is within their capabilities. This aspect of the analysis is credible.
  • Outcome of EW Dominance: The post argues that Pakistan’s EW edge could have “electronically blinded” India, risking strategic humiliation and damaging India’s nuclear deterrence credibility. This is a plausible concern in modern warfare, where EW can disrupt C2 systems, as seen in conflicts like the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, where Azerbaijan used Turkish EW systems to jam Armenian defenses. However, the leap to “strategic decapitation” (disabling India’s nuclear C2) is speculative without evidence of the scale and success of the alleged jamming.

Verdict on Technical Plausibility: The scenario is technically feasible. Pakistan has the EW platforms to attempt jamming, India’s satellites could theoretically be targeted, China could play a supporting role, and the U.S. could detect such disruptions. However, the specifics—like the effectiveness of the jamming, the exact role of Chinese satellites, and the impact on India’s nuclear C2—lack corroboration and rely on speculation.


2. Supporting Evidence

Shaiq Uddin provides five reasons to support his confidence (60-70%) in the analysis:

  • AEW&C Presence: He claims the presence of ZDK-03 and Erieye during high-alert periods is “publicly documented,” citing PAF press briefings. The web results confirm Pakistan’s acquisition of ZDK-03s and their role in AEW&C missions, and PAF’s 2010 rollout ceremony for the ZDK-03 supports their operational use. This point is credible.
  • GSAT Vulnerabilities: He asserts that India’s GSAT-based nuclear C2 vulnerabilities are “available online.” While GSAT-7’s role in military communications is public (per Wikipedia), specific vulnerabilities to jamming are not well-documented in open sources. This claim is partially credible but lacks specificity.
  • Pakistan’s EW Advancements: The post highlights Pakistan’s EW upgrades since 2019, supported by Chinese cooperation. The BulgarianMilitary.com article notes Pakistan’s use of EW in 2019, and the post mentions upgrades to ZDK-03s in April 2025. While the 2019 precedent is credible, the April 2025 upgrade claim lacks a verifiable source in the provided data.
  • U.S. ISR Capabilities: The ability of U.S. satellites to detect signal anomalies is well-established, as noted with USA-245 and PAN/NEMESIS. This is credible.
  • CNN’s Framing: The post argues that CNN’s vague reference to “alarming intelligence” without mentioning nuclear threats aligns with electronic disruptions. This interpretation is reasonable, as nuclear threats would likely be explicitly mentioned if they were the concern. However, it’s still speculative without official confirmation.

Additional Context from Replies:

  • A reply by SaadRaja (

@SbZbNRaja

) cites an Indian defense analyst, Rafael Narezi, warning about India’s vulnerabilities to cyber and EW attacks, including the risk of communication blackouts. This supports the post’s premise that India’s systems might be susceptible, but Narezi’s post (from 2025) is a general warning, not specific to this conflict.

  • Other replies (e.g., Khan Mohsin, Aurangzeb Khan) echo the idea that Pakistan’s EW dominance could challenge Western perceptions of India’s military strength, but these are opinions, not evidence.

Verdict on Evidence: The post relies on a mix of verified facts (Pakistan’s AEW&C capabilities, U.S. satellite surveillance) and speculative leaps (GSAT jamming, Chinese involvement). While some claims are grounded in public data, others—like the specifics of the April 2025 ZDK-03 upgrades or the exact nature of the “alarming intelligence”—lack direct evidence.


3. Potential Biases

  • Author’s Perspective: Shaiq Uddin appears to lean toward a pro-Pakistan narrative, emphasizing Pakistan’s technological edge and India’s vulnerabilities. The dismissal of the nuclear threat narrative as “Indian godi media” propaganda suggests a bias against Indian media narratives, which are often nationalistic. However, the post avoids overt jingoism and focuses on technical analysis, which lends it some objectivity.
  • Geopolitical Context: The post aligns with a broader narrative of Pakistan-China cooperation countering India, a U.S. ally in the Quad. The suggestion that the U.S. intervened to prevent India’s “strategic humiliation” fits a geopolitical framing where the U.S. seeks to maintain India’s deterrence credibility against China. This interpretation is plausible but may overstate U.S. motives without evidence.
  • Audience Engagement: The post’s call for likes, retweets, and follows, along with hashtags like #PakistanAirForce, suggests an intent to appeal to a Pakistan-leaning audience on X, which could influence the tone and framing.

Verdict on Bias: The post shows a pro-Pakistan tilt but is not overtly propagandistic. Its technical focus and use of OSINT mitigate some bias, though the narrative may be shaped to appeal to a specific audience.


4. Gaps and Counterpoints

  • Lack of Official Confirmation: The post relies on OSINT and speculation, as the author admits. Without official statements from the U.S., India, or Pakistan, the exact nature of the “alarming intelligence” remains unverified. CNN’s report (May 10, 2025) is vague, and no declassified intelligence has surfaced to confirm EW as the trigger.
  • Scale of Jamming: Jamming a geosynchronous satellite like GSAT-7A is a complex operation. While Pakistan may have the capability, the post doesn’t address whether the jamming was sustained or significant enough to disrupt India’s C2 on a strategic level. Temporary disruptions might not warrant U.S. intervention.
  • India’s Response: The post speculates that India’s leadership, in “panic mode” after losing Rafales and S-400s to PAF, might have bypassed nuclear command procedures. This is a major claim with no evidence. India’s nuclear C2 is designed with redundancies (e.g., ground-based communication backups), and such a breakdown seems unlikely without catastrophic failure across multiple systems.
  • Nuclear Threat Narrative: While the post dismisses nuclear threats, the India-Pakistan context—both being nuclear powers—means that any escalation risks nuclear miscalculation. The U.S. might have intervened to prevent missteps, even if the immediate issue was EW, making the nuclear angle harder to rule out entirely.
  • Chinese Role: The involvement of Chinese satellites (Yaogan-30) and indirect support is speculative. While China-Pakistan cooperation is well-documented, direct evidence of China’s role in this specific incident is missing.

Verdict on Gaps: The analysis has significant gaps, particularly around the scale of the alleged jamming, India’s response, and the lack of official confirmation. These gaps undermine its credibility, though they don’t disprove the theory outright.


5. Broader Context and Likelihood

  • Modern Warfare Trends: The post’s focus on EW aligns with global trends in warfare, where electronic and cyber capabilities are increasingly decisive. Conflicts like Ukraine-Russia (2022-2025) have shown the importance of EW in disrupting enemy C2, lending credence to the idea that EW could be a major factor in India-Pakistan tensions.
  • U.S. Intervention Motives: The U.S. has a history of intervening in India-Pakistan conflicts (e.g., Kargil 1999) to prevent escalation, especially given the nuclear risk. The post’s argument that the U.S. acted to prevent India’s strategic humiliation is plausible, as a weakened India could embolden China in the Indo-Pacific, countering U.S. interests.
  • Pakistan’s Strategic Goals: Pakistan showcasing EW dominance could serve as a deterrent against India, signaling that it can counter India’s conventional superiority without resorting to nuclear threats. This aligns with Pakistan’s military doctrine, which emphasizes asymmetric capabilities.

Final Assessment: Is This Credible?

Shaiq Uddin’s analysis is partially credible but speculative. Here’s the breakdown:

  • Strengths: The technical foundation is sound—Pakistan’s EW capabilities, India’s reliance on GSAT satellites, and U.S. surveillance abilities are all well-documented. The focus on EW as a modern warfare tool aligns with global trends, and the dismissal of the nuclear threat narrative is reasonable given CNN’s vague framing.
  • Weaknesses: The analysis relies heavily on speculation (e.g., GSAT jamming, India’s nuclear C2 breakdown, Chinese involvement) without direct evidence. The lack of official confirmation and the complexity of jamming geosynchronous satellites introduce significant uncertainty.
  • Likelihood: I’d rate the scenario as 40-50% likely. It’s a plausible explanation for the “alarming intelligence,” but alternative explanations—like a broader risk of escalation or miscommunication—can’t be ruled out. The post overreaches on some claims (e.g., strategic decapitation, India’s panic mode) without sufficient evidence.

Recommendation: Treat this as an informed hypothesis rather than a definitive explanation. Cross-check with additional sources, especially if official statements or declassified intelligence emerge. The post offers a valuable perspective on the role of EW in modern conflicts, but its conclusions should be taken with caution due to the speculative nature of key claims.


 

Appendix 3 – How was India able to carry out precision targeting at airbases deep inside Pakistan?

 

Let’s analyze how India was able to carry out precision targeting at airbases deep inside Pakistan, as described in the web results from The Guardian (published May 10, 2025), despite the speculated electronic warfare (EW) disruptions highlighted in Shaiq Uddin’s X post . The Guardian article states that India conducted "precision attacks only on identified military targets" in response to alleged Pakistani missile strikes on Indian airbases, while Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests Pakistan may have disrupted India’s military communications, potentially via jamming of the GSAT-7A satellite. I’ll break this down by examining India’s capabilities, potential mitigating factors, and the broader context of the conflict.


1. Context of India’s Precision Strikes

The Guardian reports that on May 6, 2025, India launched "Operation Sindoor," targeting nine sites in Pakistan and Pakistan-administered Jammu and Kashmir, which India alleged were used to plan attacks. These strikes were in retaliation for Pakistani high-speed missile attacks on Indian airbases in Punjab at around 2 a.m. on the same day. The Indian foreign secretary, Vikram Misri, described the response as “swift and calibrated,” focusing on “identified military targets.” Meanwhile, Shaiq Uddin’s post speculates that Pakistan, possibly with Chinese support, used advanced EW capabilities (e.g., via ZDK-03 AEW&C platforms) to jam India’s GSAT-7A satellite, which is critical for military communications, including command-and-control (C2) for air operations and nuclear assets. If India’s satellite communications were disrupted, how did India manage to execute deep precision strikes?


2. India’s Capabilities for Precision Targeting

India has developed significant capabilities for precision strikes, which likely enabled it to carry out these attacks despite potential EW challenges. Let’s examine the key elements:

  • Aircraft and Weaponry:
    • Fighter Jets: India’s air force includes advanced platforms like the Dassault Rafale, Sukhoi Su-30MKI, and Mirage 2000, all capable of long-range precision strikes. The Rafale, for instance, is equipped with the SCALP (Storm Shadow) air-launched cruise missile, which has a range of over 560 km and can strike deep targets with high accuracy using inertial, GPS, and terrain-referencing navigation. The Mirage 2000, used in the 2019 Balakot airstrike, can deploy precision-guided munitions like the Spice 2000 bomb, which also uses GPS and electro-optical guidance for accuracy.
    • Missiles: India has indigenous long-range precision weapons like the BrahMos supersonic cruise missile (range ~400-600 km, depending on the variant), which can be launched from air, land, or sea platforms. The BrahMos uses a combination of inertial navigation, GPS, and active radar homing for terminal guidance, making it effective against hardened targets like airbases.
  • Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR):
    • Satellites: India relies on satellites like Cartosat (for high-resolution imagery) and RISAT (for synthetic aperture radar imaging, capable of all-weather, day-night surveillance) to identify and monitor targets. While Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests GSAT-7A (a communication satellite) was jammed, India’s ISR satellites operate on different frequencies and may not have been affected. For example, Cartosat-3, launched in 2019, provides 0.25-meter resolution imagery, ideal for identifying military targets.
    • UAVs and Drones: India operates indigenous drones like the DRDO Rustom and has acquired foreign platforms like the Israeli Heron TP, which can provide real-time surveillance and target acquisition over long ranges. Drones often use line-of-sight communication or alternative satellite links, potentially bypassing disruptions to GSAT-7A.
    • Human Intelligence (HUMINT) and SIGINT: India likely used ground-based intelligence networks and signal intelligence to corroborate satellite data. The Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) and military intelligence units could have provided target coordinates, especially for known Pakistani airbases.
  • Navigation and Guidance Systems:
    • Modern precision-guided munitions (PGMs) like the Spice 2000 and SCALP rely on multiple guidance systems, including GPS, inertial navigation, and electro-optical or infrared imaging for terminal guidance. Even if GPS signals were jammed (a common EW tactic), these weapons can fall back on inertial navigation or preloaded terrain data to reach their targets. For instance, the Spice 2000 uses a “scene-matching” algorithm to compare stored images of the target with real-time visuals, ensuring accuracy without continuous satellite communication.

3. Mitigating Factors Against EW Disruptions

Shaiq Uddin’s post speculates that Pakistan jammed India’s GSAT-7A, potentially disrupting military C2. However, several factors could have allowed India to mitigate this and still execute precision strikes:

  • Redundancies in Communication:
    • Ground-Based Systems: India’s military C2 infrastructure includes ground-based communication networks, such as fiber-optic links and microwave relays, which can serve as backups if satellite uplinks are disrupted. The Indian Air Force (IAF) likely used these to coordinate strikes, especially for targets that were pre-identified.
    • Other Satellites: India has a constellation of communication satellites beyond GSAT-7A, including GSAT-7 (used by the Navy) and civilian satellites like INSAT, which can be repurposed in emergencies. While GSAT-7A is critical for IAF operations, the IAF could have switched to alternative channels, albeit with reduced efficiency.
    • Line-of-Sight Communication: For aircraft operating closer to Indian territory or within range of ground stations, line-of-sight radio communication (e.g., via VHF/UHF) could have been used to relay targeting data, bypassing satellite reliance.
  • Pre-Planned Targets:
    • The Guardian notes that India struck “identified military targets,” suggesting these were known locations, such as Pakistani airbases. India likely had pre-existing intelligence on these targets, including coordinates and imagery, stored in mission planning systems. For instance, airbases like PAF Base Mushaf (Sargodha) or PAF Base Rafiqui (Shorkot) are fixed, high-value targets that India has likely monitored for years. Precision strikes on such targets wouldn’t require real-time satellite communication if the coordinates were already programmed into the weapons or aircraft systems.
  • Autonomous Weapon Systems:
    • Many of India’s PGMs, like the BrahMos and SCALP, are “fire-and-forget” weapons. Once launched, they don’t require continuous communication with the launching platform or satellites. Their onboard guidance systems (inertial, GPS, or imaging) can guide them to the target even if EW disrupts external communications. For example, the BrahMos can be pre-programmed with target coordinates and uses active radar homing in the terminal phase, making it resistant to jamming.
  • Limited Scale of Jamming:
    • Shaiq Uddin’s post doesn’t confirm the extent of the alleged GSAT-7A jamming. Jamming a geosynchronous satellite (at 36,000 km altitude) requires significant power and precise targeting of uplink/downlink frequencies. If Pakistan’s jamming was intermittent or only partially effective, India may have retained enough satellite connectivity to execute strikes. Alternatively, the jamming may have occurred after India’s initial retaliation, as the Pakistani attacks (2 a.m.) and India’s response (part of Operation Sindoor on May 6) were rapid, leaving little time for sustained EW effects.
  • AEW&C Limitations:
    • India’s own AEW&C platforms, like the DRDO Netra (mentioned in the Wikipedia entry on GSAT-7), could have provided situational awareness, even if less capable than Pakistan’s ZDK-03 or Erieye. The Netra, mounted on an Embraer EMB-145I, has a 240-degree radar coverage and can detect aerial threats at 200-300 km. While Shaiq Uddin notes its “limited range and weaker EW capabilities,” it could still have supported strike missions by providing early warning and target tracking, reducing reliance on satellite links.

4. Timeline and Operational Dynamics

The timeline of events offers clues about how India managed the strikes:

  • Pakistani Attack (2 a.m., May 6, 2025): Pakistan allegedly struck Indian airbases in Punjab, including Pathankot, Srinagar, and Udhampur, using missiles, drones, and fighter aircraft. The Guardian notes that India “neutralized these threats,” but some damage was done to equipment and personnel at four airbases.
  • India’s Response (Operation Sindoor, May 6, 2025): India launched strikes on nine sites in Pakistan, described as “swift and calibrated.” The rapid response suggests India relied on pre-planned contingencies and existing intelligence, minimizing the need for real-time satellite communication.

Analysis:

  • Speed of Response: The quick turnaround (within hours) indicates India likely used pre-existing target data and relied on aircraft or missile systems that didn’t need continuous satellite uplinks. For example, Rafale jets could have been scrambled from bases like Ambala (near Punjab) with preloaded mission data, using SCALP missiles to strike targets deep inside Pakistan.
  • EW Timing: If Pakistan’s alleged jamming of GSAT-7A occurred, it may have been in response to India’s strikes, as a defensive measure to disrupt further Indian operations. Alternatively, the jamming may have been partial, affecting India’s broader C2 but not the initial strike planning, which could have been coordinated via ground-based systems or alternative channels.

5. Broader Context and Challenges

While India managed to execute precision strikes, the conflict’s broader context highlights challenges that align with Shaiq Uddin’s analysis:

  • Pakistan’s EW Edge: Shaiq Uddin’s post notes Pakistan’s superior AEW&C and EW capabilities, supported by Chinese technology. The Guardian article mentions Pakistani media claims of destroying Indian airbases and advanced weapons systems (e.g., Rafales, S-400s), which India dismissed as propaganda. However, Shaiq Uddin’s speculation that India’s Rafales and S-400s were “neutralized” by Pakistan’s EW suggests that India may have faced disruptions in its air defense and situational awareness, even if not in the initial strike phase. For example, the S-400 relies on networked radar and communication systems, which could be vulnerable to jamming, but India’s offensive strikes likely preceded such disruptions.
  • India’s Nuclear C2 Concerns: Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests that India’s leadership, in “panic mode” after losing key assets, might have bypassed nuclear command procedures. While this is speculative, it underscores the risk of escalation if India’s C2 was indeed compromised. India’s ability to execute precision strikes indicates that its offensive C2 remained functional, but broader strategic communications (e.g., for nuclear forces) may have been at risk, prompting U.S. intervention.
  • U.S. Role: The CNN report (May 10, 2025) about “alarming intelligence” and U.S. calls for a ceasefire suggests that the situation escalated beyond the initial strikes. India’s successful retaliation may have prompted Pakistan to intensify EW efforts, leading to the signal anomalies detected by U.S. satellites (e.g., USA-245, PAN/NEMESIS), as Shaiq Uddin posits.

6. How India Likely Succeeded

Here’s a step-by-step explanation of how India likely carried out the precision strikes despite potential EW disruptions:

  • Pre-Existing Intelligence: India had prior intelligence on Pakistani airbases, likely from satellites (Cartosat, RISAT), drones, and HUMINT. Targets were pre-identified, with coordinates stored in mission planning systems.
  • Rapid Response Planning: After the Pakistani attack at 2 a.m., India used ground-based communication networks and possibly alternative satellite links (e.g., GSAT-7, INSAT) to coordinate a response. The IAF likely activated contingency plans, assigning targets to aircraft like Rafales or missile systems like BrahMos.
  • Autonomous Strike Systems: India deployed aircraft and missiles with autonomous guidance systems (e.g., SCALP, BrahMos, Spice 2000), which don’t require continuous satellite communication. These systems used inertial navigation, preloaded terrain data, and onboard sensors to reach their targets.
  • Localized Situational Awareness: India’s Netra AEW&C and ground-based radars (e.g., at Ambala or Pathankot) provided enough situational awareness to launch strikes, even if Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Erieye had an EW edge. Drones like the Heron TP may have provided additional targeting data.
  • Limited Jamming Impact: If Pakistan jammed GSAT-7A, the impact may have been limited or occurred after India’s initial strikes. India’s rapid response minimized the window for effective EW, and redundancies in communication ensured operational continuity.

7. Conclusion

India was able to carry out precision targeting at airbases deep inside Pakistan due to a combination of pre-existing intelligence, autonomous weapon systems, and redundancies in its C2 infrastructure. While Pakistan may have disrupted India’s satellite communications (e.g., GSAT-7A) with EW, as speculated by Shaiq Uddin, this likely didn’t affect the initial retaliatory strikes, which relied on pre-planned targets and fire-and-forget munitions. India’s advanced fighter jets (Rafale, Su-30MKI), long-range missiles (BrahMos), and ISR capabilities (Cartosat, drones) enabled it to strike with precision, even under potential EW pressure. However, Pakistan’s EW capabilities may have posed challenges to India’s broader C2 and air defense, contributing to the “alarming intelligence” that prompted U.S. intervention, as suggested in the CNN report.

This scenario highlights the complexity of modern warfare, where EW can disrupt operations, but redundancies, pre-planning, and autonomous systems allow for effective responses—at least in the short term. India’s success in the initial strikes doesn’t negate Shaiq Uddin’s broader point about Pakistan’s EW dominance, which may have influenced the conflict’s trajectory and the U.S. decision to push for a ceasefire.

 


 

Appendix 4 – Analysis of the capabilities of netra system

Let’s analyze the capabilities of the DRDO Netra Airborne Early Warning and Control System (AEW&CS), an indigenous platform developed by India’s Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) for the Indian Air Force (IAF). The Netra system is designed to enhance situational awareness, command-and-control (C2), and air defense capabilities. I’ll break down its technical specifications, operational performance, strengths, limitations, and planned upgrades, drawing on the provided web results and general knowledge of AEW&C systems.


1. Overview of the Netra AEW&CS

The Netra AEW&CS, also referred to as the DRDO AEW&CS, is India’s first indigenous airborne early warning system, developed by the Centre for Airborne Systems (CABS) under DRDO. It is mounted on a modified Embraer EMB-145I aircraft, a Brazilian jet platform chosen for its reliability and availability. The system was designed to provide the IAF with enhanced surveillance, early warning, and C2 capabilities, particularly in the context of regional threats from Pakistan and China.

  • Development Timeline:
    • The project began in the early 2000s to reduce India’s dependence on foreign AEW&C systems like the Russian A-50 Phalcon.
    • The first Netra aircraft was delivered to the IAF on February 14, 2017, during the Aero Indonesia event, as noted in the Wikipedia entry (DRDO AEW&CS).
    • Initial Operational Clearance (IOC) was achieved by October 2017, with the second aircraft delivered on September 11, 2019, and deployed at Bathinda Air Base in Punjab.
    • The third aircraft was retained by DRDO for research and development.
  • Operational Use:
    • The Netra saw its first combat usage during the Balakot airstrike on February 26, 2019, supporting IAF operations against targets in Pakistan.
    • As of 2025, the IAF operates three Netra systems, with plans for upgrades and replacements (Netra Mk 2).

2. Technical Specifications and Capabilities

The Netra AEW&CS integrates advanced radar, communication, and electronic warfare systems to provide a 360-degree view of the battlefield. Below are its key capabilities:

a. Radar and Surveillance

  • Primary Radar:
    • The Netra is equipped with an Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar developed by DRDO, mounted in a dorsal configuration on the aircraft’s fuselage.
    • Coverage: The radar provides 240-degree coverage, with two antenna arrays on either side of the aircraft, each covering 120 degrees. This leaves a 60-degree blind spot at the nose and tail, a limitation compared to 360-degree systems like the Israeli Phalcon on the IAF’s A-50.
    • Range: The AESA radar can detect aerial targets (e.g., fighter jets, drones) at ranges of 200-300 km, depending on the target’s radar cross-section (RCS). For a typical fighter jet (RCS ~1 m²), detection range is around 240 km, as noted in general sources on AEW&C systems.
    • Tracking Capacity: The system can track up to 300 targets simultaneously, including aircraft, missiles, and drones, providing real-time situational awareness.
  • Secondary Surveillance Radar (SSR):
    • The Netra includes an Identification Friend or Foe (IFF) system to distinguish between friendly and hostile targets, critical for avoiding fratricide in dense airspaces.
    • The IFF system operates in conjunction with the primary radar, enhancing target classification.

b. Electronic Support Measures (ESM)

  • The Netra is equipped with ESM sensors to detect and analyze enemy radar emissions, such as those from ground-based air defense systems or hostile aircraft.
  • It can intercept and classify radar signals across a wide frequency range (likely 1-18 GHz, typical for AEW&C systems), enabling it to identify threats like surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems (e.g., Pakistan’s HQ-9 or LY-80).
  • ESM also supports limited electronic intelligence (ELINT) collection, allowing the Netra to map enemy radar locations for future strikes.

c. Communication and Command-and-Control (C2)

  • Data Links: The Netra uses secure data links to share real-time radar and ESM data with ground control stations, fighter jets, and other assets. It likely employs a variant of the IAF’s Integrated Air Command and Control System (IACCS) data link, which connects airbases, radar units, and aircraft.
  • Satellite Communication (SATCOM): The system integrates with India’s GSAT-7 and GSAT-7A military communication satellites (as noted in the Wikipedia entry on GSAT-7), enabling beyond-line-of-sight (BLOS) communication. This allows the Netra to relay information to command centers far from the operational area.
  • Voice Communication: The aircraft has multiple radio systems (VHF/UHF/HF) for direct communication with IAF fighters and ground stations, ensuring redundancy if SATCOM is disrupted (e.g., by jamming, as speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post).

d. Electronic Warfare (EW) Capabilities

  • Self-Protection Suite: The Netra is equipped with a Radar Warning Receiver (RWR), Missile Approach Warning System (MAWS), and chaff/flare dispensers to defend against enemy missiles and fighters.
  • Limited Jamming: While the Netra has some electronic countermeasures (ECM) capabilities, its EW suite is weaker compared to more advanced platforms like Pakistan’s ZDK-03 or Saab 2000 Erieye (as noted in Shaiq Uddin’s post). It can jam enemy radar or communication in a limited capacity, but its primary role is surveillance, not offensive EW.

e. Platform Specifications

  • Aircraft: The Embraer EMB-145I provides a stable platform with a cruising speed of ~Mach 0.78 (950 km/h) and an endurance of 5-6 hours, extendable with air-to-air refueling (though the IAF’s current Netra fleet lacks this capability).
  • Altitude: The Netra operates at 30,000-35,000 feet, allowing it to detect low-flying targets (e.g., cruise missiles or drones) that ground-based radars might miss due to terrain masking.
  • Crew: The aircraft carries a crew of 8-10, including radar operators, communication specialists, and mission commanders.

f. Interoperability

  • The Netra is designed to integrate with IAF assets like Rafale, Su-30MKI, and Tejas fighters, as well as ground-based air defense systems like the S-400 and Akash SAMs.
  • It can guide fighters to intercept targets, vectoring them using real-time radar data, and coordinate with ground stations for a networked air defense response.

3. Operational Performance

The Netra has been deployed in operational scenarios, providing insight into its effectiveness:

  • Balakot Airstrike (2019):
    • During the Balakot operation on February 26, 2019, the Netra supported IAF Mirage 2000 jets by providing early warning of Pakistani F-16s scrambled in response. It tracked Pakistani aircraft movements and relayed data to ground controllers, helping the IAF maintain situational awareness.
    • However, the Netra’s 240-degree radar coverage limited its ability to monitor threats approaching from the nose or tail, a potential vulnerability exploited by Pakistan during the subsequent skirmish on February 27, 2019, when an Indian MiG-21 was shot down.
  • Deployment at Bathinda:
    • The Netra’s deployment at Bathinda Air Base in Punjab positions it to monitor the western border with Pakistan, a key area of tension. Its range allows it to cover much of Punjab, Rajasthan, and parts of Pakistan, including airbases like PAF Base Mushaf (Sargodha).
  • Role in 2025 Conflict:
    • In the context of the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict (as described in The Guardian article and Shaiq Uddin’s post), the Netra likely supported India’s retaliatory strikes under “Operation Sindoor.” It could have detected Pakistani aircraft or missiles during the initial attack on Indian airbases (at 2 a.m. on May 6, 2025) and provided targeting data for India’s response, despite potential EW disruptions from Pakistan.

4. Strengths of the Netra System

  • Indigenous Technology: The Netra is a significant achievement for India’s defense industry, reducing reliance on foreign AEW&C systems. Its AESA radar and ESM suite are domestically developed, showcasing DRDO’s technological capabilities.
  • Cost-Effectiveness: Compared to larger AEW&C platforms like the A-50 Phalcon (which costs ~$500 million per unit), the Netra is more affordable, with the EMB-145I platform costing around $50-60 million per aircraft, plus development costs.
  • Compact Platform: The EMB-145I is smaller and more fuel-efficient than larger AEW&C aircraft like the Boeing 737-based E-7 Wedgetail, making it easier to deploy and maintain.
  • Integration with IAF Systems: The Netra’s data links and SATCOM integration with GSAT-7/7A ensure seamless coordination with other IAF assets, enhancing networked warfare capabilities.
  • Low-Flying Target Detection: Operating at high altitudes, the Netra can detect low-flying threats like cruise missiles or drones, a critical capability given Pakistan’s use of such systems (as seen in the 2025 conflict).

5. Limitations of the Netra System

While the Netra is a capable system, it has several limitations, some of which are highlighted in Shaiq Uddin’s post:

  • Limited Radar Coverage:
    • The 240-degree radar coverage leaves blind spots at the nose and tail, a significant drawback compared to 360-degree systems like the Phalcon or Pakistan’s ZDK-03. This requires the Netra to operate in orbits that minimize exposure of its blind spots to enemy threats, potentially reducing its operational flexibility.
  • Weaker EW Capabilities:
    • Shaiq Uddin notes that the Netra’s EW capabilities are “relatively weaker” compared to Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye, which benefit from Chinese and Turkish technological support. The Netra’s ECM suite is primarily defensive (e.g., self-protection against missiles), with limited ability to jam enemy radar or communications on a large scale.
  • Endurance and Range:
    • The EMB-145I’s endurance of 5-6 hours is shorter than larger AEW&C platforms like the A-50 (8-10 hours) or the ZDK-03 (7-8 hours). Without air-to-air refueling, the Netra’s time on station is limited, requiring more frequent rotations during prolonged operations.
    • Its operational range (~2,500 km ferry range) is also constrained, meaning it must operate from forward bases like Bathinda to cover Pakistan’s airspace effectively.
  • Vulnerability to Jamming:
    • Shaiq Uddin’s post speculates that Pakistan jammed India’s GSAT-7A satellite, which the Netra relies on for BLOS communication. While the Netra has line-of-sight radio backups, sustained jamming of SATCOM could degrade its ability to relay data to distant command centers, forcing it to operate closer to friendly ground stations.
  • Platform Limitations:
    • The EMB-145I is a smaller aircraft compared to platforms like the Airbus A330 or Boeing 737, limiting the size and power of the radar and onboard systems. This affects its detection range and processing capacity compared to larger AEW&C systems.
  • Numbers and Availability:
    • The IAF currently operates only three Netra systems, a small number compared to Pakistan’s fleet of seven AEW&C platforms (four ZDK-03s and three Saab 2000 Erieyes, as per the Eurasia Review article). This limits India’s ability to maintain continuous AEW&C coverage across its western and northern borders.

6. Comparison with Regional AEW&C Systems

To contextualize the Netra’s capabilities, let’s compare it with Pakistan’s and China’s AEW&C systems, as mentioned in the web results:

  • Pakistan’s ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle:
    • Platform: Based on the Chinese Y-8 (a derivative of the Soviet An-12), the ZDK-03 is larger than the EMB-145I, offering greater endurance (7-8 hours) and payload capacity.
    • Radar: It features a 360-degree AESA radar in a rotating radome, providing full coverage without blind spots, a clear advantage over the Netra’s 240-degree coverage.
    • EW Capabilities: Shaiq Uddin notes that the ZDK-03 has been upgraded (as of April 2025) with Chinese assistance, enhancing its EW capabilities, including jamming. This makes it more effective in contested environments.
    • Numbers: Pakistan operates four ZDK-03s, giving it a numerical edge over India’s three Netra systems.
  • Pakistan’s Saab 2000 Erieye:
    • Platform: The Saab 2000 is a Swedish turboprop aircraft, similar in size to the EMB-145I, with an endurance of ~6 hours.
    • Radar: It uses an AESA radar with 300-degree coverage (150 degrees per side), slightly better than the Netra but still with blind spots at the nose and tail.
    • EW: The Erieye has stronger ECM capabilities than the Netra, including the ability to jam enemy radar and communications, as noted in Shaiq Uddin’s post.
    • Numbers: Pakistan has three Erieyes (though the web result mentions eight, which may include planned acquisitions), further bolstering its AEW&C fleet.
  • China’s KJ-500 and KJ-2000:
    • Platform: The KJ-500 is based on the Y-9 airframe, while the KJ-2000 uses the Il-76 platform, both larger than the EMB-145I.
    • Radar: Both feature 360-degree AESA radars, with the KJ-500 having a detection range of ~400 km for fighter-sized targets, significantly outranging the Netra.
    • EW: China’s AEW&C platforms are equipped with advanced ECM suites, capable of large-scale jamming and electronic attack, far surpassing the Netra’s capabilities.
    • Numbers: China operates 20 KJ-500s, four KJ-200s, and four KJ-2000s (per the Eurasia Review article), giving it a massive numerical and technological advantage over India.

Comparison Verdict: The Netra lags behind Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Erieye in radar coverage, EW capabilities, and numbers, and it is significantly outclassed by China’s AEW&C fleet. This aligns with Shaiq Uddin’s assessment that Pakistan had an “electronic warfare edge” in the 2025 conflict, though the Netra’s role in surveillance and C2 remains valuable for India.


7. Planned Upgrades: Netra Mk 2

Recognizing the Netra’s limitations, India is developing the Netra Mk 2, an upgraded variant with enhanced capabilities. Key details from the web results:

  • Platform: The Mk 2 will use second-hand Airbus A321 aircraft acquired from Air India, a larger platform than the EMB-145I, offering greater endurance (7-8 hours) and payload capacity.
  • Radar: The Mk 2 will feature an upgraded AESA radar with 300-degree coverage, achieved by adding a nose-mounted antenna to the dorsal array (as per the Wikipedia entry on DRDO AEW&CS). This reduces blind spots, though it still falls short of 360-degree coverage.
  • Sensors and Systems: The Mk 2 will include more advanced ESM, ELINT, and ECM suites, addressing the current Netra’s weaker EW capabilities. The DRDO CABS is developing a “more advanced mission suite” (Eurasia Review article), likely incorporating AI-based target recognition and data fusion.
  • Timeline and Cost: Development is at an advanced stage as of February 2024, with a cost of ₹10,990 crore (US$1.3 billion) for six aircraft. Deliveries are expected in 2026-27.
  • Strategic Impact: The Mk 2 will significantly enhance the IAF’s AEW&C capabilities, narrowing the gap with Pakistan and China, though India will still need more units to match their numerical advantage.

8. Role in the 2025 Conflict

In the context of the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict (as described in The Guardian and Shaiq Uddin’s post), the Netra likely played a key role despite its limitations:

  • Surveillance: The Netra could have detected Pakistani aircraft and missiles during the initial attack on Indian airbases (2 a.m., May 6, 2025), providing early warning and tracking data to IAF fighters and air defenses.
  • Support for Strikes: During India’s retaliatory strikes (Operation Sindoor), the Netra likely provided situational awareness, guiding Rafale or Su-30MKI jets to their targets and monitoring Pakistani air activity.
  • EW Challenges: Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests Pakistan jammed India’s GSAT-7A, which the Netra relies on for BLOS communication. However, the Netra’s line-of-sight data links and radio systems likely allowed it to continue supporting operations, albeit with reduced effectiveness if operating far from ground stations.

9. Conclusion: Netra’s Capabilities

The Netra AEW&CS is a capable system for its intended role, providing the IAF with indigenous early warning, surveillance, and C2 capabilities. Its AESA radar, ESM suite, and integration with IAF systems make it a valuable asset for monitoring regional threats and supporting operations like the Balakot airstrike and the 2025 conflict. However, it has notable limitations, including its 240-degree radar coverage, weaker EW capabilities, limited endurance, and small fleet size, which put it at a disadvantage compared to Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye, and China’s KJ-500.

The planned Netra Mk 2 addresses some of these shortcomings with improved radar coverage, a larger platform, and enhanced EW capabilities, but until its deployment in 2026-27, the IAF will rely on the current Netra systems alongside its three A-50 Phalcon AWACS for AEW&C duties. In the 2025 conflict, the Netra likely played a supporting role in India’s precision strikes, though Pakistan’s EW edge (as speculated by Shaiq Uddin) may have challenged its effectiveness, contributing to the “alarming intelligence” that prompted U.S.


 

Appendix 5 – Does India have electronic warfare capabilities to do the same level of jamming in Pakistan

Let’s analyze whether India possesses electronic warfare (EW) capabilities to conduct the same level of jamming in Pakistan as speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s X post , where Pakistan allegedly jammed India’s GSAT-7A military communication satellite during the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict. The post suggests Pakistan, with Chinese support, disrupted India’s command-and-control (C2) systems using advanced EW platforms like the ZDK-03 AEW&C. To assess India’s ability to reciprocate, we’ll examine its EW capabilities across air, ground, naval, and space domains, drawing on the provided web results, the capabilities of the Netra AEW&CS (already analyzed), and broader knowledge of India’s military technology.


1. Understanding the Level of Jamming Speculated

Shaiq Uddin’s post claims that Pakistan, possibly with Chinese assistance, used its ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle AEW&C and other EW systems to jam India’s GSAT-7A satellite, which operates in geosynchronous orbit (36,000 km altitude) and is critical for the Indian Air Force’s (IAF) C2, including nuclear command. This level of jamming involves:

  • Targeting Satellite Uplinks/Downlinks: Jamming a geosynchronous satellite requires high-power ground-based or airborne jammers to interfere with the satellite’s uplink (ground-to-satellite) or downlink (satellite-to-ground) frequencies, typically in the Ku-band (for GSAT-7A, as per the Wikipedia entry on GSAT-7A).
  • Sophisticated EW Systems: Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye AEW&C platforms, with Chinese and Turkish technological support, are credited with advanced electronic countermeasures (ECM), including the ability to jam communications over a wide area.
  • Strategic Impact: The alleged jamming disrupted India’s military communications, potentially affecting real-time coordination between airbases, AEW&C systems (like the Netra), UAVs, and the Strategic Forces Command, risking “strategic decapitation” of India’s defense backbone.

For India to achieve a similar level of jamming in Pakistan, it would need to:

  • Disrupt Pakistan’s military communication networks, including satellite-based systems like Pakistan’s PakSat-1R (a Chinese-built communication satellite used for military purposes).
  • Neutralize or degrade Pakistan’s C2 systems, including those supported by its AEW&C platforms (ZDK-03, Saab 2000 Erieye) and ground-based networks.
  • Sustain this disruption to create a strategic advantage, potentially blinding Pakistan’s air defenses or nuclear C2.

2. India’s Electronic Warfare Capabilities

India has invested significantly in EW over the past few decades, particularly since the 1999 Kargil War exposed gaps in its capabilities (as noted in the web result from The World Diplomacy). The Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) and other agencies have developed a range of EW systems across multiple domains. Let’s break down India’s capabilities:

a. Airborne EW Systems

  • Netra AEW&CS:
    • As analyzed previously, the DRDO Netra AEW&CS, mounted on the Embraer EMB-145I, has limited ECM capabilities. It is primarily designed for surveillance and early warning, with a self-protection suite (Radar Warning Receiver, Missile Approach Warning System, chaff/flare dispensers) and basic jamming functions.
    • Jamming Capability: The Netra can jam enemy radar or communications in a limited capacity, but it lacks the advanced ECM suite needed for large-scale, high-power jamming, such as targeting satellite uplinks. Shaiq Uddin notes its “relatively weaker EW capabilities” compared to Pakistan’s ZDK-03, which has been upgraded with Chinese technology.
    • Range and Coverage: The Netra’s 240-degree radar coverage and operational range (200-300 km for detection) limit its ability to conduct sustained EW operations deep inside Pakistan, especially against satellite uplinks requiring precise, high-power interference.
  • Rafale Jets with SPECTRA Suite:
    • The web result from Indian Defence Research Wing (idrw.org) highlights the IAF’s Rafale jets, equipped with the Thales SPECTRA (Système de Protection et d'Évitement des Conduites de Tir Rafale) EW suite. SPECTRA is a highly advanced system that integrates radar warning, electronic countermeasures, and active jamming.
    • Jamming Capabilities: SPECTRA can jam enemy radars, including those on fighter jets, SAM systems (e.g., Pakistan’s HQ-9), and GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) signals like GPS. During Exercise Aakraman (simulating strikes against Pakistani targets), the Rafale likely used SPECTRA to jam radar and GNSS signals, demonstrating its ability to disrupt enemy C2.
    • Limitations for Satellite Jamming: While SPECTRA can jam GNSS signals (e.g., GPS used by Pakistani drones or missiles), it is not designed to target geosynchronous satellite uplinks like those of PakSat-1R. Jamming a satellite requires ground-based or space-based systems with significantly higher power and directional accuracy, which SPECTRA lacks.
  • Su-30MKI and Other Aircraft:
    • India’s Su-30MKI fighters are equipped with the Russian SAP-518 ECM pods, which can jam enemy radar and communications in the 1-18 GHz range. These pods are effective against air defense radars and fighter jet sensors but are not suited for satellite jamming.
    • Mirage 2000 and Tejas jets also have limited ECM capabilities, primarily for self-protection, not large-scale strategic jamming.

b. Ground-Based EW Systems

  • DRDO’s EW Programs:
    • The web result from The World Diplomacy notes that DRDO has developed indigenous EW systems, including electronic countermeasure (ECM) systems, radar jamming technology, and communication jamming devices since the 1980s.
    • Samruddhika EW System: DRDO’s Samruddhika system, deployed with the Indian Army, is designed to intercept and jam enemy communications, including radio, cellular, and satellite-based links. It operates across a wide frequency range and can disrupt tactical communications, but its ability to jam geosynchronous satellites like PakSat-1R is unconfirmed in open sources.
    • Himshakti EW System: Used by the Indian Army along the Line of Control (LoC), the Himshakti system can jam enemy radar and communications. The web result from Indian Defence Research Wing mentions GPS jamming along the Indo-Pak border, indicating India’s ability to disrupt GNSS signals in a localized area, affecting Pakistani drones, missiles, and navigation systems.
    • Spectrum Monitoring: DRDO has developed spectrum monitoring systems to detect and analyze enemy transmissions, which can be used to identify and target Pakistani communication frequencies, including those used by their AEW&C platforms.
  • Limitations:
    • While India can jam tactical communications and GNSS signals, targeting a geosynchronous satellite like PakSat-1R requires high-power jammers with precise directional capabilities. India’s ground-based systems may lack the power or range to sustain such jamming over Pakistan’s territory, especially if the satellite’s ground stations are deep inside Pakistan or in China (since PakSat-1R is Chinese-built and operated).

c. Naval EW Systems

  • Shakti EW System:
    • The Indian Navy’s warships, such as INS Surat, are equipped with the Shakti EW system (as per the Indian Defence Research Wing result). Shakti can jam missile guidance systems, GNSS signals, and enemy communications in maritime domains.
    • Relevance to Pakistan: While Shakti is effective in naval engagements (e.g., against Pakistani naval assets in the Arabian Sea), it is not suited for targeting Pakistan’s terrestrial C2 or satellite uplinks, as its operational range is limited to maritime zones.

d. Space-Based and Cyber EW Capabilities

  • Anti-Satellite (ASAT) Capability:
    • India demonstrated its ASAT capability in March 2019 with Mission Shakti, destroying a low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite at 300 km altitude using a kinetic kill vehicle. This capability is not directly related to jamming but indicates India’s growing space warfare expertise.
    • Potential for Space-Based Jamming: India could theoretically develop space-based jammers to target satellites like PakSat-1R, but there is no public evidence of such systems as of 2025. Jamming a geosynchronous satellite from space requires a satellite in a nearby orbit with high-power jammers, a capability India has not demonstrated.
  • Cyber Warfare:
    • India’s cyber capabilities, managed by agencies like the Defence Cyber Agency (DCA), can complement EW by targeting Pakistan’s C2 networks through cyberattacks. For example, India could attempt to hack or disrupt Pakistan’s ground stations that control PakSat-1R, indirectly affecting satellite communications.
    • However, cyber operations are distinct from RF-based jamming and may not achieve the same real-time strategic impact as the EW disruption speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post.

e. Integration with AEW&C and ISR

  • India’s AEW&C platforms (Netra, A-50 Phalcon) and ISR assets (Cartosat, RISAT satellites, Heron drones) can support EW operations by providing real-time intelligence on Pakistani communication frequencies and radar emissions.
  • The A-50 Phalcon, with its Israeli EL/M-2090 radar, has some ECM capabilities, but like the Netra, it is not designed for high-power satellite jamming.

3. Comparison with Pakistan’s Alleged Capabilities

To determine if India can match Pakistan’s speculated EW capabilities, let’s compare the two:

  • Pakistan’s Capabilities (as per Shaiq Uddin’s Post):
    • AEW&C Platforms: Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye are credited with advanced ECM, capable of jamming India’s GSAT-7A. The ZDK-03, upgraded with Chinese technology (as of April 2025), likely has high-power jammers and operates with a 360-degree radar, giving it better situational awareness and EW flexibility.
    • Chinese Support: Pakistan benefits from Chinese technological assistance, including potential use of Yaogan-30 satellites for SAR imaging and RF interception, enhancing its ability to target Indian communications.
    • Scale of Jamming: The alleged jamming of GSAT-7A suggests Pakistan can sustain high-power interference over a wide area, affecting strategic C2, not just tactical communications.
  • India’s Capabilities:
    • AEW&C Limitations: The Netra AEW&CS, while capable of basic ECM, lacks the advanced jamming capabilities of the ZDK-03 or Erieye. The Netra Mk 2 (under development) will improve India’s EW suite, but as of 2025, India’s airborne EW is weaker.
    • Ground-Based Systems: Systems like Samruddhika and Himshakti can jam tactical communications and GNSS signals (as evidenced by GPS jamming along the Indo-Pak border), but their ability to target geosynchronous satellites like PakSat-1R is uncertain. India has not demonstrated or publicized such a capability in open sources.
    • Aircraft-Based EW: The Rafale’s SPECTRA suite is advanced for tactical jamming (e.g., radar, GNSS), but it cannot match the strategic impact of satellite jamming. Other platforms like the Su-30MKI have ECM pods but are similarly limited to tactical roles.
    • Space and Cyber: India’s ASAT capability and cyber operations could indirectly disrupt Pakistan’s satellite communications (e.g., by targeting ground stations), but these are not equivalent to RF-based jamming and take longer to execute.

4. Challenges for India to Achieve Similar Jamming

India faces several challenges in replicating the level of jamming speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post:

  • Technological Gap:
    • Pakistan’s EW systems, particularly the ZDK-03, benefit from Chinese advancements, which outpace India’s indigenous EW technology in some areas. China’s expertise in space-based SIGINT (e.g., Yaogan satellites) and high-power jammers gives Pakistan an edge that India struggles to match as of 2025.
    • The Netra’s weaker EW suite and the lack of a dedicated airborne jamming platform (like the U.S. EA-18G Growler) limit India’s ability to conduct large-scale strategic EW operations.
  • Power and Range Requirements:
    • Jamming a geosynchronous satellite like PakSat-1R requires high-power jammers with precise directional capabilities, either from ground stations or airborne platforms. India’s ground-based systems (e.g., Samruddhika) may lack the power to sustain such jamming over long distances, especially if the target satellite’s ground stations are deep inside Pakistan or China.
    • Airborne platforms like the Netra or Rafale have limited range and power for satellite jamming, as they are designed for tactical rather than strategic EW.
  • Numbers and Coverage:
    • India operates only three Netra AEW&CS units and three A-50 Phalcon AWACS, compared to Pakistan’s seven AEW&C platforms (four ZDK-03s, three Erieyes). This numerical disadvantage limits India’s ability to maintain continuous EW coverage over Pakistan’s airspace.
    • Pakistan’s AEW&C platforms, with 360-degree radar coverage (ZDK-03) or 300-degree coverage (Erieye), provide better situational awareness, allowing them to detect and counter Indian EW efforts more effectively.
  • Countermeasures by Pakistan:
    • Pakistan’s military communication networks likely have redundancies, such as ground-based fiber-optic links and alternative satellites (e.g., Chinese Beidou for navigation if GPS is jammed). Even if India disrupts PakSat-1R, Pakistan could fall back on these systems, reducing the strategic impact.
    • Pakistan’s own EW capabilities, as demonstrated in the 2025 conflict, could counter Indian jamming attempts, creating a contested electromagnetic environment.

5. India’s Potential to Achieve Similar Jamming

While India faces challenges, it has the potential to develop or deploy capabilities to match Pakistan’s alleged jamming level:

  • Ongoing Developments:
    • Netra Mk 2: The Netra Mk 2, expected by 2026-27, will feature an upgraded EW suite with enhanced ECM capabilities (as per the Eurasia Review article). While it may not match the ZDK-03’s satellite jamming capabilities, it will narrow the gap in airborne EW.
    • DRDO’s EW Research: The web result from The World Diplomacy emphasizes India’s investment in R&D for EW systems. DRDO could develop high-power ground-based jammers specifically for satellite interference, though this would require significant technological advancements.
    • Space-Based Jamming: India’s ASAT capability (Mission Shakti, 2019) and growing space program (e.g., ISRO’s GSAT series) suggest it could eventually deploy space-based jammers or SIGINT satellites to target Pakistani communications. However, this is a long-term prospect, not a current capability.
  • Tactical Jamming as an Alternative:
    • India can achieve significant strategic effects by focusing on tactical jamming, such as disrupting Pakistan’s AEW&C data links, fighter jet communications, or air defense radars. The Rafale’s SPECTRA suite and DRDO’s ground-based systems (e.g., Himshakti) are well-suited for this.
    • For example, jamming the ZDK-03’s data links to Pakistani fighters (e.g., JF-17, F-16) could degrade their situational awareness, achieving a similar operational impact to satellite jamming, though with a narrower scope.
  • Cyber-EW Synergy:
    • Combining EW with cyberattacks could amplify India’s impact. For instance, targeting Pakistan’s satellite ground stations with cyberattacks while simultaneously jamming their frequencies could replicate the strategic disruption speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post.

6. Evidence of India’s EW Use in the 2025 Conflict

The web results and posts provide some evidence of India’s EW capabilities in action:

  • GPS Jamming Along the Indo-Pak Border:
    • The Indian Defence Research Wing article reports GPS jamming along the Line of Control (LoC) in 2025, affecting military operations, civilian aviation, and communications. This indicates India has the capability to disrupt GNSS signals, a common EW tactic also used by Pakistan.
    • Impact on Pakistan: Such jamming would affect Pakistani drones, precision-guided munitions (e.g., Babur cruise missile), and navigation systems, demonstrating India’s ability to degrade Pakistan’s tactical C2.
  • Rafale’s Role in Exercise Aakraman:
    • The same article mentions the Rafale’s SPECTRA suite being used during Exercise Aakraman to jam enemy radars and GNSS signals, simulating strikes against Pakistani targets. This suggests India can conduct airborne EW operations deep inside Pakistan, though not at the strategic level of satellite jamming.
  • Operation Sindoor (2025):
    • India’s precision strikes on Pakistani targets (as per The Guardian article) indicate that its C2 and ISR capabilities remained functional despite Pakistan’s alleged jamming. India likely used its own EW to counter Pakistani air defenses, such as jamming radars at PAF bases (e.g., Mushaf, Rafiqui), enabling successful strikes.

7. Conclusion: Can India Match Pakistan’s Alleged Jamming?

As of 2025, India does not have the demonstrated capability to conduct the same level of strategic jamming as speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post (i.e., targeting a geosynchronous satellite like PakSat-1R to disrupt Pakistan’s military C2). Here’s the breakdown:

  • Current Capabilities:
    • India can effectively jam tactical communications, GNSS signals (e.g., GPS), and enemy radars using systems like the Rafale’s SPECTRA, DRDO’s Samruddhika and Himshakti, and naval systems like Shakti. This was evident in GPS jamming along the LoC and the Rafale’s simulated strikes.
    • However, India lacks the high-power, long-range jammers (either ground-based or airborne) needed to target geosynchronous satellites like PakSat-1R, a capability Pakistan allegedly demonstrated with Chinese support.
    • The Netra AEW&CS, India’s primary airborne EW platform, has limited ECM capabilities compared to Pakistan’s ZDK-03, and India does not have a dedicated strategic jamming platform.
  • Potential and Future Prospects:
    • India’s ongoing R&D (e.g., Netra Mk 2, DRDO’s EW programs) and space capabilities (e.g., ASAT, potential SIGINT satellites) suggest it could eventually develop the ability to jam satellites or conduct large-scale strategic EW. However, this is likely a medium-to-long-term goal (5-10 years), not a current reality.
    • In the short term, India can achieve similar operational effects by focusing on tactical jamming (e.g., disrupting Pakistan’s AEW&C data links, air defense radars) and combining EW with cyberattacks on Pakistani C2 infrastructure.
  • Strategic Context:
    • India’s EW capabilities are sufficient to counter Pakistan in tactical engagements, as seen in the 2025 conflict where India conducted precision strikes despite alleged jamming. However, Pakistan’s technological edge in strategic EW, supported by China, gives it an advantage in disrupting high-level C2, as speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post.
    • To match this level of jamming, India would need to invest in dedicated high-power jammers, either ground-based or space-based, and enhance its airborne EW platforms with capabilities similar to those of the ZDK-03 or U.S. systems like the EA-18G Growler.

In summary, India has robust tactical EW capabilities but currently lacks the strategic EW systems needed to replicate Pakistan’s alleged jamming of a geosynchronous satellite. However, India’s ongoing advancements and potential for cyber-EW synergy mean it could close this gap in the coming years, especially with platforms like the Netra Mk 2 and future DRDO developments. For now, India can still achieve significant battlefield effects through tactical jamming and integrated operations, as demonstrated in the 2025 conflict.

 

 

 


 

Appendix 6 – Is Pakistani capability because of China or does it have indigenous capabilities too?

Let’s analyze whether Pakistan’s electronic warfare (EW) capabilities, as speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s X post , are primarily due to Chinese support or if Pakistan has developed indigenous capabilities as well. The post suggests that Pakistan, with Chinese assistance, used advanced EW systems like the ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle AEW&C to jam India’s GSAT-7A satellite during the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict, potentially disrupting India’s command-and-control (C2). I’ll evaluate Pakistan’s EW capabilities, the role of Chinese support, and evidence of indigenous development, drawing on the provided web results and broader knowledge of Pakistan’s military technology landscape.


1. Context of Pakistan’s Alleged EW Capabilities

Shaiq Uddin’s post credits Pakistan with advanced EW capabilities, specifically the ability to jam India’s GSAT-7A satellite, a geosynchronous military communication satellite critical for the Indian Air Force (IAF). Key points from the post include:

  • Platforms Involved: Pakistan’s ZDK-03 AEW&C (Chinese-built) and Saab 2000 Erieye (Swedish-built) were likely used, with the ZDK-03 receiving upgrades in April 2025.
  • Chinese Support: The post suggests China indirectly supported Pakistan, possibly through technology transfers for the ZDK-03 and the use of Chinese Yaogan-30 satellites for synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imaging and RF interception.
  • Strategic Impact: The alleged jamming disrupted India’s military C2, potentially affecting nuclear command, which prompted U.S. intervention due to “alarming intelligence.”

To determine the source of these capabilities, we need to assess Pakistan’s overall EW ecosystem, the extent of Chinese involvement, and whether Pakistan has developed indigenous EW systems.


2. Pakistan’s EW Capabilities: Overview

Pakistan’s EW capabilities span airborne, ground-based, naval, and potentially space-based systems, with a focus on countering India’s conventional military superiority. The 2025 conflict scenario highlights Pakistan’s ability to conduct strategic EW, including satellite jamming, which requires advanced technology. Let’s break down the key components:

a. Airborne EW Systems

  • ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle AEW&C:
    • Origin: The ZDK-03 is a Chinese-built system, developed by the China Electronics Technology Group Corporation (CETC) and based on the Shaanxi Y-8 airframe (a derivative of the Soviet An-12). Pakistan ordered four ZDK-03s in 2008 for $278 million, with deliveries between 2011 and 2015 (as per the web result from Republic World).
    • Capabilities: The ZDK-03 features a 360-degree AESA radar in a rotating radome, providing full coverage, and is equipped for electronic surveillance, battlefield C2, and early warning. Shaiq Uddin notes its role in electronic warfare, including jamming, enhanced by upgrades in April 2025.
    • Chinese Role: The ZDK-03 is a direct product of Chinese technology, tailored to Pakistan Air Force (PAF) specifications. The 2025 upgrades likely involved Chinese assistance, as Pakistan lacks the industrial base to independently enhance such systems.
  • Saab 2000 Erieye AEW&C:
    • Origin: The Saab 2000 Erieye is a Swedish system, acquired by Pakistan to complement the ZDK-03. Pakistan operates three Erieyes (though the web result from Eurasia Review mentions eight, which may include planned acquisitions).
    • Capabilities: The Erieye features an AESA radar with 300-degree coverage and advanced ECM capabilities, including the ability to jam enemy radar and communications. It can disrupt data links between enemy fighters and their AEW&C platforms, as noted in Shaiq Uddin’s post.
    • Foreign Role: The Erieye is entirely a Swedish product, with no Chinese involvement. Pakistan’s acquisition reflects its strategy of diversifying EW sources, but it also indicates reliance on foreign technology.
  • Fighter Jet EW Systems:
    • Pakistan’s JF-17 Thunder, co-developed with China, is equipped with ECM pods like the KG300G, which can jam enemy radar in the 2-18 GHz range. The F-16s in PAF service also have self-protection suites (e.g., ALQ-211), but these are U.S.-supplied and limited to tactical EW.
    • Chinese Role: The JF-17’s EW suite is largely Chinese, reflecting Pakistan’s dependence on China for modern fighter jet technology.

b. Ground-Based EW Systems

  • Karachi Shipyard’s ELINT System:
    • The web result from the Centre for Strategic and Contemporary Research (cscr.pk) mentions that Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works (KSEW) has developed an ELINT (Electronic Intelligence) Threat Perception and Identification System. This system offers broadband coverage, high accuracy, and sensitivity, with features like automatic emitter recognition and a GUI-based electronic order of battle.
    • Indigenous Development: This system appears to be a Pakistani development, as KSEW is a domestic entity. It indicates Pakistan’s ability to design and produce ELINT systems, though the technology may rely on imported components (e.g., from China or Turkey).
  • JY-27A Radar:
    • The same web result notes that Jane’s identified a Chinese JY-27A counter-very-low-observable radar at Mianwali Air Base in Pakistan. This VHF-band radar, developed by CETC, is designed to detect stealth aircraft and is a modern system not previously exported to Pakistan.
    • Chinese Role: The JY-27A is a direct Chinese export, highlighting Pakistan’s reliance on China for advanced radar and EW-related technologies.

c. Naval EW Systems

  • Pakistan’s Navy has equipped its ships with EW systems, such as the Aselsan ARES-2N ESM system on its submarines (Turkish-supplied) and Chinese EW suites on its Type 054A/P frigates (as per general knowledge of Pakistan Navy acquisitions).
  • Foreign Role: These systems are primarily sourced from Turkey and China, with limited indigenous input beyond integration and operation.

d. Space-Based and Cyber Capabilities

  • PakSat-1R and Satellite Communications:
    • Pakistan’s PakSat-1R, launched in 2011, is a Chinese-built communication satellite used for both civilian and military purposes. It operates in C-band and Ku-band, providing secure communications for the Pakistani military.
    • Chinese Role: PakSat-1R was designed and launched by China, with ground stations likely supported by Chinese technology. Pakistan’s space program, managed by SUPARCO (Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission), has limited indigenous satellite development capabilities, as noted in the web result from Project MUSE.
  • Cyber Warfare:
    • The web result from Modern Diplomacy highlights Pakistan’s developmental stage in cyber warfare, noting the establishment of the National Centre for Cyber Security to train professionals. However, Pakistan remains dependent on foreign technology for cyber capabilities.
    • Chinese Role: China has likely provided cyber tools and training, as part of broader military cooperation, though Pakistan has developed some indigenous cyber units (e.g., within the Inter-Services Intelligence, ISI).

e. Strategic EW (Satellite Jamming)

  • Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests Pakistan jammed India’s GSAT-7A, a feat requiring high-power jammers and precise targeting of satellite uplink/downlink frequencies. The ZDK-03, with Chinese upgrades, and potential support from Chinese Yaogan-30 satellites (for RF interception and SAR imaging) are credited with this capability.
  • Chinese Role: Jamming a geosynchronous satellite is a sophisticated operation that likely required Chinese technological support, including high-power jammers, frequency analysis tools, and possibly space-based SIGINT assets like Yaogan-30.

3. Role of Chinese Support

China plays a significant role in Pakistan’s EW capabilities, driven by their strategic partnership to counter India, a mutual rival. Key aspects of Chinese involvement include:

  • Technology Transfers:
    • ZDK-03 AEW&C: The ZDK-03 is a Chinese system, customized for Pakistan, with its EW capabilities (including jamming) directly tied to CETC’s technology. The 2025 upgrades mentioned by Shaiq Uddin likely involved Chinese engineers, as Pakistan lacks the industrial base to independently enhance such systems.
    • JY-27A Radar: The deployment of this Chinese radar at Mianwali Air Base reflects China’s willingness to export advanced systems to Pakistan, enhancing its ability to detect and counter Indian stealth aircraft.
    • JF-17 EW Suite: The JF-17’s ECM pods (e.g., KG300G) are Chinese-supplied, showing reliance on China for fighter jet EW capabilities.
  • Space and Cyber Support:
    • PakSat-1R: Pakistan’s primary military communication satellite is Chinese-built, and its ground stations likely use Chinese technology, reducing Pakistan’s ability to independently manage space-based communications.
    • Yaogan-30 Satellites: Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests China’s Yaogan-30 satellites were used for SAR imaging and RF interception during the 2025 conflict. These are Chinese military satellites, indicating direct Chinese involvement in providing ISR support to Pakistan.
    • Cyber Cooperation: China has likely shared cyber tools and expertise with Pakistan, as part of broader military cooperation, though specific details are scarce.
  • Strategic Motivation:
    • China’s support for Pakistan’s EW capabilities aligns with its broader geopolitical strategy to counter India, a key rival in the Indo-Pacific. By enhancing Pakistan’s ability to challenge India’s C2, China indirectly pressures India on its western border, complementing its own efforts along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).
    • The web result from CSCR notes that China’s integration of cyber and electronic warfare, and its focus on the electromagnetic spectrum, sets a model that Pakistan follows, further emphasizing Chinese influence.

Assessment: China is a major enabler of Pakistan’s advanced EW capabilities, particularly in strategic areas like satellite jamming. Systems like the ZDK-03, JY-27A, and PakSat-1R are direct products of Chinese technology, and the alleged use of Yaogan-30 satellites suggests operational support during the 2025 conflict.


4. Evidence of Indigenous Capabilities

While Pakistan relies heavily on China, it has also developed some indigenous EW capabilities, reflecting a growing domestic defense industry. Evidence includes:

  • Karachi Shipyard’s ELINT System:
    • The web result from CSCR highlights the ELINT Threat Perception and Identification System developed by Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works (KSEW). This system, with features like broadband coverage, automatic emitter recognition, and a GUI-based electronic order of battle, indicates Pakistan’s ability to design and produce ELINT systems domestically.
    • Indigenous Nature: KSEW is a Pakistani entity, and while the system may incorporate imported components (e.g., processors, antennas), its development reflects local engineering expertise. This suggests Pakistan has the capacity to build tactical EW systems, though not necessarily at the strategic level of satellite jamming.
  • JF-17 Thunder Program:
    • The JF-17 Thunder, co-developed by Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) and China’s Chengdu Aircraft Corporation (CAC), is a cornerstone of Pakistan’s indigenous defense efforts. While the airframe and EW suite (e.g., KG300G ECM pod) are Chinese, Pakistan has contributed to integration, testing, and production.
    • Local Input: PAC has established a production line for the JF-17 in Kamra, and Pakistani engineers have gained experience in integrating avionics and EW systems. This indicates a growing indigenous capability, though heavily reliant on Chinese technology for core components.
  • Cyber Warfare Development:
    • The web result from Modern Diplomacy notes the establishment of the National Centre for Cyber Security, aimed at training indigenous cyber professionals. This reflects Pakistan’s efforts to build domestic expertise in cyber warfare, which often complements EW (e.g., by targeting enemy C2 networks).
    • Indigenous Efforts: While Pakistan remains dependent on foreign technology (e.g., Chinese cyber tools), the focus on training local talent suggests a long-term goal of self-reliance in cyber-EW operations.
  • Historical Context:
    • Pakistan has a history of adapting foreign technology for local use. For example, during the 2019 India-Pakistan standoff, Pakistan used EW to disrupt Indian aircraft communications, downing a MiG-21 (as noted in Shaiq Uddin’s post). While the EW systems were likely foreign-supplied (e.g., Chinese or Swedish), the PAF’s ability to effectively employ them reflects indigenous operational expertise.
    • Pakistan’s defense industry, including entities like the National Radio and Telecommunication Corporation (NRTC), has developed tactical communication systems and jammers for the Pakistan Army, indicating some level of domestic EW capability.

Assessment: Pakistan has developed indigenous capabilities in tactical EW (e.g., ELINT systems, cyber units, and integration of foreign systems), but these are limited in scope and scale. Strategic EW capabilities, such as satellite jamming, remain heavily dependent on Chinese technology and support.


5. Challenges to Indigenous Development

Pakistan faces several challenges in building fully indigenous EW capabilities:

  • Industrial Base:
    • Pakistan’s defense industry is relatively small compared to India or China, lacking the R&D infrastructure to develop advanced systems like AESA radars, high-power jammers, or satellites. The web result from Project MUSE notes that Pakistan’s space program has “not received prioritization,” with limited indigenous satellite development due to budget constraints.
    • For example, PakSat-1R was built and launched by China, and Pakistan relies on leased satellites for military communications, highlighting its dependence on foreign partners.
  • Technological Dependence:
    • Core technologies like AESA radars (ZDK-03), ECM pods (JF-17), and satellite systems (PakSat-1R) are sourced from China, Sweden, or Turkey. Pakistan can integrate and operate these systems but struggles to design them independently.
    • The 2025 upgrades to the ZDK-03, as mentioned by Shaiq Uddin, likely required Chinese expertise, as Pakistan lacks the capability to enhance such systems on its own.
  • Budget Constraints:
    • Pakistan’s defense budget ($7 billion in 2025, per general estimates) is significantly smaller than India’s ($80 billion) or China’s (~$300 billion), limiting its ability to invest in R&D for advanced EW systems. The web result from Project MUSE emphasizes that indigenous satellite development is “practically difficult” due to financial limitations.
  • Human Capital:
    • While Pakistan is training cyber and EW professionals (e.g., via the National Centre for Cyber Security), it lags behind China and India in terms of skilled engineers and scientists. This limits its ability to innovate independently in high-tech areas like strategic EW.

6. Case Study: The 2025 Conflict

The alleged jamming of India’s GSAT-7A in the 2025 conflict provides a lens to evaluate the balance of Chinese and indigenous contributions:

  • Chinese Contributions:
    • ZDK-03 Upgrades: The ZDK-03’s ability to jam a geosynchronous satellite likely stems from Chinese upgrades in April 2025, as noted by Shaiq Uddin. This suggests Chinese involvement in providing the necessary hardware (e.g., high-power jammers) and software (e.g., frequency analysis tools).
    • Yaogan-30 Satellites: The use of Chinese Yaogan-30 satellites for SAR imaging and RF interception indicates direct Chinese operational support, as Pakistan lacks indigenous SIGINT satellites.
    • Strategic Expertise: Jamming a satellite requires precise knowledge of its uplink/downlink frequencies, which China likely provided through intelligence-sharing or joint operations.
  • Indigenous Contributions:
    • Operational Execution: The PAF’s deployment of the ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye reflects indigenous operational expertise. Pakistani crews would have planned and executed the jamming mission, leveraging their experience from past conflicts (e.g., 2019 standoff).
    • Tactical EW: Pakistan’s ability to disrupt Indian communications during the 2019 standoff (downing a MiG-21) and the 2025 conflict (as per Shaiq Uddin) shows a level of indigenous proficiency in using EW systems, even if the technology is foreign-sourced.
    • Integration: Pakistan has integrated Chinese, Swedish, and Turkish EW systems into a cohesive operational framework, as evidenced by its layered AEW&C setup (ZDK-03, Erieye), indicating domestic capability in systems integration.

Assessment: The 2025 jamming operation likely relied on Chinese technology and support for the strategic components (e.g., ZDK-03 upgrades, Yaogan-30 support), but Pakistan contributed significantly through operational planning, execution, and integration of foreign systems.


7. Comparison with India’s Indigenous Efforts

To contextualize Pakistan’s indigenous capabilities, let’s compare them with India’s:

  • India’s Indigenous EW:
    • India has developed the Netra AEW&CS, Samruddhika, Himshakti, and Shakti EW systems through DRDO, showcasing a stronger indigenous capability than Pakistan. The Netra, while limited in EW compared to the ZDK-03, is entirely Indian-designed, reflecting greater self-reliance.
    • India’s ASAT capability (Mission Shakti, 2019) and space program (ISRO) give it a lead in space-based technologies, unlike Pakistan, which relies on China for satellites like PakSat-1R.
    • India’s larger defense budget and R&D infrastructure allow it to pursue ambitious projects like the Netra Mk 2, which will enhance its EW capabilities.
  • Pakistan’s Indigenous EW:
    • Pakistan’s indigenous efforts are more limited, focusing on tactical systems like the KSEW ELINT system and cyber training. Strategic capabilities, such as satellite jamming, remain dependent on China.
    • Pakistan’s strength lies in its ability to integrate and operationally employ foreign systems, as seen in the 2019 and 2025 conflicts, but it lacks the industrial base to develop advanced EW platforms independently.

Comparison Verdict: India has a more robust indigenous EW ecosystem than Pakistan, but Pakistan compensates by leveraging Chinese support to achieve strategic effects, as seen in the 2025 conflict.


8. Conclusion: Chinese Support vs. Indigenous Capabilities

Pakistan’s EW capabilities are a mix of Chinese support and indigenous development, with the balance heavily tilted toward China for strategic capabilities:

  • Chinese Support:
    • Pakistan’s ability to conduct strategic EW, such as the alleged jamming of India’s GSAT-7A, is largely due to Chinese technology and support. The ZDK-03 AEW&C, JY-27A radar, PakSat-1R satellite, and potential use of Yaogan-30 satellites are all Chinese contributions, reflecting Pakistan’s dependence on China for high-end systems.
    • Chinese upgrades to the ZDK-03 (as of April 2025) and operational support (e.g., via Yaogan-30) were likely critical to the success of the 2025 jamming operation, indicating that Pakistan’s strategic EW capabilities are heavily reliant on China.
  • Indigenous Capabilities:
    • Pakistan has developed some indigenous EW capabilities, particularly in tactical areas. The KSEW ELINT system, cyber training initiatives, and operational expertise (e.g., integrating Chinese and Swedish systems) demonstrate domestic contributions.
    • However, these capabilities are limited to tactical EW and systems integration, not the strategic level of satellite jamming. Pakistan’s industrial base, budget constraints, and reliance on foreign technology hinder its ability to develop advanced EW systems independently.
  • Overall Assessment:
    • The 2025 conflict scenario suggests that Pakistan’s ability to jam India’s GSAT-7A was primarily due to Chinese support, both in terms of technology (ZDK-03, Yaogan-30) and expertise (frequency analysis, high-power jammers). Pakistan’s indigenous role was likely limited to operational execution, planning, and integration of foreign systems.
    • While Pakistan has made strides in tactical EW and cyber warfare, its strategic capabilities remain heavily dependent on China, as evidenced by its reliance on Chinese platforms and satellites. To achieve greater self-reliance, Pakistan would need to invest significantly in R&D, industrial capacity, and human capital, which it currently lacks the resources to do at scale.

In summary, Pakistan’s EW capabilities in the 2025 conflict were predominantly enabled by China, with indigenous contributions playing a supporting role in operational execution and tactical systems. This reliance on China gives Pakistan a strategic edge over India in certain areas (e.g., satellite jamming), but it also underscores Pakistan’s limitations in developing such capabilities independently.

 

 

 

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