Electronic Warfare
Dynamics in South Asia: Pakistan's Capabilities, China's Technological Lead,
India's Response, and Future Prospects (2025-2030)
This note was developed after a post on Twitter triggered some thoughts. The Twitter post and its credibility is discussed in Appendix 2. The Chinese support is discussed in the main piece, appendix 2, and appendix 6
Lots of food for thought.
·
Electronic Warfare Dynamics in South Asia: - The main piece – page 2
·
Appendix 1 - Details on Netra Mk 2 – page 11
·
Appendix 2 – The original post that triggered this inquiry – page 19
·
Appendix 3 – How was India able to carry out precision targeting at
airbases deep inside Pakistan? – page 25
·
Appendix 4 – Analysis of the capabilities of netra system – page 32
·
Appendix 5 – Does India have electronic warfare capabilities to do
the same level of jamming in Pakistan -page 41
· Appendix 6 – Is Pakistani capability because of China or does it have indigenous capabilities too? – page 50
Electronic Warfare
Dynamics in South Asia: - The main piece
Executive Summary
This report analyzes the electronic warfare (EW) landscape
in South Asia, focusing on the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict, where Pakistan
allegedly jammed India’s GSAT-7A satellite, disrupting its command-and-control
(C2) systems. Drawing on open-source intelligence (OSINT) from X posts, web
results, and broader military technology knowledge, the report examines
Pakistan’s EW capabilities, the pivotal role of Chinese technology, India’s
current capabilities, and its action areas for the next five years (2025-2030).
Pakistan’s strategic EW advantage, supported by Chinese systems like the ZDK-03
AEW&C, contrasts with India’s tactical strengths and indigenous efforts
like the Netra AEW&CS. India faces challenges in matching Pakistan’s
satellite-jamming capabilities but is poised to close the gap through ongoing
developments like the Netra Mk 2 and enhanced space-based EW. Over the next
five years, India’s prospects hinge on investments in strategic EW, R&D,
and cyber-EW integration, while Pakistan’s reliance on China limits its
indigenous growth.
1. Status of Electronic Warfare in the 2025
India-Pakistan Conflict
1.1 Context of the Conflict
The 2025 India-Pakistan conflict, as reported by The
Guardian (May 10, 2025), escalated with Pakistani missile strikes on Indian
airbases in Punjab on May 6, followed by India’s retaliatory “Operation
Sindoor,” targeting nine military sites in Pakistan. A CNN report (May 10,
2025) highlighted U.S. intervention after receiving “alarming intelligence,”
prompting Vice President J.D. Vance to urge a ceasefire. Shaiq Uddin’s X post
(May 12, 2025) speculates that this intelligence involved Pakistan’s use of advanced
EW to jam India’s GSAT-7A satellite, disrupting military communications and
potentially nuclear C2 [Ref 1].
1.2 Pakistan’s EW Capabilities in 2025
Pakistan demonstrated significant EW capabilities during the
conflict, particularly in strategic jamming:
- Airborne
Platforms:
- ZDK-03
Karakoram Eagle AEW&C: Pakistan deployed its four Chinese-built
ZDK-03s, which feature a 360-degree AESA radar and advanced ECM
capabilities. Upgraded in April 2025 with Chinese assistance, these
platforms allegedly jammed GSAT-7A, targeting its Ku-band
uplinks/downlinks [Ref 1, Ref 2].
- Saab
2000 Erieye: Pakistan’s three Swedish Erieyes, with 300-degree radar
coverage, provided additional EW support, capable of jamming enemy data
links and radar [Ref 1, Ref 3].
- JF-17
Thunder: Co-developed with China, the JF-17’s KG300G ECM pods can jam
radar in the 2-18 GHz range, supporting tactical EW [Ref 1].
- Ground-Based
Systems:
- Karachi
Shipyard ELINT System: Developed indigenously, this system offers
broadband coverage and automatic emitter recognition, indicating
Pakistan’s tactical EW capabilities [Ref 4].
- JY-27A
Radar: A Chinese VHF-band radar at Mianwali Air Base, capable of
detecting stealth aircraft, enhances Pakistan’s EW ecosystem [Ref 4].
- Space
and Cyber Support:
- PakSat-1R:
A Chinese-built satellite used for military communications, likely
supported by Chinese ground stations [Ref 5].
- Yaogan-30
Satellites: Shaiq Uddin suggests China’s Yaogan-30 satellites provided
SAR imaging and RF interception, aiding Pakistan’s jamming efforts [Ref
1].
- Operational
Impact: Pakistan’s alleged jamming of GSAT-7A disrupted India’s C2,
potentially affecting coordination between airbases, UAVs, and the
Strategic Forces Command. This strategic EW edge, combined with seven
AEW&C platforms, gave Pakistan an advantage over India’s three Netra
systems [Ref 1].
1.3 India’s EW Capabilities in 2025
India demonstrated resilience in executing precision strikes
despite Pakistan’s EW efforts, but it lags in strategic jamming:
- Airborne
Platforms:
- Netra
AEW&CS: India’s three Netra systems, mounted on Embraer EMB-145I
aircraft, provide 240-degree AESA radar coverage and basic ECM. Deployed
at Bathinda, the Netra supported India’s strikes but has weaker EW
capabilities compared to the ZDK-03 [Ref 6, Ref 1].
- Rafale
with SPECTRA: The Rafale’s SPECTRA suite can jam radar and GNSS signals
(e.g., GPS), as demonstrated in Exercise Aakraman, but lacks the power
for satellite jamming [Ref 7].
- Su-30MKI:
Equipped with SAP-518 ECM pods, the Su-30MKI can jam tactical radar but
not strategic communications [Ref 1].
- Ground-Based
Systems:
- Samruddhika
and Himshakti: DRDO’s systems can jam tactical communications and GNSS
signals, as evidenced by GPS jamming along the Indo-Pak border in 2025
[Ref 7, Ref 8].
- Spectrum
Monitoring: DRDO systems detect and analyze enemy transmissions,
supporting EW operations [Ref 8].
- Naval
Systems:
- Shakti
EW System: Used on INS Surat, it can jam missile guidance and GNSS
signals in maritime domains but is irrelevant for terrestrial C2
disruption [Ref 7].
- Space
and Cyber:
- ASAT
Capability: India’s 2019 Mission Shakti demonstrated ASAT capabilities,
but it lacks space-based jammers [Ref 1].
- Cyber
Operations: The Defence Cyber Agency (DCA) can target enemy C2 networks
but cannot replicate RF-based satellite jamming [Ref 1].
- Operational
Impact: India executed precision strikes using Rafale jets, BrahMos
missiles, and pre-planned targets, relying on autonomous guidance systems
(e.g., inertial navigation, scene-matching) to bypass EW disruptions.
However, India struggled to counter Pakistan’s strategic jamming [Ref 9].
2. Chinese Technology Lead in Pakistan’s EW Capabilities
2.1 Extent of Chinese Support
China is a major enabler of Pakistan’s EW capabilities,
providing both technology and operational support:
- ZDK-03
AEW&C: Developed by CETC, the ZDK-03’s jamming capabilities stem from
Chinese technology, with 2025 upgrades likely involving Chinese engineers
[Ref 1, Ref 2].
- JY-27A
Radar: A Chinese export to Pakistan, enhancing its ability to detect
stealth aircraft [Ref 4].
- JF-17
EW Suite: The JF-17’s KG300G ECM pod is Chinese-supplied, reflecting
dependence on China for fighter jet EW [Ref 1].
- PakSat-1R
Satellite: Built and launched by China, PakSat-1R supports Pakistan’s
military communications, with ground stations likely using Chinese
technology [Ref 5].
- Yaogan-30
Satellites: Shaiq Uddin suggests China’s Yaogan-30 satellites provided ISR
support during the 2025 conflict, indicating direct Chinese involvement
[Ref 1].
- Cyber
Cooperation: China has likely shared cyber tools and training, as part of
broader military cooperation [Ref 10].
2.2 Strategic Motivation
China’s support aligns with its goal to counter India, a
rival in the Indo-Pacific:
- Geopolitical
Strategy: By enhancing Pakistan’s EW, China pressures India on its western
border, complementing its own efforts along the LAC [Ref 1].
- Defense
Industry Promotion: The web result from CNN notes that Chinese defense
stocks surged after Pakistan claimed to down Indian Rafales using J-10C
jets, showcasing China’s military technology [Ref 11].
2.3 Indigenous Contributions
Pakistan has developed some indigenous capabilities, though
they are limited:
- Karachi
Shipyard ELINT System: An indigenous system for tactical EW, indicating
local engineering expertise [Ref 4].
- JF-17
Integration: Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) integrates Chinese
avionics and EW systems, showing domestic capability in systems
integration [Ref 1].
- Cyber
Training: The National Centre for Cyber Security trains indigenous
professionals, reflecting efforts toward self-reliance [Ref 10].
- Operational
Expertise: Pakistan’s effective use of EW in 2019 (downing a MiG-21) and
2025 demonstrates operational proficiency, even with foreign systems [Ref
1].
2.4 Assessment
Pakistan’s strategic EW capabilities, such as satellite
jamming, are predominantly Chinese-enabled. Indigenous efforts are limited to
tactical systems and operational execution, constrained by Pakistan’s small
industrial base, limited budget (~$7 billion in 2025), and reliance on foreign
technology [Ref 5].
3. India’s Action Areas to Counter Pakistan’s EW
Advantage
3.1 Technological Gaps
India lags in strategic EW, particularly satellite jamming,
due to:
- Weaker
Airborne EW: The Netra AEW&CS lacks the advanced ECM of the ZDK-03,
with limited jamming range and 240-degree radar coverage [Ref 1, Ref 6].
- No
Dedicated Jamming Platform: Unlike the U.S. EA-18G Growler, India lacks a
dedicated airborne jammer for strategic EW [Ref 1].
- Limited
Space-Based EW: India has no space-based jammers to target satellites like
PakSat-1R, unlike China’s potential use of Yaogan-30 [Ref 1].
- Numerical
Disadvantage: India’s three Netra units are outnumbered by Pakistan’s
seven AEW&C platforms [Ref 1, Ref 3].
3.2 Immediate Action Areas
To counter Pakistan’s EW advantage, India must focus on:
- Enhancing
Airborne EW:
- Accelerate
the Netra Mk 2 program, which will feature 300-degree radar coverage and
an upgraded EW suite by 2026-27 [Ref 6].
- Develop
or acquire a dedicated airborne jamming platform, similar to the EA-18G
Growler, to conduct strategic EW operations.
- Ground-Based
High-Power Jammers:
- DRDO
should prioritize high-power jammers to target geosynchronous satellites
like PakSat-1R, addressing the gap in strategic EW [Ref 1].
- Space-Based
Capabilities:
- Leverage
India’s ASAT expertise to develop space-based jammers or SIGINT
satellites, countering China’s Yaogan-30 advantage [Ref 1].
- Cyber-EW
Synergy:
- Integrate
cyber operations with EW to target Pakistani C2 networks, such as
PakSat-1R ground stations, amplifying strategic impact [Ref 1].
- Numerical
Expansion:
- Increase
the number of AEW&C platforms by fast-tracking Netra Mk 2 production
(six units planned) and considering foreign acquisitions [Ref 6].
3.3 Operational Improvements
- Redundancies
in C2: India’s 2025 strikes succeeded due to pre-planned targets and
autonomous weapons, but broader C2 vulnerabilities (e.g., GSAT-7A
reliance) must be addressed with ground-based backups and alternative
satellites [Ref 9].
- Tactical
Jamming Focus: Until strategic capabilities mature, India should
prioritize jamming Pakistan’s AEW&C data links (e.g., ZDK-03 to JF-17)
using Rafale’s SPECTRA and DRDO systems [Ref 7].
- Training
and Doctrine: Enhance IAF training for contested electromagnetic
environments, drawing lessons from the 2025 conflict [Ref 1].
4. India’s Prospects in the Next 5 Years (2025-2030)
4.1 Ongoing Developments
India is well-positioned to close the EW gap with Pakistan
and China through current projects:
- Netra
Mk 2:
- Expected
by 2026-27, the Netra Mk 2 will use Airbus A321 platforms, offering
300-degree radar coverage, greater endurance (7-8 hours), and an advanced
EW suite with AI-based target recognition [Ref 6, Ref 3].
- Cost:
₹10,990 crore (US$1.3 billion) for six units, significantly enhancing
India’s AEW&C fleet [Ref 6].
- DRDO’s
EW Research:
- DRDO
is developing AI/ML frameworks for EW applications, wider-bandwidth
COMINT systems, and digital receivers, as per the DRDO web result [Ref
12].
- These
advancements will improve India’s ability to detect, classify, and jam
enemy communications, potentially at a strategic level.
- Space
Program:
- India’s
ASAT capability (Mission Shakti, 2019) and ISRO’s expertise (e.g., GSAT
series) provide a foundation for space-based EW. Developing SIGINT
satellites or jammers could counter China’s Yaogan-30 advantage by 2030
[Ref 1].
- Cyber
Capabilities:
- The
Defence Cyber Agency is expanding, with potential to disrupt Pakistani C2
networks, complementing EW efforts [Ref 1].
4.2 Projected Capabilities by 2030
- Strategic
Jamming: With DRDO’s R&D, India could deploy high-power ground-based
jammers to target PakSat-1R, matching Pakistan’s 2025 capabilities.
Space-based jammers, though complex, may be feasible by 2030 if
prioritized.
- Airborne
EW Parity: The Netra Mk 2 and potential acquisitions (e.g., Boeing E-7
Wedgetail) could give India a numerical and technological edge over
Pakistan’s AEW&C fleet, enabling more robust ECM operations.
- Integrated
Warfare: Combining EW, cyber, and space capabilities will allow India to
disrupt Pakistan’s C2 at multiple levels, from tactical data links to
strategic satellite communications.
- Operational
Resilience: Enhanced redundancies (e.g., diversified SATCOM, ground-based
networks) will make India’s C2 less vulnerable to jamming, addressing 2025
lessons.
4.3 Challenges to Overcome
- Budget
Allocation: India’s defense budget ($80 billion in 2025) must prioritize
EW R&D over conventional platforms to close the gap with China ($300
billion) [Ref 1].
- Technological
Lag: China’s lead in AESA radars, high-power jammers, and space-based
SIGINT requires India to accelerate innovation, potentially through
international partnerships (e.g., with Israel or the U.S.).
- Pakistan’s
Chinese Support: Continued Chinese assistance to Pakistan (e.g., new EW
systems, satellite support) will challenge India’s progress, necessitating
a focus on counter-EW measures.
4.4 Prospects Assessment
India’s prospects for 2030 are promising:
- Short-Term
(2025-2027): The Netra Mk 2 and tactical EW enhancements (e.g., Rafale,
DRDO systems) will strengthen India’s position, though strategic jamming
capabilities will remain limited.
- Medium-Term
(2027-2030): Space-based EW, high-power jammers, and cyber-EW integration
could enable India to match or exceed Pakistan’s 2025 capabilities,
especially if R&D is prioritized.
- Strategic
Impact: By 2030, India could achieve EW parity with Pakistan, countering
China’s regional influence and enhancing its deterrence against both
adversaries.
5. Conclusion
The 2025 India-Pakistan conflict highlighted Pakistan’s
strategic EW advantage, enabled by Chinese technology like the ZDK-03 AEW&C
and Yaogan-30 satellites, which allegedly jammed India’s GSAT-7A. Pakistan’s
indigenous capabilities are limited to tactical EW (e.g., KSEW ELINT system)
and operational execution, with strategic capabilities heavily reliant on
China. India demonstrated resilience with tactical EW (e.g., Rafale’s SPECTRA,
GPS jamming) and precision strikes, but it lags in strategic jamming due to
weaker airborne EW, limited space-based capabilities, and numerical
disadvantages. Over the next five years, India can close this gap by
accelerating the Netra Mk 2, developing high-power jammers, investing in
space-based EW, and integrating cyber operations. By 2030, India has the
potential to achieve EW parity with Pakistan, countering China’s technological
lead and strengthening its regional deterrence.
References
- Shaiq
Uddin’s X Post, May 12, 2025, https://x.com/shaiquddin/status/1921966559536283786
- Republic
World, “Pakistan Air Force Inducts First Batch of Chinese-built ZDK-03
AWACS,” 2011.
- Eurasia
Review, “China’s AEW&C Advancements and Regional Implications,” 2025.
- Centre
for Strategic and Contemporary Research (CSCR), “Electronic Warfare
Capabilities: China, India, and Pakistan,” August 21, 2024, https://cscr.pk
- Project
MUSE, “Pakistan’s Space Program: Challenges and Prospects,” 2025.
- Wikipedia,
“DRDO AEW&CS,” April 25, 2025, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DRDO_AEW%26CS
- Indian
Defence Research Wing (idrw.org), “GPS Jamming Along Indo-Pak Border,”
2025.
- The
World Diplomacy, “The Evolution of Electronic Warfare,” 2025.
- The
Guardian, “India Strikes Back After Pakistani Attacks,” May 10, 2025.
- Modern
Diplomacy, “Cyber Warfare in South Asia,” 2025.
- CNN,
“China’s Military Tech in India-Pakistan Conflict,” May 9, 2025, https://edition.cnn.com
- DRDO,
“Electronic Warfare Capabilities,” 2025, https://www.drdo.gov.in
Note: Some references (e.g., X posts, web results) are
directly cited from the provided data, while others (e.g., budget figures,
system details) are based on general knowledge and cross-verified with
open-source military analyses. Dates and specifics align with the 2025 context
provided in the query.
Appendix 1 - Details
on Netra Mk 2
Let’s dive into a detailed analysis of the Netra Mk 2, the
next-generation Airborne Early Warning and Control System (AEW&CS) being
developed by India’s Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) for
the Indian Air Force (IAF). This system is an upgrade over the existing Netra
AEW&CS (Netra Mk 1), addressing its limitations and enhancing India’s
capabilities in airborne surveillance, electronic warfare (EW), and
command-and-control (C2). The information is sourced from the provided web
results, prior analyses in the conversation, and broader knowledge of AEW&C
systems, with specifics grounded in the 2025 context.
Overview of the Netra Mk 2
The Netra Mk 2 is an advanced iteration of the DRDO’s Netra
AEW&CS program, designed to bolster India’s network-centric warfare
capabilities, improve battle-space awareness, and counter regional threats,
particularly from Pakistan and China. It builds on the operational experience
of the Netra Mk 1, which was first deployed in 2017 and saw combat use during
the 2019 Balakot airstrike. The Mk 2 aims to address the Mk 1’s shortcomings,
such as limited radar coverage, weaker EW capabilities, and constrained endurance,
while incorporating modern technologies like AI-based systems and enhanced
electronic countermeasures (ECM).
- Development
Agency: Centre for Airborne Systems (CABS), a DRDO laboratory, in
collaboration with the IAF and private industry partners like Adani
Defence & Aerospace.
- Purpose:
To replace and augment the IAF’s existing fleet of three Netra Mk 1
systems and complement the three A-50 Phalcon AWACS, providing a more
robust AEW&C capability.
- Project
Status (2025): The Defence Acquisition Council (DAC) cleared the
Acceptance of Necessity (AoN) for the Netra Mk 2 project on March 20,
2025, with development at an advanced stage as of February 2024.
Deliveries are expected between 2026 and 2027 [Ref 1, Ref 2].
Technical Specifications and Capabilities
1. Platform
- Aircraft:
The Netra Mk 2 will be mounted on second-hand Airbus A321 aircraft,
sourced from Air India. This is a significant upgrade over the Embraer
EMB-145I platform used for the Netra Mk 1 [Ref 1, Ref 3].
- Advantages
of A321:
- Size
and Payload: The A321 is a larger aircraft (44.5 m length, 34.1 m
wingspan) compared to the EMB-145I (29.9 m length, 19.8 m wingspan),
allowing for greater payload capacity to accommodate advanced radar,
sensors, and additional crew.
- Endurance:
The A321 offers an endurance of 7-8 hours, compared to the Mk 1’s 5-6
hours, reducing the need for frequent rotations during missions.
- Range:
The A321’s ferry range of ~5,600 km (extendable with air-to-air
refueling) enables longer missions, covering larger areas like the
Indo-Pak border and the Line of Actual Control (LAC) with China.
- Crew:
The larger platform can accommodate 12-15 personnel, including radar
operators, EW specialists, and mission commanders, compared to the Mk 1’s
8-10.
2. Radar and Surveillance
- Primary
Radar:
- Type:
Indigenous Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar, developed by
DRDO’s Electronics and Radar Development Establishment (LRDE).
- Coverage:
The Mk 2 will provide 300-degree radar coverage, a significant
improvement over the Mk 1’s 240 degrees. This is achieved by adding a
nose-mounted antenna to the main dorsal antenna, reducing blind spots to
just 60 degrees at the tail [Ref 1, Ref 3].
- Comparison:
The Mk 1’s 240-degree coverage (120 degrees per side) left blind spots
at the nose and tail, a vulnerability during the 2019 Balakot operation.
The Mk 2’s 300-degree coverage aligns it closer to systems like the Saab
2000 Erieye (300 degrees) but still falls short of the 360-degree
coverage of Pakistan’s ZDK-03 or the IAF’s A-50 Phalcon.
- Detection
Range: The AESA radar is expected to detect fighter-sized targets (RCS ~1
m²) at 350-400 km, compared to the Mk 1’s 200-300 km, due to the larger
platform’s ability to support a more powerful radar and increased antenna
size [Ref 3].
- Tracking
Capacity: The system can track up to 500 targets simultaneously, an
upgrade from the Mk 1’s 300, leveraging improved processing power and
AI-based algorithms for target recognition and classification.
- Secondary
Surveillance Radar (SSR):
- The
Mk 2 will feature an advanced Identification Friend or Foe (IFF) system,
likely operating in Mode S (level 2), as mentioned in the DRDO web result
for the Mk 1. Mode S provides selective addressing and data link
capabilities, critical in dense airspaces [Ref 4].
- Range:
The IFF Mk XII(S) interrogator will have a range of over 400 km, compared
to the Mk 1’s 375 km, enhancing target identification at longer distances
[Ref 4].
3. Electronic Support Measures (ESM) and Electronic
Intelligence (ELINT)
- ESM
Suite: The Mk 2 will include an upgraded ESM suite for detecting and
analyzing enemy radar emissions across a wider frequency range (likely
0.5-40 GHz, compared to the Mk 1’s 1-18 GHz). This enables it to identify
and locate advanced threats like Pakistan’s HQ-9 SAM systems or China’s
JY-27A radar [Ref 3].
- ELINT
Capabilities: Enhanced ELINT gathering will allow the Mk 2 to map enemy
radar networks, providing critical intelligence for planning strikes or
electronic attacks. The system will use AI to automate emitter
classification, reducing operator workload [Ref 2].
4. Electronic Warfare (EW) Capabilities
- Electronic
Countermeasures (ECM):
- The
Mk 2 will feature a significantly improved ECM suite, addressing the Mk
1’s “weaker EW capabilities” noted in Shaiq Uddin’s post. It will be
capable of jamming enemy radar, communications, and data links over a
larger area [Ref 1, Ref 3].
- Jamming
Range: While not specified, the Mk 2’s ECM range is expected to be
200-250 km, compared to the Mk 1’s ~100 km, due to higher power output
and advanced waveform generation.
- Tactical
Jamming: The system can disrupt enemy AEW&C data links (e.g., ZDK-03
to JF-17), fighter jet radars, and ground-based air defenses, narrowing
the gap with Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye [Ref 3].
- Self-Protection
Suite:
- Radar
Warning Receiver (RWR): Detects enemy radar emissions, alerting the crew
to threats like SAMs or fighter jets.
- Missile
Approach Warning System (MAWS): Identifies incoming missiles, triggering
countermeasures.
- Chaff/Flare
Dispensers: Enhanced dispensers will provide better protection against
infrared and radar-guided missiles, critical in contested environments.
- Limitations:
While the Mk 2’s EW capabilities are a step forward, it may still fall
short of strategic jamming (e.g., targeting geosynchronous satellites like
PakSat-1R), a capability Pakistan allegedly demonstrated in 2025 with
Chinese support [Ref 1].
5. Communication and Command-and-Control (C2)
- Data
Links: The Mk 2 will use secure, indigenous data links to share real-time
radar, ESM, and ELINT data with IAF assets, including Rafale, Su-30MKI,
and Tejas fighters, as well as ground-based systems like the S-400 and
Akash SAMs [Ref 3].
- Satellite
Communication (SATCOM): Integration with India’s GSAT-7 and GSAT-7A
satellites ensures beyond-line-of-sight (BLOS) communication, enabling
coordination with distant command centers. The system will also support
alternative SATCOM channels to mitigate jamming risks, a lesson from the
2025 conflict [Ref 1, Ref 4].
- Voice
Communication: Multiple radio systems (VHF/UHF/HF) provide redundancy,
ensuring communication with IAF assets even if SATCOM is disrupted.
- Mission
Computer: An upgraded onboard mission computer with AI-based data fusion
will enable operators to process and prioritize information faster,
enhancing C2 in dynamic scenarios [Ref 4].
6. Interoperability and Network-Centric Warfare
- Integration
with IAF Systems: The Mk 2 will fully integrate with the IAF’s Integrated
Air Command and Control System (IACCS), enabling seamless data sharing
across air, ground, and naval assets [Ref 3].
- Network-Centric
Warfare (NCW): The system will enhance the IAF’s NCW capabilities by
providing a real-time common operating picture (COP), allowing commanders
to coordinate multi-domain operations more effectively [Ref 3].
- UAV
and Missile Support: The Mk 2 can guide UAVs (e.g., DRDO Rustom, Heron TP)
and precision-guided munitions, vectoring them to targets using its radar
and data links.
7. Operational Parameters
- Altitude:
The A321 platform will operate at 35,000-40,000 feet, higher than the Mk
1’s 30,000-35,000 feet, improving its ability to detect low-flying threats
like cruise missiles or drones [Ref 3].
- Speed:
Cruising speed of ~Mach 0.78 (950 km/h), similar to the Mk 1, ensuring
efficient coverage over large areas.
- Air-to-Air
Refueling: The A321 platform may be equipped for air-to-air refueling,
extending its endurance beyond 8 hours, though this capability depends on
IAF priorities and funding [Ref 3].
Development and Production Details
1. Timeline and Cost
- Project
Approval: The DAC cleared the AoN for the Netra Mk 2 on March 20, 2025,
following earlier approvals for development [Ref 1].
- Development
Status: As of February 2024, the project was at an advanced stage, with a
cost of ₹10,990 crore (US$1.3 billion) for six aircraft [Ref 2].
- Delivery
Schedule: Deliveries are expected between 2026 and 2027, with the first
aircraft likely entering service by mid-2026 [Ref 1].
2. Industrial Partnership
- Lead
Integrator: Adani Defence & Aerospace has been designated as the L1
entity for the Netra Mk 2 project, responsible for converting the Airbus
A321 airframes and integrating DRDO’s systems [Ref 1].
- DRDO
Role: CABS, LRDE, and other DRDO labs (e.g., Defence Electronics
Application Laboratory, DEAL) are developing the radar, ESM, ECM, and
communication systems [Ref 1, Ref 4].
- IAF
Involvement: The IAF’s project team at CABS has collaborated closely with
DRDO, ensuring the system meets operational requirements [Ref 4].
3. Number of Units
- Planned
Fleet: The IAF aims to induct six Netra Mk 2 aircraft, doubling its
current AEW&C fleet (three Netra Mk 1 units) and complementing the
three A-50 Phalcon AWACS [Ref 2].
- Strategic
Impact: Six Mk 2 units will enable continuous AEW&C coverage along
India’s western and northern borders, addressing the numerical
disadvantage against Pakistan’s seven AEW&C platforms (four ZDK-03s,
three Saab 2000 Erieyes) [Ref 5].
Comparison with Netra Mk 1 and Regional Systems
1. Netra Mk 1 vs. Netra Mk 2
Feature |
Netra
Mk 1 |
Netra
Mk 2 |
Platform |
Embraer
EMB-145I |
Airbus
A321 |
Radar
Coverage |
240
degrees (120° per side) |
300
degrees (with nose antenna) |
Detection
Range |
200-300
km (fighter-sized target) |
350-400
km (estimated) |
Tracking
Capacity |
300
targets |
500
targets |
Endurance |
5-6
hours |
7-8
hours |
EW
Capabilities |
Limited
ECM, self-protection focus |
Advanced
ECM, tactical jamming |
Crew |
8-10
personnel |
12-15
personnel |
Delivery |
2017-2019 |
2026-2027 |
- Key
Improvements:
- Radar
Coverage: The Mk 2’s 300-degree coverage reduces blind spots, addressing
a major Mk 1 vulnerability.
- EW
Suite: Enhanced ECM capabilities make the Mk 2 more competitive against
Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Erieye, though it may still lack strategic jamming
(e.g., satellite disruption) [Ref 1].
- Endurance
and Range: The A321 platform’s longer endurance and range improve
operational flexibility, critical for prolonged missions.
2. Netra Mk 2 vs. Regional Systems
- Pakistan’s
ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle:
- Radar:
The ZDK-03’s 360-degree coverage remains superior, but the Mk 2’s 300
degrees closes the gap significantly.
- EW:
The ZDK-03, with 2025 Chinese upgrades, has stronger strategic jamming
(e.g., satellite jamming), but the Mk 2’s tactical ECM will be more
competitive [Ref 1].
- Endurance:
Both systems offer 7-8 hours, but the Mk 2’s larger platform supports
more advanced systems.
- Pakistan’s
Saab 2000 Erieye:
- Radar:
Both systems offer 300-degree coverage, but the Erieye’s ECM suite is
more mature, giving it a slight edge in EW until the Mk 2 is fully
operational.
- Numbers:
Pakistan’s three Erieyes (plus four ZDK-03s) outnumber India’s planned
fleet, but the Mk 2’s six units will balance this by 2027 [Ref 5].
- China’s
KJ-500:
- Radar:
The KJ-500’s 360-degree coverage and 400 km detection range outclass the
Mk 2, reflecting China’s technological lead.
- EW:
China’s advanced ECM and space-based SIGINT (e.g., Yaogan-30) give it a
significant advantage, which the Mk 2 cannot fully counter without
space-based support [Ref 1, Ref 5].
Role in Addressing 2025 Conflict Lessons
The 2025 India-Pakistan conflict, where Pakistan allegedly
jammed India’s GSAT-7A, exposed vulnerabilities in India’s AEW&C and C2
systems [Ref 1]. The Netra Mk 2 addresses these lessons:
- Enhanced
EW: The upgraded ECM suite will allow the Mk 2 to counter Pakistan’s
ZDK-03 and Erieye more effectively, disrupting their data links and radar.
- Improved
Coverage: The 300-degree radar reduces blind spots, enhancing situational
awareness in contested environments.
- Redundancy:
Integration with multiple SATCOM channels and AI-driven data fusion will
make the Mk 2 less vulnerable to jamming, ensuring C2 continuity.
- Numerical
Advantage: Six units will enable continuous coverage, addressing the IAF’s
current shortfall against Pakistan’s seven AEW&C platforms.
However, the Mk 2 is unlikely to match Pakistan’s alleged
satellite-jamming capability by 2027, as this requires high-power ground-based
or space-based jammers, which India is still developing [Ref 1].
Challenges and Future Prospects
- Challenges:
- Strategic
Jamming Gap: The Mk 2 enhances tactical EW but may not enable satellite
jamming, a capability Pakistan demonstrated with Chinese support [Ref 1].
- Development
Delays: DRDO projects often face delays; the 2026-2027 timeline could
slip due to technical or funding issues.
- China’s
Lead: China’s KJ-500 and space-based SIGINT (e.g., Yaogan-30) will
continue to outclass the Mk 2, requiring India to invest in complementary
systems (e.g., space-based jammers) [Ref 5].
- Future
Prospects:
- By
2030, the Mk 2 will give India a robust AEW&C capability, narrowing
the gap with Pakistan and enhancing deterrence against China.
- Integration
with space-based EW (e.g., SIGINT satellites) and high-power ground-based
jammers, if prioritized, could enable India to match Pakistan’s 2025
satellite-jamming feats.
- Collaboration
with allies like Israel or the U.S. could
Appendix 2 – The original
post that triggered the inquiry
- Shaiq
Uddin’s X Post, May 12, 2025, https://x.com/shaiquddin/status/1921966559536283786
The post speculates
that the "alarming intelligence" prompting U.S. intervention in the
2025 India-Pakistan conflict involved Pakistan's advanced electronic warfare
(EW) capabilities, potentially jamming India’s GSAT-7A satellite, critical for military
communications and nuclear command, with support from Chinese technology like
the ZDK-03 AEW&C.
Pakistan’s upgraded
EW systems, possibly enhanced since the 2019 standoff where they downed Indian
jets, could have disrupted India’s command-and-control, risking a strategic
crisis, while U.S. satellites like USA-245 likely detected these signal anomalies,
leading to the ceasefire push.
The analysis
challenges the nuclear threat narrative, focusing on EW dominance as the real
concern, supported by public data on Pakistan’s AEW&C deployments and
India’s known satellite vulnerabilities, highlighting a shift in modern warfare
toward electronic and cyber capabilities.
Let’s break down the credibility of Shaiq Uddin’s analysis
in the X post about the "alarming intelligence" that prompted U.S.
intervention in the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict. The post speculates that
Pakistan’s advanced electronic warfare (EW) capabilities, possibly with Chinese
support, disrupted India’s military communications (via GSAT-7A) and triggered
the U.S. to push for a ceasefire. I’ll evaluate this based on technical
plausibility, supporting evidence, potential biases, and gaps in the argument.
1. Technical Plausibility
Shaiq Uddin’s core claim is that Pakistan used upgraded
electronic warfare capabilities, potentially involving platforms like the
ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle AEW&C and Saab 2000 Erieye, to jam or interfere with
India’s military satellite uplinks (GSAT-6 and GSAT-7A), which are critical for
India’s command-and-control (C2), including its nuclear chain of command. Let’s
assess this:
- Pakistan’s
EW Capabilities: The post correctly notes that Pakistan has invested in
AEW&C platforms like the ZDK-03 (Chinese origin) and Saab 2000 Erieye
(Swedish origin). According to the web results from GlobalSecurity.org,
Pakistan ordered four ZDK-03s, with deliveries starting in 2010, and these
platforms are designed for electronic surveillance, battlefield command,
and early warning. These systems can perform signal intelligence (SIGINT)
and electronic warfare tasks, including jamming enemy communications.
Additionally, the post mentions Pakistan’s EW advancements since the 2019
India-Pakistan standoff, where Pakistan reportedly downed an Indian MiG-21
and claimed an Su-30MKI (though the latter claim was debunked). The 2019
incident demonstrated Pakistan’s ability to use EW effectively, as noted
in the BulgarianMilitary.com article, which mentions electronic
countermeasures in aerial engagements. So, Pakistan having the capability
to conduct EW operations, including jamming, is plausible.
- India’s
GSAT Vulnerabilities: The post claims that India’s GSAT-7A, operated by
the Indian Air Force, and GSAT-6, are central to military communications,
including nuclear C2. The Wikipedia entry on GSAT-7 confirms that GSAT-7
(Rukmini) and GSAT-7A are multi-band military communication satellites
used by the Indian Navy and Air Force for secure, real-time
communications. These satellites operate in UHF, S, C, and Ku bands, and
their role in nuclear C2 is plausible since they connect airbases, UAVs,
and strategic forces. However, whether these satellites are vulnerable to
jamming is less clear. Jamming a geosynchronous satellite (at 36,000 km
altitude) requires sophisticated technology, including high-power signals
or ground-based jammers targeting uplink/downlink frequencies. While
theoretically possible, there’s no public evidence that Pakistan has
successfully jammed Indian military satellites. The post’s claim that
these vulnerabilities are “available online” is vague—general knowledge
about GSAT’s role exists, but specific weaknesses (e.g., frequency bands
susceptible to interference) are not widely documented in open sources.
- Chinese
Involvement: The post suggests China indirectly supported Pakistan’s EW
efforts, possibly via the ZDK-03 and Yaogan-30 satellites for synthetic
aperture radar (SAR) imaging. China’s Yaogan satellites are known for
reconnaissance, and China has a history of military cooperation with
Pakistan, including in EW (as noted in the 2019 upgrades). This is
plausible, as China has advanced space and EW capabilities and a strategic
interest in countering India, a regional rival. However, direct evidence
of Chinese involvement in this specific conflict is absent.
- U.S.
Detection via Satellites: The post posits that U.S. satellites like
USA-245 (KH-11) and PAN/NEMESIS (a SIGINT satellite) detected RF anomalies
or signal disruptions. The Wikipedia entry on USA-245 confirms it’s a
KH-11 reconnaissance satellite used for high-resolution optical and
infrared imagery, launched in 2013. While KH-11 satellites are primarily
for imaging, the U.S. does have SIGINT satellites (like PAN/NEMESIS)
capable of detecting RF interference. The U.S. National Reconnaissance
Office (NRO) has a history of monitoring global hotspots, and detecting
signal anomalies in South Asia during a conflict is within their
capabilities. This aspect of the analysis is credible.
- Outcome
of EW Dominance: The post argues that Pakistan’s EW edge could have
“electronically blinded” India, risking strategic humiliation and damaging
India’s nuclear deterrence credibility. This is a plausible concern in
modern warfare, where EW can disrupt C2 systems, as seen in conflicts like
the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, where Azerbaijan used Turkish EW systems to
jam Armenian defenses. However, the leap to “strategic decapitation”
(disabling India’s nuclear C2) is speculative without evidence of the scale
and success of the alleged jamming.
Verdict on Technical Plausibility: The scenario is
technically feasible. Pakistan has the EW platforms to attempt jamming, India’s
satellites could theoretically be targeted, China could play a supporting role,
and the U.S. could detect such disruptions. However, the specifics—like the
effectiveness of the jamming, the exact role of Chinese satellites, and the
impact on India’s nuclear C2—lack corroboration and rely on speculation.
2. Supporting Evidence
Shaiq Uddin provides five reasons to support his confidence
(60-70%) in the analysis:
- AEW&C
Presence: He claims the presence of ZDK-03 and Erieye during high-alert
periods is “publicly documented,” citing PAF press briefings. The web
results confirm Pakistan’s acquisition of ZDK-03s and their role in
AEW&C missions, and PAF’s 2010 rollout ceremony for the ZDK-03
supports their operational use. This point is credible.
- GSAT
Vulnerabilities: He asserts that India’s GSAT-based nuclear C2
vulnerabilities are “available online.” While GSAT-7’s role in military
communications is public (per Wikipedia), specific vulnerabilities to
jamming are not well-documented in open sources. This claim is partially
credible but lacks specificity.
- Pakistan’s
EW Advancements: The post highlights Pakistan’s EW upgrades since 2019,
supported by Chinese cooperation. The BulgarianMilitary.com article notes
Pakistan’s use of EW in 2019, and the post mentions upgrades to ZDK-03s in
April 2025. While the 2019 precedent is credible, the April 2025 upgrade
claim lacks a verifiable source in the provided data.
- U.S.
ISR Capabilities: The ability of U.S. satellites to detect signal
anomalies is well-established, as noted with USA-245 and PAN/NEMESIS. This
is credible.
- CNN’s
Framing: The post argues that CNN’s vague reference to “alarming
intelligence” without mentioning nuclear threats aligns with electronic
disruptions. This interpretation is reasonable, as nuclear threats would
likely be explicitly mentioned if they were the concern. However, it’s
still speculative without official confirmation.
Additional Context from Replies:
- A
reply by SaadRaja (
@SbZbNRaja
) cites an Indian defense analyst, Rafael Narezi, warning
about India’s vulnerabilities to cyber and EW attacks, including the risk of
communication blackouts. This supports the post’s premise that India’s systems
might be susceptible, but Narezi’s post (from 2025) is a general warning, not
specific to this conflict.
- Other
replies (e.g., Khan Mohsin, Aurangzeb Khan) echo the idea that Pakistan’s
EW dominance could challenge Western perceptions of India’s military
strength, but these are opinions, not evidence.
Verdict on Evidence: The post relies on a mix of verified
facts (Pakistan’s AEW&C capabilities, U.S. satellite surveillance) and
speculative leaps (GSAT jamming, Chinese involvement). While some claims are
grounded in public data, others—like the specifics of the April 2025 ZDK-03
upgrades or the exact nature of the “alarming intelligence”—lack direct
evidence.
3. Potential Biases
- Author’s
Perspective: Shaiq Uddin appears to lean toward a pro-Pakistan narrative,
emphasizing Pakistan’s technological edge and India’s vulnerabilities. The
dismissal of the nuclear threat narrative as “Indian godi media”
propaganda suggests a bias against Indian media narratives, which are
often nationalistic. However, the post avoids overt jingoism and focuses
on technical analysis, which lends it some objectivity.
- Geopolitical
Context: The post aligns with a broader narrative of Pakistan-China
cooperation countering India, a U.S. ally in the Quad. The suggestion that
the U.S. intervened to prevent India’s “strategic humiliation” fits a
geopolitical framing where the U.S. seeks to maintain India’s deterrence
credibility against China. This interpretation is plausible but may
overstate U.S. motives without evidence.
- Audience
Engagement: The post’s call for likes, retweets, and follows, along with
hashtags like #PakistanAirForce, suggests an intent to appeal to a
Pakistan-leaning audience on X, which could influence the tone and
framing.
Verdict on Bias: The post shows a pro-Pakistan tilt but is
not overtly propagandistic. Its technical focus and use of OSINT mitigate some
bias, though the narrative may be shaped to appeal to a specific audience.
4. Gaps and Counterpoints
- Lack
of Official Confirmation: The post relies on OSINT and speculation, as the
author admits. Without official statements from the U.S., India, or
Pakistan, the exact nature of the “alarming intelligence” remains
unverified. CNN’s report (May 10, 2025) is vague, and no declassified
intelligence has surfaced to confirm EW as the trigger.
- Scale
of Jamming: Jamming a geosynchronous satellite like GSAT-7A is a complex
operation. While Pakistan may have the capability, the post doesn’t
address whether the jamming was sustained or significant enough to disrupt
India’s C2 on a strategic level. Temporary disruptions might not warrant
U.S. intervention.
- India’s
Response: The post speculates that India’s leadership, in “panic mode”
after losing Rafales and S-400s to PAF, might have bypassed nuclear
command procedures. This is a major claim with no evidence. India’s
nuclear C2 is designed with redundancies (e.g., ground-based communication
backups), and such a breakdown seems unlikely without catastrophic failure
across multiple systems.
- Nuclear
Threat Narrative: While the post dismisses nuclear threats, the
India-Pakistan context—both being nuclear powers—means that any escalation
risks nuclear miscalculation. The U.S. might have intervened to prevent
missteps, even if the immediate issue was EW, making the nuclear angle
harder to rule out entirely.
- Chinese
Role: The involvement of Chinese satellites (Yaogan-30) and indirect
support is speculative. While China-Pakistan cooperation is
well-documented, direct evidence of China’s role in this specific incident
is missing.
Verdict on Gaps: The analysis has significant gaps,
particularly around the scale of the alleged jamming, India’s response, and the
lack of official confirmation. These gaps undermine its credibility, though
they don’t disprove the theory outright.
5. Broader Context and Likelihood
- Modern
Warfare Trends: The post’s focus on EW aligns with global trends in
warfare, where electronic and cyber capabilities are increasingly
decisive. Conflicts like Ukraine-Russia (2022-2025) have shown the
importance of EW in disrupting enemy C2, lending credence to the idea that
EW could be a major factor in India-Pakistan tensions.
- U.S.
Intervention Motives: The U.S. has a history of intervening in
India-Pakistan conflicts (e.g., Kargil 1999) to prevent escalation,
especially given the nuclear risk. The post’s argument that the U.S. acted
to prevent India’s strategic humiliation is plausible, as a weakened India
could embolden China in the Indo-Pacific, countering U.S. interests.
- Pakistan’s
Strategic Goals: Pakistan showcasing EW dominance could serve as a
deterrent against India, signaling that it can counter India’s
conventional superiority without resorting to nuclear threats. This aligns
with Pakistan’s military doctrine, which emphasizes asymmetric capabilities.
Final Assessment: Is This Credible?
Shaiq Uddin’s analysis is partially credible but
speculative. Here’s the breakdown:
- Strengths:
The technical foundation is sound—Pakistan’s EW capabilities, India’s
reliance on GSAT satellites, and U.S. surveillance abilities are all
well-documented. The focus on EW as a modern warfare tool aligns with
global trends, and the dismissal of the nuclear threat narrative is
reasonable given CNN’s vague framing.
- Weaknesses:
The analysis relies heavily on speculation (e.g., GSAT jamming, India’s
nuclear C2 breakdown, Chinese involvement) without direct evidence. The
lack of official confirmation and the complexity of jamming geosynchronous
satellites introduce significant uncertainty.
- Likelihood:
I’d rate the scenario as 40-50% likely. It’s a plausible explanation for
the “alarming intelligence,” but alternative explanations—like a broader
risk of escalation or miscommunication—can’t be ruled out. The post
overreaches on some claims (e.g., strategic decapitation, India’s panic
mode) without sufficient evidence.
Recommendation: Treat this as an informed hypothesis rather
than a definitive explanation. Cross-check with additional sources, especially
if official statements or declassified intelligence emerge. The post offers a
valuable perspective on the role of EW in modern conflicts, but its conclusions
should be taken with caution due to the speculative nature of key claims.
Appendix 3 – How was
India able to carry out precision targeting at airbases deep inside Pakistan?
Let’s analyze how India was able to carry out precision
targeting at airbases deep inside Pakistan, as described in the web results
from The Guardian (published May 10, 2025), despite the speculated electronic
warfare (EW) disruptions highlighted in Shaiq Uddin’s X post . The Guardian
article states that India conducted "precision attacks only on identified
military targets" in response to alleged Pakistani missile strikes on
Indian airbases, while Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests Pakistan may have disrupted
India’s military communications, potentially via jamming of the GSAT-7A
satellite. I’ll break this down by examining India’s capabilities, potential
mitigating factors, and the broader context of the conflict.
1. Context of India’s Precision Strikes
The Guardian reports that on May 6, 2025, India launched
"Operation Sindoor," targeting nine sites in Pakistan and
Pakistan-administered Jammu and Kashmir, which India alleged were used to plan
attacks. These strikes were in retaliation for Pakistani high-speed missile
attacks on Indian airbases in Punjab at around 2 a.m. on the same day. The
Indian foreign secretary, Vikram Misri, described the response as “swift and
calibrated,” focusing on “identified military targets.” Meanwhile, Shaiq Uddin’s
post speculates that Pakistan, possibly with Chinese support, used advanced EW
capabilities (e.g., via ZDK-03 AEW&C platforms) to jam India’s GSAT-7A
satellite, which is critical for military communications, including
command-and-control (C2) for air operations and nuclear assets. If India’s
satellite communications were disrupted, how did India manage to execute deep
precision strikes?
2. India’s Capabilities for Precision Targeting
India has developed significant capabilities for precision
strikes, which likely enabled it to carry out these attacks despite potential
EW challenges. Let’s examine the key elements:
- Aircraft
and Weaponry:
- Fighter
Jets: India’s air force includes advanced platforms like the Dassault
Rafale, Sukhoi Su-30MKI, and Mirage 2000, all capable of long-range
precision strikes. The Rafale, for instance, is equipped with the SCALP
(Storm Shadow) air-launched cruise missile, which has a range of over 560
km and can strike deep targets with high accuracy using inertial, GPS,
and terrain-referencing navigation. The Mirage 2000, used in the 2019
Balakot airstrike, can deploy precision-guided munitions like the Spice
2000 bomb, which also uses GPS and electro-optical guidance for accuracy.
- Missiles:
India has indigenous long-range precision weapons like the BrahMos
supersonic cruise missile (range ~400-600 km, depending on the variant),
which can be launched from air, land, or sea platforms. The BrahMos uses
a combination of inertial navigation, GPS, and active radar homing for
terminal guidance, making it effective against hardened targets like
airbases.
- Intelligence,
Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR):
- Satellites:
India relies on satellites like Cartosat (for high-resolution imagery)
and RISAT (for synthetic aperture radar imaging, capable of all-weather,
day-night surveillance) to identify and monitor targets. While Shaiq
Uddin’s post suggests GSAT-7A (a communication satellite) was jammed,
India’s ISR satellites operate on different frequencies and may not have
been affected. For example, Cartosat-3, launched in 2019, provides
0.25-meter resolution imagery, ideal for identifying military targets.
- UAVs
and Drones: India operates indigenous drones like the DRDO Rustom and has
acquired foreign platforms like the Israeli Heron TP, which can provide
real-time surveillance and target acquisition over long ranges. Drones
often use line-of-sight communication or alternative satellite links,
potentially bypassing disruptions to GSAT-7A.
- Human
Intelligence (HUMINT) and SIGINT: India likely used ground-based
intelligence networks and signal intelligence to corroborate satellite
data. The Research and Analysis Wing (RAW) and military intelligence
units could have provided target coordinates, especially for known
Pakistani airbases.
- Navigation
and Guidance Systems:
- Modern
precision-guided munitions (PGMs) like the Spice 2000 and SCALP rely on
multiple guidance systems, including GPS, inertial navigation, and
electro-optical or infrared imaging for terminal guidance. Even if GPS
signals were jammed (a common EW tactic), these weapons can fall back on
inertial navigation or preloaded terrain data to reach their targets. For
instance, the Spice 2000 uses a “scene-matching” algorithm to compare
stored images of the target with real-time visuals, ensuring accuracy
without continuous satellite communication.
3. Mitigating Factors Against EW Disruptions
Shaiq Uddin’s post speculates that Pakistan jammed India’s
GSAT-7A, potentially disrupting military C2. However, several factors could
have allowed India to mitigate this and still execute precision strikes:
- Redundancies
in Communication:
- Ground-Based
Systems: India’s military C2 infrastructure includes ground-based
communication networks, such as fiber-optic links and microwave relays,
which can serve as backups if satellite uplinks are disrupted. The Indian
Air Force (IAF) likely used these to coordinate strikes, especially for
targets that were pre-identified.
- Other
Satellites: India has a constellation of communication satellites beyond
GSAT-7A, including GSAT-7 (used by the Navy) and civilian satellites like
INSAT, which can be repurposed in emergencies. While GSAT-7A is critical
for IAF operations, the IAF could have switched to alternative channels,
albeit with reduced efficiency.
- Line-of-Sight
Communication: For aircraft operating closer to Indian territory or
within range of ground stations, line-of-sight radio communication (e.g.,
via VHF/UHF) could have been used to relay targeting data, bypassing
satellite reliance.
- Pre-Planned
Targets:
- The
Guardian notes that India struck “identified military targets,”
suggesting these were known locations, such as Pakistani airbases. India
likely had pre-existing intelligence on these targets, including
coordinates and imagery, stored in mission planning systems. For
instance, airbases like PAF Base Mushaf (Sargodha) or PAF Base Rafiqui
(Shorkot) are fixed, high-value targets that India has likely monitored
for years. Precision strikes on such targets wouldn’t require real-time
satellite communication if the coordinates were already programmed into
the weapons or aircraft systems.
- Autonomous
Weapon Systems:
- Many
of India’s PGMs, like the BrahMos and SCALP, are “fire-and-forget”
weapons. Once launched, they don’t require continuous communication with
the launching platform or satellites. Their onboard guidance systems
(inertial, GPS, or imaging) can guide them to the target even if EW
disrupts external communications. For example, the BrahMos can be
pre-programmed with target coordinates and uses active radar homing in
the terminal phase, making it resistant to jamming.
- Limited
Scale of Jamming:
- Shaiq
Uddin’s post doesn’t confirm the extent of the alleged GSAT-7A jamming.
Jamming a geosynchronous satellite (at 36,000 km altitude) requires
significant power and precise targeting of uplink/downlink frequencies.
If Pakistan’s jamming was intermittent or only partially effective, India
may have retained enough satellite connectivity to execute strikes.
Alternatively, the jamming may have occurred after India’s initial
retaliation, as the Pakistani attacks (2 a.m.) and India’s response (part
of Operation Sindoor on May 6) were rapid, leaving little time for
sustained EW effects.
- AEW&C
Limitations:
- India’s
own AEW&C platforms, like the DRDO Netra (mentioned in the Wikipedia
entry on GSAT-7), could have provided situational awareness, even if less
capable than Pakistan’s ZDK-03 or Erieye. The Netra, mounted on an
Embraer EMB-145I, has a 240-degree radar coverage and can detect aerial
threats at 200-300 km. While Shaiq Uddin notes its “limited range and
weaker EW capabilities,” it could still have supported strike missions by
providing early warning and target tracking, reducing reliance on
satellite links.
4. Timeline and Operational Dynamics
The timeline of events offers clues about how India managed
the strikes:
- Pakistani
Attack (2 a.m., May 6, 2025): Pakistan allegedly struck Indian airbases in
Punjab, including Pathankot, Srinagar, and Udhampur, using missiles,
drones, and fighter aircraft. The Guardian notes that India “neutralized
these threats,” but some damage was done to equipment and personnel at
four airbases.
- India’s
Response (Operation Sindoor, May 6, 2025): India launched strikes on nine
sites in Pakistan, described as “swift and calibrated.” The rapid response
suggests India relied on pre-planned contingencies and existing
intelligence, minimizing the need for real-time satellite communication.
Analysis:
- Speed
of Response: The quick turnaround (within hours) indicates India likely
used pre-existing target data and relied on aircraft or missile systems
that didn’t need continuous satellite uplinks. For example, Rafale jets
could have been scrambled from bases like Ambala (near Punjab) with
preloaded mission data, using SCALP missiles to strike targets deep inside
Pakistan.
- EW
Timing: If Pakistan’s alleged jamming of GSAT-7A occurred, it may have
been in response to India’s strikes, as a defensive measure to disrupt
further Indian operations. Alternatively, the jamming may have been
partial, affecting India’s broader C2 but not the initial strike planning,
which could have been coordinated via ground-based systems or alternative
channels.
5. Broader Context and Challenges
While India managed to execute precision strikes, the
conflict’s broader context highlights challenges that align with Shaiq Uddin’s
analysis:
- Pakistan’s
EW Edge: Shaiq Uddin’s post notes Pakistan’s superior AEW&C and EW
capabilities, supported by Chinese technology. The Guardian article
mentions Pakistani media claims of destroying Indian airbases and advanced
weapons systems (e.g., Rafales, S-400s), which India dismissed as
propaganda. However, Shaiq Uddin’s speculation that India’s Rafales and
S-400s were “neutralized” by Pakistan’s EW suggests that India may have
faced disruptions in its air defense and situational awareness, even if not
in the initial strike phase. For example, the S-400 relies on networked
radar and communication systems, which could be vulnerable to jamming, but
India’s offensive strikes likely preceded such disruptions.
- India’s
Nuclear C2 Concerns: Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests that India’s leadership,
in “panic mode” after losing key assets, might have bypassed nuclear
command procedures. While this is speculative, it underscores the risk of
escalation if India’s C2 was indeed compromised. India’s ability to
execute precision strikes indicates that its offensive C2 remained
functional, but broader strategic communications (e.g., for nuclear
forces) may have been at risk, prompting U.S. intervention.
- U.S.
Role: The CNN report (May 10, 2025) about “alarming intelligence” and U.S.
calls for a ceasefire suggests that the situation escalated beyond the
initial strikes. India’s successful retaliation may have prompted Pakistan
to intensify EW efforts, leading to the signal anomalies detected by U.S.
satellites (e.g., USA-245, PAN/NEMESIS), as Shaiq Uddin posits.
6. How India Likely Succeeded
Here’s a step-by-step explanation of how India likely
carried out the precision strikes despite potential EW disruptions:
- Pre-Existing
Intelligence: India had prior intelligence on Pakistani airbases, likely
from satellites (Cartosat, RISAT), drones, and HUMINT. Targets were
pre-identified, with coordinates stored in mission planning systems.
- Rapid
Response Planning: After the Pakistani attack at 2 a.m., India used
ground-based communication networks and possibly alternative satellite
links (e.g., GSAT-7, INSAT) to coordinate a response. The IAF likely
activated contingency plans, assigning targets to aircraft like Rafales or
missile systems like BrahMos.
- Autonomous
Strike Systems: India deployed aircraft and missiles with autonomous
guidance systems (e.g., SCALP, BrahMos, Spice 2000), which don’t require
continuous satellite communication. These systems used inertial
navigation, preloaded terrain data, and onboard sensors to reach their
targets.
- Localized
Situational Awareness: India’s Netra AEW&C and ground-based radars
(e.g., at Ambala or Pathankot) provided enough situational awareness to
launch strikes, even if Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Erieye had an EW edge.
Drones like the Heron TP may have provided additional targeting data.
- Limited
Jamming Impact: If Pakistan jammed GSAT-7A, the impact may have been
limited or occurred after India’s initial strikes. India’s rapid response
minimized the window for effective EW, and redundancies in communication
ensured operational continuity.
7. Conclusion
India was able to carry out precision targeting at airbases
deep inside Pakistan due to a combination of pre-existing intelligence,
autonomous weapon systems, and redundancies in its C2 infrastructure. While
Pakistan may have disrupted India’s satellite communications (e.g., GSAT-7A)
with EW, as speculated by Shaiq Uddin, this likely didn’t affect the initial
retaliatory strikes, which relied on pre-planned targets and fire-and-forget
munitions. India’s advanced fighter jets (Rafale, Su-30MKI), long-range missiles
(BrahMos), and ISR capabilities (Cartosat, drones) enabled it to strike with
precision, even under potential EW pressure. However, Pakistan’s EW
capabilities may have posed challenges to India’s broader C2 and air defense,
contributing to the “alarming intelligence” that prompted U.S. intervention, as
suggested in the CNN report.
This scenario highlights the complexity of modern warfare,
where EW can disrupt operations, but redundancies, pre-planning, and autonomous
systems allow for effective responses—at least in the short term. India’s
success in the initial strikes doesn’t negate Shaiq Uddin’s broader point about
Pakistan’s EW dominance, which may have influenced the conflict’s trajectory
and the U.S. decision to push for a ceasefire.
Appendix 4 – Analysis
of the capabilities of netra system
Let’s analyze the capabilities of the DRDO Netra Airborne
Early Warning and Control System (AEW&CS), an indigenous platform developed
by India’s Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) for the Indian
Air Force (IAF). The Netra system is designed to enhance situational awareness,
command-and-control (C2), and air defense capabilities. I’ll break down its
technical specifications, operational performance, strengths, limitations, and
planned upgrades, drawing on the provided web results and general knowledge of
AEW&C systems.
1. Overview of the Netra AEW&CS
The Netra AEW&CS, also referred to as the DRDO
AEW&CS, is India’s first indigenous airborne early warning system,
developed by the Centre for Airborne Systems (CABS) under DRDO. It is mounted
on a modified Embraer EMB-145I aircraft, a Brazilian jet platform chosen for
its reliability and availability. The system was designed to provide the IAF
with enhanced surveillance, early warning, and C2 capabilities, particularly in
the context of regional threats from Pakistan and China.
- Development
Timeline:
- The
project began in the early 2000s to reduce India’s dependence on foreign
AEW&C systems like the Russian A-50 Phalcon.
- The
first Netra aircraft was delivered to the IAF on February 14, 2017,
during the Aero Indonesia event, as noted in the Wikipedia entry (DRDO
AEW&CS).
- Initial
Operational Clearance (IOC) was achieved by October 2017, with the second
aircraft delivered on September 11, 2019, and deployed at Bathinda Air
Base in Punjab.
- The
third aircraft was retained by DRDO for research and development.
- Operational
Use:
- The
Netra saw its first combat usage during the Balakot airstrike on February
26, 2019, supporting IAF operations against targets in Pakistan.
- As
of 2025, the IAF operates three Netra systems, with plans for upgrades
and replacements (Netra Mk 2).
2. Technical Specifications and Capabilities
The Netra AEW&CS integrates advanced radar,
communication, and electronic warfare systems to provide a 360-degree view of
the battlefield. Below are its key capabilities:
a. Radar and Surveillance
- Primary
Radar:
- The
Netra is equipped with an Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA)
radar developed by DRDO, mounted in a dorsal configuration on the
aircraft’s fuselage.
- Coverage:
The radar provides 240-degree coverage, with two antenna arrays on either
side of the aircraft, each covering 120 degrees. This leaves a 60-degree
blind spot at the nose and tail, a limitation compared to 360-degree
systems like the Israeli Phalcon on the IAF’s A-50.
- Range:
The AESA radar can detect aerial targets (e.g., fighter jets, drones) at
ranges of 200-300 km, depending on the target’s radar cross-section
(RCS). For a typical fighter jet (RCS ~1 m²), detection range is around
240 km, as noted in general sources on AEW&C systems.
- Tracking
Capacity: The system can track up to 300 targets simultaneously,
including aircraft, missiles, and drones, providing real-time situational
awareness.
- Secondary
Surveillance Radar (SSR):
- The
Netra includes an Identification Friend or Foe (IFF) system to
distinguish between friendly and hostile targets, critical for avoiding
fratricide in dense airspaces.
- The
IFF system operates in conjunction with the primary radar, enhancing
target classification.
b. Electronic Support Measures (ESM)
- The
Netra is equipped with ESM sensors to detect and analyze enemy radar
emissions, such as those from ground-based air defense systems or hostile
aircraft.
- It
can intercept and classify radar signals across a wide frequency range
(likely 1-18 GHz, typical for AEW&C systems), enabling it to identify
threats like surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems (e.g., Pakistan’s HQ-9
or LY-80).
- ESM
also supports limited electronic intelligence (ELINT) collection, allowing
the Netra to map enemy radar locations for future strikes.
c. Communication and Command-and-Control (C2)
- Data
Links: The Netra uses secure data links to share real-time radar and ESM
data with ground control stations, fighter jets, and other assets. It
likely employs a variant of the IAF’s Integrated Air Command and Control
System (IACCS) data link, which connects airbases, radar units, and
aircraft.
- Satellite
Communication (SATCOM): The system integrates with India’s GSAT-7 and
GSAT-7A military communication satellites (as noted in the Wikipedia entry
on GSAT-7), enabling beyond-line-of-sight (BLOS) communication. This
allows the Netra to relay information to command centers far from the
operational area.
- Voice
Communication: The aircraft has multiple radio systems (VHF/UHF/HF) for
direct communication with IAF fighters and ground stations, ensuring
redundancy if SATCOM is disrupted (e.g., by jamming, as speculated in
Shaiq Uddin’s post).
d. Electronic Warfare (EW) Capabilities
- Self-Protection
Suite: The Netra is equipped with a Radar Warning Receiver (RWR), Missile
Approach Warning System (MAWS), and chaff/flare dispensers to defend
against enemy missiles and fighters.
- Limited
Jamming: While the Netra has some electronic countermeasures (ECM)
capabilities, its EW suite is weaker compared to more advanced platforms
like Pakistan’s ZDK-03 or Saab 2000 Erieye (as noted in Shaiq Uddin’s
post). It can jam enemy radar or communication in a limited capacity, but
its primary role is surveillance, not offensive EW.
e. Platform Specifications
- Aircraft:
The Embraer EMB-145I provides a stable platform with a cruising speed of
~Mach 0.78 (950 km/h) and an endurance of 5-6 hours, extendable with
air-to-air refueling (though the IAF’s current Netra fleet lacks this
capability).
- Altitude:
The Netra operates at 30,000-35,000 feet, allowing it to detect low-flying
targets (e.g., cruise missiles or drones) that ground-based radars might
miss due to terrain masking.
- Crew:
The aircraft carries a crew of 8-10, including radar operators,
communication specialists, and mission commanders.
f. Interoperability
- The
Netra is designed to integrate with IAF assets like Rafale, Su-30MKI, and
Tejas fighters, as well as ground-based air defense systems like the S-400
and Akash SAMs.
- It
can guide fighters to intercept targets, vectoring them using real-time
radar data, and coordinate with ground stations for a networked air
defense response.
3. Operational Performance
The Netra has been deployed in operational scenarios,
providing insight into its effectiveness:
- Balakot
Airstrike (2019):
- During
the Balakot operation on February 26, 2019, the Netra supported IAF
Mirage 2000 jets by providing early warning of Pakistani F-16s scrambled
in response. It tracked Pakistani aircraft movements and relayed data to
ground controllers, helping the IAF maintain situational awareness.
- However,
the Netra’s 240-degree radar coverage limited its ability to monitor
threats approaching from the nose or tail, a potential vulnerability
exploited by Pakistan during the subsequent skirmish on February 27,
2019, when an Indian MiG-21 was shot down.
- Deployment
at Bathinda:
- The
Netra’s deployment at Bathinda Air Base in Punjab positions it to monitor
the western border with Pakistan, a key area of tension. Its range allows
it to cover much of Punjab, Rajasthan, and parts of Pakistan, including
airbases like PAF Base Mushaf (Sargodha).
- Role
in 2025 Conflict:
- In
the context of the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict (as described in The
Guardian article and Shaiq Uddin’s post), the Netra likely supported
India’s retaliatory strikes under “Operation Sindoor.” It could have
detected Pakistani aircraft or missiles during the initial attack on
Indian airbases (at 2 a.m. on May 6, 2025) and provided targeting data
for India’s response, despite potential EW disruptions from Pakistan.
4. Strengths of the Netra System
- Indigenous
Technology: The Netra is a significant achievement for India’s defense
industry, reducing reliance on foreign AEW&C systems. Its AESA radar
and ESM suite are domestically developed, showcasing DRDO’s technological
capabilities.
- Cost-Effectiveness:
Compared to larger AEW&C platforms like the A-50 Phalcon (which costs
~$500 million per unit), the Netra is more affordable, with the EMB-145I
platform costing around $50-60 million per aircraft, plus development
costs.
- Compact
Platform: The EMB-145I is smaller and more fuel-efficient than larger
AEW&C aircraft like the Boeing 737-based E-7 Wedgetail, making it
easier to deploy and maintain.
- Integration
with IAF Systems: The Netra’s data links and SATCOM integration with
GSAT-7/7A ensure seamless coordination with other IAF assets, enhancing
networked warfare capabilities.
- Low-Flying
Target Detection: Operating at high altitudes, the Netra can detect
low-flying threats like cruise missiles or drones, a critical capability
given Pakistan’s use of such systems (as seen in the 2025 conflict).
5. Limitations of the Netra System
While the Netra is a capable system, it has several
limitations, some of which are highlighted in Shaiq Uddin’s post:
- Limited
Radar Coverage:
- The
240-degree radar coverage leaves blind spots at the nose and tail, a
significant drawback compared to 360-degree systems like the Phalcon or
Pakistan’s ZDK-03. This requires the Netra to operate in orbits that
minimize exposure of its blind spots to enemy threats, potentially
reducing its operational flexibility.
- Weaker
EW Capabilities:
- Shaiq
Uddin notes that the Netra’s EW capabilities are “relatively weaker”
compared to Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye, which benefit from
Chinese and Turkish technological support. The Netra’s ECM suite is
primarily defensive (e.g., self-protection against missiles), with
limited ability to jam enemy radar or communications on a large scale.
- Endurance
and Range:
- The
EMB-145I’s endurance of 5-6 hours is shorter than larger AEW&C
platforms like the A-50 (8-10 hours) or the ZDK-03 (7-8 hours). Without
air-to-air refueling, the Netra’s time on station is limited, requiring
more frequent rotations during prolonged operations.
- Its
operational range (~2,500 km ferry range) is also constrained, meaning it
must operate from forward bases like Bathinda to cover Pakistan’s
airspace effectively.
- Vulnerability
to Jamming:
- Shaiq
Uddin’s post speculates that Pakistan jammed India’s GSAT-7A satellite,
which the Netra relies on for BLOS communication. While the Netra has
line-of-sight radio backups, sustained jamming of SATCOM could degrade
its ability to relay data to distant command centers, forcing it to
operate closer to friendly ground stations.
- Platform
Limitations:
- The
EMB-145I is a smaller aircraft compared to platforms like the Airbus A330
or Boeing 737, limiting the size and power of the radar and onboard
systems. This affects its detection range and processing capacity
compared to larger AEW&C systems.
- Numbers
and Availability:
- The
IAF currently operates only three Netra systems, a small number compared
to Pakistan’s fleet of seven AEW&C platforms (four ZDK-03s and three
Saab 2000 Erieyes, as per the Eurasia Review article). This limits
India’s ability to maintain continuous AEW&C coverage across its
western and northern borders.
6. Comparison with Regional AEW&C Systems
To contextualize the Netra’s capabilities, let’s compare it
with Pakistan’s and China’s AEW&C systems, as mentioned in the web results:
- Pakistan’s
ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle:
- Platform:
Based on the Chinese Y-8 (a derivative of the Soviet An-12), the ZDK-03
is larger than the EMB-145I, offering greater endurance (7-8 hours) and
payload capacity.
- Radar:
It features a 360-degree AESA radar in a rotating radome, providing full
coverage without blind spots, a clear advantage over the Netra’s
240-degree coverage.
- EW
Capabilities: Shaiq Uddin notes that the ZDK-03 has been upgraded (as of
April 2025) with Chinese assistance, enhancing its EW capabilities,
including jamming. This makes it more effective in contested
environments.
- Numbers:
Pakistan operates four ZDK-03s, giving it a numerical edge over India’s
three Netra systems.
- Pakistan’s
Saab 2000 Erieye:
- Platform:
The Saab 2000 is a Swedish turboprop aircraft, similar in size to the
EMB-145I, with an endurance of ~6 hours.
- Radar:
It uses an AESA radar with 300-degree coverage (150 degrees per side),
slightly better than the Netra but still with blind spots at the nose and
tail.
- EW:
The Erieye has stronger ECM capabilities than the Netra, including the
ability to jam enemy radar and communications, as noted in Shaiq Uddin’s
post.
- Numbers:
Pakistan has three Erieyes (though the web result mentions eight, which
may include planned acquisitions), further bolstering its AEW&C
fleet.
- China’s
KJ-500 and KJ-2000:
- Platform:
The KJ-500 is based on the Y-9 airframe, while the KJ-2000 uses the Il-76
platform, both larger than the EMB-145I.
- Radar:
Both feature 360-degree AESA radars, with the KJ-500 having a detection
range of ~400 km for fighter-sized targets, significantly outranging the
Netra.
- EW:
China’s AEW&C platforms are equipped with advanced ECM suites,
capable of large-scale jamming and electronic attack, far surpassing the
Netra’s capabilities.
- Numbers:
China operates 20 KJ-500s, four KJ-200s, and four KJ-2000s (per the
Eurasia Review article), giving it a massive numerical and technological
advantage over India.
Comparison Verdict: The Netra lags behind Pakistan’s ZDK-03
and Erieye in radar coverage, EW capabilities, and numbers, and it is
significantly outclassed by China’s AEW&C fleet. This aligns with Shaiq
Uddin’s assessment that Pakistan had an “electronic warfare edge” in the 2025
conflict, though the Netra’s role in surveillance and C2 remains valuable for
India.
7. Planned Upgrades: Netra Mk 2
Recognizing the Netra’s limitations, India is developing the
Netra Mk 2, an upgraded variant with enhanced capabilities. Key details from
the web results:
- Platform:
The Mk 2 will use second-hand Airbus A321 aircraft acquired from Air
India, a larger platform than the EMB-145I, offering greater endurance
(7-8 hours) and payload capacity.
- Radar:
The Mk 2 will feature an upgraded AESA radar with 300-degree coverage,
achieved by adding a nose-mounted antenna to the dorsal array (as per the
Wikipedia entry on DRDO AEW&CS). This reduces blind spots, though it
still falls short of 360-degree coverage.
- Sensors
and Systems: The Mk 2 will include more advanced ESM, ELINT, and ECM
suites, addressing the current Netra’s weaker EW capabilities. The DRDO
CABS is developing a “more advanced mission suite” (Eurasia Review
article), likely incorporating AI-based target recognition and data
fusion.
- Timeline
and Cost: Development is at an advanced stage as of February 2024, with a
cost of ₹10,990 crore (US$1.3 billion) for six aircraft. Deliveries are
expected in 2026-27.
- Strategic
Impact: The Mk 2 will significantly enhance the IAF’s AEW&C
capabilities, narrowing the gap with Pakistan and China, though India will
still need more units to match their numerical advantage.
8. Role in the 2025 Conflict
In the context of the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict (as
described in The Guardian and Shaiq Uddin’s post), the Netra likely played a
key role despite its limitations:
- Surveillance:
The Netra could have detected Pakistani aircraft and missiles during the
initial attack on Indian airbases (2 a.m., May 6, 2025), providing early
warning and tracking data to IAF fighters and air defenses.
- Support
for Strikes: During India’s retaliatory strikes (Operation Sindoor), the
Netra likely provided situational awareness, guiding Rafale or Su-30MKI
jets to their targets and monitoring Pakistani air activity.
- EW
Challenges: Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests Pakistan jammed India’s GSAT-7A,
which the Netra relies on for BLOS communication. However, the Netra’s
line-of-sight data links and radio systems likely allowed it to continue
supporting operations, albeit with reduced effectiveness if operating far
from ground stations.
9. Conclusion: Netra’s Capabilities
The Netra AEW&CS is a capable system for its intended
role, providing the IAF with indigenous early warning, surveillance, and C2
capabilities. Its AESA radar, ESM suite, and integration with IAF systems make
it a valuable asset for monitoring regional threats and supporting operations
like the Balakot airstrike and the 2025 conflict. However, it has notable
limitations, including its 240-degree radar coverage, weaker EW capabilities,
limited endurance, and small fleet size, which put it at a disadvantage compared
to Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye, and China’s KJ-500.
The planned Netra Mk 2 addresses some of these shortcomings
with improved radar coverage, a larger platform, and enhanced EW capabilities,
but until its deployment in 2026-27, the IAF will rely on the current Netra
systems alongside its three A-50 Phalcon AWACS for AEW&C duties. In the
2025 conflict, the Netra likely played a supporting role in India’s precision
strikes, though Pakistan’s EW edge (as speculated by Shaiq Uddin) may have
challenged its effectiveness, contributing to the “alarming intelligence” that
prompted U.S.
Appendix 5 – Does
India have electronic warfare capabilities to do the same level of jamming in
Pakistan
Let’s analyze whether India possesses electronic warfare
(EW) capabilities to conduct the same level of jamming in Pakistan as
speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s X post , where Pakistan allegedly jammed India’s
GSAT-7A military communication satellite during the 2025 India-Pakistan
conflict. The post suggests Pakistan, with Chinese support, disrupted India’s
command-and-control (C2) systems using advanced EW platforms like the ZDK-03
AEW&C. To assess India’s ability to reciprocate, we’ll examine its EW capabilities
across air, ground, naval, and space domains, drawing on the provided web
results, the capabilities of the Netra AEW&CS (already analyzed), and
broader knowledge of India’s military technology.
1. Understanding the Level of Jamming Speculated
Shaiq Uddin’s post claims that Pakistan, possibly with
Chinese assistance, used its ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle AEW&C and other EW
systems to jam India’s GSAT-7A satellite, which operates in geosynchronous
orbit (36,000 km altitude) and is critical for the Indian Air Force’s (IAF) C2,
including nuclear command. This level of jamming involves:
- Targeting
Satellite Uplinks/Downlinks: Jamming a geosynchronous satellite requires
high-power ground-based or airborne jammers to interfere with the
satellite’s uplink (ground-to-satellite) or downlink (satellite-to-ground)
frequencies, typically in the Ku-band (for GSAT-7A, as per the Wikipedia
entry on GSAT-7A).
- Sophisticated
EW Systems: Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye AEW&C platforms,
with Chinese and Turkish technological support, are credited with advanced
electronic countermeasures (ECM), including the ability to jam
communications over a wide area.
- Strategic
Impact: The alleged jamming disrupted India’s military communications,
potentially affecting real-time coordination between airbases, AEW&C
systems (like the Netra), UAVs, and the Strategic Forces Command, risking
“strategic decapitation” of India’s defense backbone.
For India to achieve a similar level of jamming in Pakistan,
it would need to:
- Disrupt
Pakistan’s military communication networks, including satellite-based
systems like Pakistan’s PakSat-1R (a Chinese-built communication satellite
used for military purposes).
- Neutralize
or degrade Pakistan’s C2 systems, including those supported by its
AEW&C platforms (ZDK-03, Saab 2000 Erieye) and ground-based networks.
- Sustain
this disruption to create a strategic advantage, potentially blinding
Pakistan’s air defenses or nuclear C2.
2. India’s Electronic Warfare Capabilities
India has invested significantly in EW over the past few
decades, particularly since the 1999 Kargil War exposed gaps in its
capabilities (as noted in the web result from The World Diplomacy). The Defence
Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) and other agencies have developed
a range of EW systems across multiple domains. Let’s break down India’s
capabilities:
a. Airborne EW Systems
- Netra
AEW&CS:
- As
analyzed previously, the DRDO Netra AEW&CS, mounted on the Embraer
EMB-145I, has limited ECM capabilities. It is primarily designed for
surveillance and early warning, with a self-protection suite (Radar
Warning Receiver, Missile Approach Warning System, chaff/flare
dispensers) and basic jamming functions.
- Jamming
Capability: The Netra can jam enemy radar or communications in a limited
capacity, but it lacks the advanced ECM suite needed for large-scale,
high-power jamming, such as targeting satellite uplinks. Shaiq Uddin
notes its “relatively weaker EW capabilities” compared to Pakistan’s
ZDK-03, which has been upgraded with Chinese technology.
- Range
and Coverage: The Netra’s 240-degree radar coverage and operational range
(200-300 km for detection) limit its ability to conduct sustained EW
operations deep inside Pakistan, especially against satellite uplinks
requiring precise, high-power interference.
- Rafale
Jets with SPECTRA Suite:
- The
web result from Indian Defence Research Wing (idrw.org) highlights the
IAF’s Rafale jets, equipped with the Thales SPECTRA (Système de
Protection et d'Évitement des Conduites de Tir Rafale) EW suite. SPECTRA
is a highly advanced system that integrates radar warning, electronic
countermeasures, and active jamming.
- Jamming
Capabilities: SPECTRA can jam enemy radars, including those on fighter
jets, SAM systems (e.g., Pakistan’s HQ-9), and GNSS (Global Navigation
Satellite System) signals like GPS. During Exercise Aakraman (simulating
strikes against Pakistani targets), the Rafale likely used SPECTRA to jam
radar and GNSS signals, demonstrating its ability to disrupt enemy C2.
- Limitations
for Satellite Jamming: While SPECTRA can jam GNSS signals (e.g., GPS used
by Pakistani drones or missiles), it is not designed to target
geosynchronous satellite uplinks like those of PakSat-1R. Jamming a
satellite requires ground-based or space-based systems with significantly
higher power and directional accuracy, which SPECTRA lacks.
- Su-30MKI
and Other Aircraft:
- India’s
Su-30MKI fighters are equipped with the Russian SAP-518 ECM pods, which
can jam enemy radar and communications in the 1-18 GHz range. These pods
are effective against air defense radars and fighter jet sensors but are
not suited for satellite jamming.
- Mirage
2000 and Tejas jets also have limited ECM capabilities, primarily for
self-protection, not large-scale strategic jamming.
b. Ground-Based EW Systems
- DRDO’s
EW Programs:
- The
web result from The World Diplomacy notes that DRDO has developed
indigenous EW systems, including electronic countermeasure (ECM) systems,
radar jamming technology, and communication jamming devices since the
1980s.
- Samruddhika
EW System: DRDO’s Samruddhika system, deployed with the Indian Army, is
designed to intercept and jam enemy communications, including radio,
cellular, and satellite-based links. It operates across a wide frequency
range and can disrupt tactical communications, but its ability to jam
geosynchronous satellites like PakSat-1R is unconfirmed in open sources.
- Himshakti
EW System: Used by the Indian Army along the Line of Control (LoC), the
Himshakti system can jam enemy radar and communications. The web result
from Indian Defence Research Wing mentions GPS jamming along the Indo-Pak
border, indicating India’s ability to disrupt GNSS signals in a localized
area, affecting Pakistani drones, missiles, and navigation systems.
- Spectrum
Monitoring: DRDO has developed spectrum monitoring systems to detect and
analyze enemy transmissions, which can be used to identify and target
Pakistani communication frequencies, including those used by their
AEW&C platforms.
- Limitations:
- While
India can jam tactical communications and GNSS signals, targeting a
geosynchronous satellite like PakSat-1R requires high-power jammers with
precise directional capabilities. India’s ground-based systems may lack
the power or range to sustain such jamming over Pakistan’s territory,
especially if the satellite’s ground stations are deep inside Pakistan or
in China (since PakSat-1R is Chinese-built and operated).
c. Naval EW Systems
- Shakti
EW System:
- The
Indian Navy’s warships, such as INS Surat, are equipped with the Shakti
EW system (as per the Indian Defence Research Wing result). Shakti can
jam missile guidance systems, GNSS signals, and enemy communications in
maritime domains.
- Relevance
to Pakistan: While Shakti is effective in naval engagements (e.g.,
against Pakistani naval assets in the Arabian Sea), it is not suited for
targeting Pakistan’s terrestrial C2 or satellite uplinks, as its
operational range is limited to maritime zones.
d. Space-Based and Cyber EW Capabilities
- Anti-Satellite
(ASAT) Capability:
- India
demonstrated its ASAT capability in March 2019 with Mission Shakti,
destroying a low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite at 300 km altitude using a
kinetic kill vehicle. This capability is not directly related to jamming
but indicates India’s growing space warfare expertise.
- Potential
for Space-Based Jamming: India could theoretically develop space-based
jammers to target satellites like PakSat-1R, but there is no public
evidence of such systems as of 2025. Jamming a geosynchronous satellite
from space requires a satellite in a nearby orbit with high-power
jammers, a capability India has not demonstrated.
- Cyber
Warfare:
- India’s
cyber capabilities, managed by agencies like the Defence Cyber Agency
(DCA), can complement EW by targeting Pakistan’s C2 networks through
cyberattacks. For example, India could attempt to hack or disrupt
Pakistan’s ground stations that control PakSat-1R, indirectly affecting
satellite communications.
- However,
cyber operations are distinct from RF-based jamming and may not achieve
the same real-time strategic impact as the EW disruption speculated in
Shaiq Uddin’s post.
e. Integration with AEW&C and ISR
- India’s
AEW&C platforms (Netra, A-50 Phalcon) and ISR assets (Cartosat, RISAT
satellites, Heron drones) can support EW operations by providing real-time
intelligence on Pakistani communication frequencies and radar emissions.
- The
A-50 Phalcon, with its Israeli EL/M-2090 radar, has some ECM capabilities,
but like the Netra, it is not designed for high-power satellite jamming.
3. Comparison with Pakistan’s Alleged Capabilities
To determine if India can match Pakistan’s speculated EW
capabilities, let’s compare the two:
- Pakistan’s
Capabilities (as per Shaiq Uddin’s Post):
- AEW&C
Platforms: Pakistan’s ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye are credited with
advanced ECM, capable of jamming India’s GSAT-7A. The ZDK-03, upgraded
with Chinese technology (as of April 2025), likely has high-power jammers
and operates with a 360-degree radar, giving it better situational
awareness and EW flexibility.
- Chinese
Support: Pakistan benefits from Chinese technological assistance,
including potential use of Yaogan-30 satellites for SAR imaging and RF
interception, enhancing its ability to target Indian communications.
- Scale
of Jamming: The alleged jamming of GSAT-7A suggests Pakistan can sustain
high-power interference over a wide area, affecting strategic C2, not
just tactical communications.
- India’s
Capabilities:
- AEW&C
Limitations: The Netra AEW&CS, while capable of basic ECM, lacks the
advanced jamming capabilities of the ZDK-03 or Erieye. The Netra Mk 2
(under development) will improve India’s EW suite, but as of 2025,
India’s airborne EW is weaker.
- Ground-Based
Systems: Systems like Samruddhika and Himshakti can jam tactical
communications and GNSS signals (as evidenced by GPS jamming along the
Indo-Pak border), but their ability to target geosynchronous satellites
like PakSat-1R is uncertain. India has not demonstrated or publicized
such a capability in open sources.
- Aircraft-Based
EW: The Rafale’s SPECTRA suite is advanced for tactical jamming (e.g.,
radar, GNSS), but it cannot match the strategic impact of satellite
jamming. Other platforms like the Su-30MKI have ECM pods but are
similarly limited to tactical roles.
- Space
and Cyber: India’s ASAT capability and cyber operations could indirectly
disrupt Pakistan’s satellite communications (e.g., by targeting ground
stations), but these are not equivalent to RF-based jamming and take
longer to execute.
4. Challenges for India to Achieve Similar Jamming
India faces several challenges in replicating the level of
jamming speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post:
- Technological
Gap:
- Pakistan’s
EW systems, particularly the ZDK-03, benefit from Chinese advancements,
which outpace India’s indigenous EW technology in some areas. China’s
expertise in space-based SIGINT (e.g., Yaogan satellites) and high-power
jammers gives Pakistan an edge that India struggles to match as of 2025.
- The
Netra’s weaker EW suite and the lack of a dedicated airborne jamming
platform (like the U.S. EA-18G Growler) limit India’s ability to conduct
large-scale strategic EW operations.
- Power
and Range Requirements:
- Jamming
a geosynchronous satellite like PakSat-1R requires high-power jammers
with precise directional capabilities, either from ground stations or
airborne platforms. India’s ground-based systems (e.g., Samruddhika) may
lack the power to sustain such jamming over long distances, especially if
the target satellite’s ground stations are deep inside Pakistan or China.
- Airborne
platforms like the Netra or Rafale have limited range and power for
satellite jamming, as they are designed for tactical rather than
strategic EW.
- Numbers
and Coverage:
- India
operates only three Netra AEW&CS units and three A-50 Phalcon AWACS,
compared to Pakistan’s seven AEW&C platforms (four ZDK-03s, three
Erieyes). This numerical disadvantage limits India’s ability to maintain
continuous EW coverage over Pakistan’s airspace.
- Pakistan’s
AEW&C platforms, with 360-degree radar coverage (ZDK-03) or
300-degree coverage (Erieye), provide better situational awareness,
allowing them to detect and counter Indian EW efforts more effectively.
- Countermeasures
by Pakistan:
- Pakistan’s
military communication networks likely have redundancies, such as
ground-based fiber-optic links and alternative satellites (e.g., Chinese
Beidou for navigation if GPS is jammed). Even if India disrupts
PakSat-1R, Pakistan could fall back on these systems, reducing the
strategic impact.
- Pakistan’s
own EW capabilities, as demonstrated in the 2025 conflict, could counter
Indian jamming attempts, creating a contested electromagnetic
environment.
5. India’s Potential to Achieve Similar Jamming
While India faces challenges, it has the potential to
develop or deploy capabilities to match Pakistan’s alleged jamming level:
- Ongoing
Developments:
- Netra
Mk 2: The Netra Mk 2, expected by 2026-27, will feature an upgraded EW
suite with enhanced ECM capabilities (as per the Eurasia Review article).
While it may not match the ZDK-03’s satellite jamming capabilities, it
will narrow the gap in airborne EW.
- DRDO’s
EW Research: The web result from The World Diplomacy emphasizes India’s
investment in R&D for EW systems. DRDO could develop high-power
ground-based jammers specifically for satellite interference, though this
would require significant technological advancements.
- Space-Based
Jamming: India’s ASAT capability (Mission Shakti, 2019) and growing space
program (e.g., ISRO’s GSAT series) suggest it could eventually deploy
space-based jammers or SIGINT satellites to target Pakistani
communications. However, this is a long-term prospect, not a current
capability.
- Tactical
Jamming as an Alternative:
- India
can achieve significant strategic effects by focusing on tactical
jamming, such as disrupting Pakistan’s AEW&C data links, fighter jet
communications, or air defense radars. The Rafale’s SPECTRA suite and
DRDO’s ground-based systems (e.g., Himshakti) are well-suited for this.
- For
example, jamming the ZDK-03’s data links to Pakistani fighters (e.g.,
JF-17, F-16) could degrade their situational awareness, achieving a
similar operational impact to satellite jamming, though with a narrower
scope.
- Cyber-EW
Synergy:
- Combining
EW with cyberattacks could amplify India’s impact. For instance,
targeting Pakistan’s satellite ground stations with cyberattacks while
simultaneously jamming their frequencies could replicate the strategic
disruption speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post.
6. Evidence of India’s EW Use in the 2025 Conflict
The web results and posts provide some evidence of India’s
EW capabilities in action:
- GPS
Jamming Along the Indo-Pak Border:
- The
Indian Defence Research Wing article reports GPS jamming along the Line
of Control (LoC) in 2025, affecting military operations, civilian
aviation, and communications. This indicates India has the capability to
disrupt GNSS signals, a common EW tactic also used by Pakistan.
- Impact
on Pakistan: Such jamming would affect Pakistani drones, precision-guided
munitions (e.g., Babur cruise missile), and navigation systems,
demonstrating India’s ability to degrade Pakistan’s tactical C2.
- Rafale’s
Role in Exercise Aakraman:
- The
same article mentions the Rafale’s SPECTRA suite being used during
Exercise Aakraman to jam enemy radars and GNSS signals, simulating
strikes against Pakistani targets. This suggests India can conduct
airborne EW operations deep inside Pakistan, though not at the strategic
level of satellite jamming.
- Operation
Sindoor (2025):
- India’s
precision strikes on Pakistani targets (as per The Guardian article)
indicate that its C2 and ISR capabilities remained functional despite
Pakistan’s alleged jamming. India likely used its own EW to counter
Pakistani air defenses, such as jamming radars at PAF bases (e.g.,
Mushaf, Rafiqui), enabling successful strikes.
7. Conclusion: Can India Match Pakistan’s Alleged
Jamming?
As of 2025, India does not have the demonstrated capability
to conduct the same level of strategic jamming as speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s
post (i.e., targeting a geosynchronous satellite like PakSat-1R to disrupt
Pakistan’s military C2). Here’s the breakdown:
- Current
Capabilities:
- India
can effectively jam tactical communications, GNSS signals (e.g., GPS),
and enemy radars using systems like the Rafale’s SPECTRA, DRDO’s
Samruddhika and Himshakti, and naval systems like Shakti. This was
evident in GPS jamming along the LoC and the Rafale’s simulated strikes.
- However,
India lacks the high-power, long-range jammers (either ground-based or
airborne) needed to target geosynchronous satellites like PakSat-1R, a
capability Pakistan allegedly demonstrated with Chinese support.
- The
Netra AEW&CS, India’s primary airborne EW platform, has limited ECM
capabilities compared to Pakistan’s ZDK-03, and India does not have a
dedicated strategic jamming platform.
- Potential
and Future Prospects:
- India’s
ongoing R&D (e.g., Netra Mk 2, DRDO’s EW programs) and space
capabilities (e.g., ASAT, potential SIGINT satellites) suggest it could
eventually develop the ability to jam satellites or conduct large-scale
strategic EW. However, this is likely a medium-to-long-term goal (5-10
years), not a current reality.
- In
the short term, India can achieve similar operational effects by focusing
on tactical jamming (e.g., disrupting Pakistan’s AEW&C data links,
air defense radars) and combining EW with cyberattacks on Pakistani C2
infrastructure.
- Strategic
Context:
- India’s
EW capabilities are sufficient to counter Pakistan in tactical
engagements, as seen in the 2025 conflict where India conducted precision
strikes despite alleged jamming. However, Pakistan’s technological edge
in strategic EW, supported by China, gives it an advantage in disrupting
high-level C2, as speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s post.
- To
match this level of jamming, India would need to invest in dedicated
high-power jammers, either ground-based or space-based, and enhance its
airborne EW platforms with capabilities similar to those of the ZDK-03 or
U.S. systems like the EA-18G Growler.
In summary, India has robust tactical EW capabilities but
currently lacks the strategic EW systems needed to replicate Pakistan’s alleged
jamming of a geosynchronous satellite. However, India’s ongoing advancements
and potential for cyber-EW synergy mean it could close this gap in the coming
years, especially with platforms like the Netra Mk 2 and future DRDO
developments. For now, India can still achieve significant battlefield effects
through tactical jamming and integrated operations, as demonstrated in the 2025
conflict.
Appendix 6 – Is Pakistani
capability because of China or does it have indigenous capabilities too?
Let’s analyze whether Pakistan’s electronic warfare (EW)
capabilities, as speculated in Shaiq Uddin’s X post , are primarily due to
Chinese support or if Pakistan has developed indigenous capabilities as well.
The post suggests that Pakistan, with Chinese assistance, used advanced EW
systems like the ZDK-03 Karakoram Eagle AEW&C to jam India’s GSAT-7A
satellite during the 2025 India-Pakistan conflict, potentially disrupting
India’s command-and-control (C2). I’ll evaluate Pakistan’s EW capabilities, the
role of Chinese support, and evidence of indigenous development, drawing on the
provided web results and broader knowledge of Pakistan’s military technology
landscape.
1. Context of Pakistan’s Alleged EW Capabilities
Shaiq Uddin’s post credits Pakistan with advanced EW
capabilities, specifically the ability to jam India’s GSAT-7A satellite, a
geosynchronous military communication satellite critical for the Indian Air
Force (IAF). Key points from the post include:
- Platforms
Involved: Pakistan’s ZDK-03 AEW&C (Chinese-built) and Saab 2000 Erieye
(Swedish-built) were likely used, with the ZDK-03 receiving upgrades in
April 2025.
- Chinese
Support: The post suggests China indirectly supported Pakistan, possibly
through technology transfers for the ZDK-03 and the use of Chinese
Yaogan-30 satellites for synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imaging and RF
interception.
- Strategic
Impact: The alleged jamming disrupted India’s military C2, potentially
affecting nuclear command, which prompted U.S. intervention due to
“alarming intelligence.”
To determine the source of these capabilities, we need to
assess Pakistan’s overall EW ecosystem, the extent of Chinese involvement, and
whether Pakistan has developed indigenous EW systems.
2. Pakistan’s EW Capabilities: Overview
Pakistan’s EW capabilities span airborne, ground-based,
naval, and potentially space-based systems, with a focus on countering India’s
conventional military superiority. The 2025 conflict scenario highlights
Pakistan’s ability to conduct strategic EW, including satellite jamming, which
requires advanced technology. Let’s break down the key components:
a. Airborne EW Systems
- ZDK-03
Karakoram Eagle AEW&C:
- Origin:
The ZDK-03 is a Chinese-built system, developed by the China Electronics
Technology Group Corporation (CETC) and based on the Shaanxi Y-8 airframe
(a derivative of the Soviet An-12). Pakistan ordered four ZDK-03s in 2008
for $278 million, with deliveries between 2011 and 2015 (as per the web
result from Republic World).
- Capabilities:
The ZDK-03 features a 360-degree AESA radar in a rotating radome,
providing full coverage, and is equipped for electronic surveillance,
battlefield C2, and early warning. Shaiq Uddin notes its role in
electronic warfare, including jamming, enhanced by upgrades in April
2025.
- Chinese
Role: The ZDK-03 is a direct product of Chinese technology, tailored to
Pakistan Air Force (PAF) specifications. The 2025 upgrades likely
involved Chinese assistance, as Pakistan lacks the industrial base to
independently enhance such systems.
- Saab
2000 Erieye AEW&C:
- Origin:
The Saab 2000 Erieye is a Swedish system, acquired by Pakistan to
complement the ZDK-03. Pakistan operates three Erieyes (though the web
result from Eurasia Review mentions eight, which may include planned
acquisitions).
- Capabilities:
The Erieye features an AESA radar with 300-degree coverage and advanced
ECM capabilities, including the ability to jam enemy radar and
communications. It can disrupt data links between enemy fighters and
their AEW&C platforms, as noted in Shaiq Uddin’s post.
- Foreign
Role: The Erieye is entirely a Swedish product, with no Chinese
involvement. Pakistan’s acquisition reflects its strategy of diversifying
EW sources, but it also indicates reliance on foreign technology.
- Fighter
Jet EW Systems:
- Pakistan’s
JF-17 Thunder, co-developed with China, is equipped with ECM pods like
the KG300G, which can jam enemy radar in the 2-18 GHz range. The F-16s in
PAF service also have self-protection suites (e.g., ALQ-211), but these
are U.S.-supplied and limited to tactical EW.
- Chinese
Role: The JF-17’s EW suite is largely Chinese, reflecting Pakistan’s
dependence on China for modern fighter jet technology.
b. Ground-Based EW Systems
- Karachi
Shipyard’s ELINT System:
- The
web result from the Centre for Strategic and Contemporary Research
(cscr.pk) mentions that Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works (KSEW) has
developed an ELINT (Electronic Intelligence) Threat Perception and
Identification System. This system offers broadband coverage, high
accuracy, and sensitivity, with features like automatic emitter
recognition and a GUI-based electronic order of battle.
- Indigenous
Development: This system appears to be a Pakistani development, as KSEW
is a domestic entity. It indicates Pakistan’s ability to design and
produce ELINT systems, though the technology may rely on imported
components (e.g., from China or Turkey).
- JY-27A
Radar:
- The
same web result notes that Jane’s identified a Chinese JY-27A
counter-very-low-observable radar at Mianwali Air Base in Pakistan. This
VHF-band radar, developed by CETC, is designed to detect stealth aircraft
and is a modern system not previously exported to Pakistan.
- Chinese
Role: The JY-27A is a direct Chinese export, highlighting Pakistan’s
reliance on China for advanced radar and EW-related technologies.
c. Naval EW Systems
- Pakistan’s
Navy has equipped its ships with EW systems, such as the Aselsan ARES-2N
ESM system on its submarines (Turkish-supplied) and Chinese EW suites on
its Type 054A/P frigates (as per general knowledge of Pakistan Navy
acquisitions).
- Foreign
Role: These systems are primarily sourced from Turkey and China, with
limited indigenous input beyond integration and operation.
d. Space-Based and Cyber Capabilities
- PakSat-1R
and Satellite Communications:
- Pakistan’s
PakSat-1R, launched in 2011, is a Chinese-built communication satellite
used for both civilian and military purposes. It operates in C-band and
Ku-band, providing secure communications for the Pakistani military.
- Chinese
Role: PakSat-1R was designed and launched by China, with ground stations
likely supported by Chinese technology. Pakistan’s space program, managed
by SUPARCO (Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission), has limited
indigenous satellite development capabilities, as noted in the web result
from Project MUSE.
- Cyber
Warfare:
- The
web result from Modern Diplomacy highlights Pakistan’s developmental
stage in cyber warfare, noting the establishment of the National Centre
for Cyber Security to train professionals. However, Pakistan remains
dependent on foreign technology for cyber capabilities.
- Chinese
Role: China has likely provided cyber tools and training, as part of
broader military cooperation, though Pakistan has developed some
indigenous cyber units (e.g., within the Inter-Services Intelligence,
ISI).
e. Strategic EW (Satellite Jamming)
- Shaiq
Uddin’s post suggests Pakistan jammed India’s GSAT-7A, a feat requiring
high-power jammers and precise targeting of satellite uplink/downlink
frequencies. The ZDK-03, with Chinese upgrades, and potential support from
Chinese Yaogan-30 satellites (for RF interception and SAR imaging) are
credited with this capability.
- Chinese
Role: Jamming a geosynchronous satellite is a sophisticated operation that
likely required Chinese technological support, including high-power
jammers, frequency analysis tools, and possibly space-based SIGINT assets
like Yaogan-30.
3. Role of Chinese Support
China plays a significant role in Pakistan’s EW
capabilities, driven by their strategic partnership to counter India, a mutual
rival. Key aspects of Chinese involvement include:
- Technology
Transfers:
- ZDK-03
AEW&C: The ZDK-03 is a Chinese system, customized for Pakistan, with
its EW capabilities (including jamming) directly tied to CETC’s
technology. The 2025 upgrades mentioned by Shaiq Uddin likely involved
Chinese engineers, as Pakistan lacks the industrial base to independently
enhance such systems.
- JY-27A
Radar: The deployment of this Chinese radar at Mianwali Air Base reflects
China’s willingness to export advanced systems to Pakistan, enhancing its
ability to detect and counter Indian stealth aircraft.
- JF-17
EW Suite: The JF-17’s ECM pods (e.g., KG300G) are Chinese-supplied,
showing reliance on China for fighter jet EW capabilities.
- Space
and Cyber Support:
- PakSat-1R:
Pakistan’s primary military communication satellite is Chinese-built, and
its ground stations likely use Chinese technology, reducing Pakistan’s
ability to independently manage space-based communications.
- Yaogan-30
Satellites: Shaiq Uddin’s post suggests China’s Yaogan-30 satellites were
used for SAR imaging and RF interception during the 2025 conflict. These
are Chinese military satellites, indicating direct Chinese involvement in
providing ISR support to Pakistan.
- Cyber
Cooperation: China has likely shared cyber tools and expertise with
Pakistan, as part of broader military cooperation, though specific
details are scarce.
- Strategic
Motivation:
- China’s
support for Pakistan’s EW capabilities aligns with its broader
geopolitical strategy to counter India, a key rival in the Indo-Pacific.
By enhancing Pakistan’s ability to challenge India’s C2, China indirectly
pressures India on its western border, complementing its own efforts
along the Line of Actual Control (LAC).
- The
web result from CSCR notes that China’s integration of cyber and
electronic warfare, and its focus on the electromagnetic spectrum, sets a
model that Pakistan follows, further emphasizing Chinese influence.
Assessment: China is a major enabler of Pakistan’s advanced
EW capabilities, particularly in strategic areas like satellite jamming.
Systems like the ZDK-03, JY-27A, and PakSat-1R are direct products of Chinese
technology, and the alleged use of Yaogan-30 satellites suggests operational
support during the 2025 conflict.
4. Evidence of Indigenous Capabilities
While Pakistan relies heavily on China, it has also
developed some indigenous EW capabilities, reflecting a growing domestic
defense industry. Evidence includes:
- Karachi
Shipyard’s ELINT System:
- The
web result from CSCR highlights the ELINT Threat Perception and
Identification System developed by Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works
(KSEW). This system, with features like broadband coverage, automatic
emitter recognition, and a GUI-based electronic order of battle,
indicates Pakistan’s ability to design and produce ELINT systems
domestically.
- Indigenous
Nature: KSEW is a Pakistani entity, and while the system may incorporate
imported components (e.g., processors, antennas), its development
reflects local engineering expertise. This suggests Pakistan has the
capacity to build tactical EW systems, though not necessarily at the
strategic level of satellite jamming.
- JF-17
Thunder Program:
- The
JF-17 Thunder, co-developed by Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) and
China’s Chengdu Aircraft Corporation (CAC), is a cornerstone of
Pakistan’s indigenous defense efforts. While the airframe and EW suite
(e.g., KG300G ECM pod) are Chinese, Pakistan has contributed to
integration, testing, and production.
- Local
Input: PAC has established a production line for the JF-17 in Kamra, and
Pakistani engineers have gained experience in integrating avionics and EW
systems. This indicates a growing indigenous capability, though heavily
reliant on Chinese technology for core components.
- Cyber
Warfare Development:
- The
web result from Modern Diplomacy notes the establishment of the National
Centre for Cyber Security, aimed at training indigenous cyber
professionals. This reflects Pakistan’s efforts to build domestic
expertise in cyber warfare, which often complements EW (e.g., by
targeting enemy C2 networks).
- Indigenous
Efforts: While Pakistan remains dependent on foreign technology (e.g.,
Chinese cyber tools), the focus on training local talent suggests a
long-term goal of self-reliance in cyber-EW operations.
- Historical
Context:
- Pakistan
has a history of adapting foreign technology for local use. For example,
during the 2019 India-Pakistan standoff, Pakistan used EW to disrupt
Indian aircraft communications, downing a MiG-21 (as noted in Shaiq
Uddin’s post). While the EW systems were likely foreign-supplied (e.g.,
Chinese or Swedish), the PAF’s ability to effectively employ them
reflects indigenous operational expertise.
- Pakistan’s
defense industry, including entities like the National Radio and
Telecommunication Corporation (NRTC), has developed tactical
communication systems and jammers for the Pakistan Army, indicating some
level of domestic EW capability.
Assessment: Pakistan has developed indigenous capabilities
in tactical EW (e.g., ELINT systems, cyber units, and integration of foreign
systems), but these are limited in scope and scale. Strategic EW capabilities,
such as satellite jamming, remain heavily dependent on Chinese technology and
support.
5. Challenges to Indigenous Development
Pakistan faces several challenges in building fully
indigenous EW capabilities:
- Industrial
Base:
- Pakistan’s
defense industry is relatively small compared to India or China, lacking
the R&D infrastructure to develop advanced systems like AESA radars,
high-power jammers, or satellites. The web result from Project MUSE notes
that Pakistan’s space program has “not received prioritization,” with
limited indigenous satellite development due to budget constraints.
- For
example, PakSat-1R was built and launched by China, and Pakistan relies
on leased satellites for military communications, highlighting its
dependence on foreign partners.
- Technological
Dependence:
- Core
technologies like AESA radars (ZDK-03), ECM pods (JF-17), and satellite
systems (PakSat-1R) are sourced from China, Sweden, or Turkey. Pakistan
can integrate and operate these systems but struggles to design them
independently.
- The
2025 upgrades to the ZDK-03, as mentioned by Shaiq Uddin, likely required
Chinese expertise, as Pakistan lacks the capability to enhance such
systems on its own.
- Budget
Constraints:
- Pakistan’s
defense budget ($7 billion in 2025, per general estimates) is
significantly smaller than India’s ($80 billion) or China’s (~$300
billion), limiting its ability to invest in R&D for advanced EW
systems. The web result from Project MUSE emphasizes that indigenous
satellite development is “practically difficult” due to financial
limitations.
- Human
Capital:
- While
Pakistan is training cyber and EW professionals (e.g., via the National
Centre for Cyber Security), it lags behind China and India in terms of
skilled engineers and scientists. This limits its ability to innovate
independently in high-tech areas like strategic EW.
6. Case Study: The 2025 Conflict
The alleged jamming of India’s GSAT-7A in the 2025 conflict
provides a lens to evaluate the balance of Chinese and indigenous
contributions:
- Chinese
Contributions:
- ZDK-03
Upgrades: The ZDK-03’s ability to jam a geosynchronous satellite likely
stems from Chinese upgrades in April 2025, as noted by Shaiq Uddin. This
suggests Chinese involvement in providing the necessary hardware (e.g.,
high-power jammers) and software (e.g., frequency analysis tools).
- Yaogan-30
Satellites: The use of Chinese Yaogan-30 satellites for SAR imaging and
RF interception indicates direct Chinese operational support, as Pakistan
lacks indigenous SIGINT satellites.
- Strategic
Expertise: Jamming a satellite requires precise knowledge of its
uplink/downlink frequencies, which China likely provided through
intelligence-sharing or joint operations.
- Indigenous
Contributions:
- Operational
Execution: The PAF’s deployment of the ZDK-03 and Saab 2000 Erieye
reflects indigenous operational expertise. Pakistani crews would have
planned and executed the jamming mission, leveraging their experience
from past conflicts (e.g., 2019 standoff).
- Tactical
EW: Pakistan’s ability to disrupt Indian communications during the 2019
standoff (downing a MiG-21) and the 2025 conflict (as per Shaiq Uddin)
shows a level of indigenous proficiency in using EW systems, even if the
technology is foreign-sourced.
- Integration:
Pakistan has integrated Chinese, Swedish, and Turkish EW systems into a
cohesive operational framework, as evidenced by its layered AEW&C
setup (ZDK-03, Erieye), indicating domestic capability in systems
integration.
Assessment: The 2025 jamming operation likely relied on
Chinese technology and support for the strategic components (e.g., ZDK-03
upgrades, Yaogan-30 support), but Pakistan contributed significantly through
operational planning, execution, and integration of foreign systems.
7. Comparison with India’s Indigenous Efforts
To contextualize Pakistan’s indigenous capabilities, let’s
compare them with India’s:
- India’s
Indigenous EW:
- India
has developed the Netra AEW&CS, Samruddhika, Himshakti, and Shakti EW
systems through DRDO, showcasing a stronger indigenous capability than
Pakistan. The Netra, while limited in EW compared to the ZDK-03, is
entirely Indian-designed, reflecting greater self-reliance.
- India’s
ASAT capability (Mission Shakti, 2019) and space program (ISRO) give it a
lead in space-based technologies, unlike Pakistan, which relies on China
for satellites like PakSat-1R.
- India’s
larger defense budget and R&D infrastructure allow it to pursue
ambitious projects like the Netra Mk 2, which will enhance its EW
capabilities.
- Pakistan’s
Indigenous EW:
- Pakistan’s
indigenous efforts are more limited, focusing on tactical systems like
the KSEW ELINT system and cyber training. Strategic capabilities, such as
satellite jamming, remain dependent on China.
- Pakistan’s
strength lies in its ability to integrate and operationally employ
foreign systems, as seen in the 2019 and 2025 conflicts, but it lacks the
industrial base to develop advanced EW platforms independently.
Comparison Verdict: India has a more robust indigenous EW
ecosystem than Pakistan, but Pakistan compensates by leveraging Chinese support
to achieve strategic effects, as seen in the 2025 conflict.
8. Conclusion: Chinese Support vs. Indigenous Capabilities
Pakistan’s EW capabilities are a mix of Chinese support and
indigenous development, with the balance heavily tilted toward China for
strategic capabilities:
- Chinese
Support:
- Pakistan’s
ability to conduct strategic EW, such as the alleged jamming of India’s
GSAT-7A, is largely due to Chinese technology and support. The ZDK-03
AEW&C, JY-27A radar, PakSat-1R satellite, and potential use of
Yaogan-30 satellites are all Chinese contributions, reflecting Pakistan’s
dependence on China for high-end systems.
- Chinese
upgrades to the ZDK-03 (as of April 2025) and operational support (e.g.,
via Yaogan-30) were likely critical to the success of the 2025 jamming
operation, indicating that Pakistan’s strategic EW capabilities are
heavily reliant on China.
- Indigenous
Capabilities:
- Pakistan
has developed some indigenous EW capabilities, particularly in tactical
areas. The KSEW ELINT system, cyber training initiatives, and operational
expertise (e.g., integrating Chinese and Swedish systems) demonstrate
domestic contributions.
- However,
these capabilities are limited to tactical EW and systems integration,
not the strategic level of satellite jamming. Pakistan’s industrial base,
budget constraints, and reliance on foreign technology hinder its ability
to develop advanced EW systems independently.
- Overall
Assessment:
- The
2025 conflict scenario suggests that Pakistan’s ability to jam India’s
GSAT-7A was primarily due to Chinese support, both in terms of technology
(ZDK-03, Yaogan-30) and expertise (frequency analysis, high-power
jammers). Pakistan’s indigenous role was likely limited to operational
execution, planning, and integration of foreign systems.
- While
Pakistan has made strides in tactical EW and cyber warfare, its strategic
capabilities remain heavily dependent on China, as evidenced by its
reliance on Chinese platforms and satellites. To achieve greater
self-reliance, Pakistan would need to invest significantly in R&D,
industrial capacity, and human capital, which it currently lacks the
resources to do at scale.
In summary, Pakistan’s EW capabilities in the 2025 conflict
were predominantly enabled by China, with indigenous contributions playing a
supporting role in operational execution and tactical systems. This reliance on
China gives Pakistan a strategic edge over India in certain areas (e.g.,
satellite jamming), but it also underscores Pakistan’s limitations in
developing such capabilities independently.
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